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A Deployed Quantal Response-Based Patrol Planning System for the U.S. Coast Guard
Indexado
WoS WOS:000326432000002
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:84888330359
DOI 10.1287/INTE.2013.0700
Año 2013
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



In this paper, we describe the model, theory developed, and deployment of PROTECT, a game-theoretic system that the United States Coast Guard (USCG) uses to schedule patrols in the Port of Boston. The USCG evaluated PROTECT's deployment in the Port of Boston as a success and is currently evaluating the system in the Port of New York, with the potential for nationwide deployment. PROTECT is premised on an attacker-defender Stackelberg game model; however, its development and implementation required both theoretical contributions and detailed evaluations. We describe the work required in the deployment, which we group into five key innovations. First, we propose a compact representation of the defender's strategy space by exploiting equivalence and dominance, to make PROTECT efficient enough to solve real-world sized problems. Second, this system does not assume that adversaries are perfectly rational, a typical assumption in previous game-theoretic models for security. Instead, PROTECT relies on a quantal response (QR) model of the adversary's behavior. We believe this is the first real-world deployment of a QR model. Third, we develop specialized solution algorithms that can solve this problem for real-world instances and give theoretical guarantees. Fourth, our experimental results illustrate that PROTECT's QR model handles real-world uncertainties more robustly than a perfect-rationality model. Finally, we present (1) a comparison of human-generated and PROTECT security schedules, and (2) results of an evaluation of PROTECT from an analysis by human mock attackers.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Interfaces 0092-2102

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Management
Operations Research & Management Science
Scopus
Management Of Technology And Innovation
Strategy And Management
Management Science And Operations Research
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 An, Bo - UNIV SO CALIF - Estados Unidos
University of Southern California - Estados Unidos
2 ORDONEZ-PIZARRO, FERNANDO Hombre UNIV SO CALIF - Estados Unidos
Universidad de Chile - Chile
University of Southern California - Estados Unidos
3 Tambe, Milind - UNIV SO CALIF - Estados Unidos
University of Southern California - Estados Unidos
4 Shieh, Eric Hombre UNIV SO CALIF - Estados Unidos
University of Southern California - Estados Unidos
5 Yang, Rong - UNIV SO CALIF - Estados Unidos
University of Southern California - Estados Unidos
6 Baldwin, Craig Hombre US Coast Guard - Estados Unidos
7 DIRENZO, JOSEPH, III - US Coast Guard - Estados Unidos
8 Moretti, Kathryn Mujer US Coast Guard - Estados Unidos
9 Maule, Ben - US Coast Guard - Estados Unidos
10 Meyer, Garrett Hombre US Coast Guard - Estados Unidos

Muestra la afiliación y género (detectado) para los co-autores de la publicación.

Financiamiento



Fuente
United States Department of Homeland Security through the National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE)

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We thank the staff members at the USCG offices, and particularly sector Boston, for their exceptional collaboration. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and are not to be construed as official or reflecting the views of the Commandant or of the United States Coast Guard. This research was supported by the United States Department of Homeland Security through the National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) [Grant 2010-ST-061-RE0001].

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.