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| DOI | 10.1007/S10441-013-9176-6 | ||||
| Año | 2013 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Modelling contagious diseases needs to include a mechanistic knowledge about contacts between hosts and pathogens as specific as possible, e.g., by incorporating in the model information about social networks through which the disease spreads. The unknown part concerning the contact mechanism can be modelled using a stochastic approach. For that purpose, we revisit SIR models by introducing first a microscopic stochastic version of the contacts between individuals of different populations (namely Susceptible, Infective and Recovering), then by adding a random perturbation in the vicinity of the endemic fixed point of the SIR model and eventually by introducing the definition of various types of random social networks. We propose as example of application to contagious diseases the HIV, and we show that a micro-simulation of individual based modelling (IBM) type can reproduce the current stable incidence of the HIV epidemic in a population of HIV-positive men having sex with men (MSM).
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Demongeot, J. | Hombre |
Univ Grenoble 1 - Francia
Universidad de Valparaíso - Chile Faculte de Medicine de Grenoble - Universite Joseph Fourier - Francia Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 2 | Hansen, O. | - |
Univ Grenoble 1 - Francia
Faculte de Medicine de Grenoble - Universite Joseph Fourier - Francia Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 3 | Hessami, H. | - |
Univ Grenoble 1 - Francia
Faculte de Medicine de Grenoble - Universite Joseph Fourier - Francia Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 4 | Jannot, A. S. | - |
Univ Grenoble 1 - Francia
Faculte de Medicine de Grenoble - Universite Joseph Fourier - Francia Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 5 | Mintsa, J. | - |
Univ Grenoble 1 - Francia
Faculte de Medicine de Grenoble - Universite Joseph Fourier - Francia Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 6 | Rachdi, M. | - |
Univ Grenoble 1 - Francia
Univ Pierre Mendes France - Francia Faculte de Medicine de Grenoble - Universite Joseph Fourier - Francia Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 7 | TARAMASCO-TORO, CARLA | Mujer |
Univ Grenoble 1 - Francia
Universidad de Valparaíso - Chile Complex Syst Inst Paris Ile de France - Francia Faculte de Medicine de Grenoble - Universite Joseph Fourier - Francia ISC-PIF - Francia Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |