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Stocks-to-use ratios and prices as indicators of vulnerability to spikes in global cereal markets
| Indexado |
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| DOI | 10.1111/AGEC.12049 | ||||
| Año | 2013 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Abstract
We identify critical stocks-to-use ratios (SURs) for major grains and for an index of total calories from these grains. The latter appears to be a promising indicator of vulnerability to large price spikes when the current price shows no cause for concern. More generally, our results suggest that stocks data, though no doubt unreliable, can be valuable complements to price data as indicators of vulnerability to shortages and price spikes.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOBENRIETH-HOCHFARBER, EUGENIO SEBASTIAN ANTONIO | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
|
| 2 | Wright, Brian | Hombre |
UNIV CALIF BERKELEY - Estados Unidos
University of California, Berkeley - Estados Unidos |
| 3 | Zeng, Di | - |
UNIV CALIF BERKELEY - Estados Unidos
University of California, Berkeley - Estados Unidos |
| Fuente |
|---|
| Grupo Security through Finance UC |
| CONICYT/Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnologico (FONDECYT) |
| Iniciativa Cientifica Milenio of the Ministerio de Economia, Fomento y Turismo, Chile |
| Energy Biosciences Institute |
| AMIS Global Food Market Information Group of the G-20 |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| Eugenio Bobenrieth is professor at Departamento de Economia Agraria and Instituto de Economia, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, and research fellowat Finance UC. Brian Wright is professor and chair, and Di Zeng is a post-doctoral researcher, at Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley. Work on this article was supported by the Energy Biosciences Institute, and by CONICYT/Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnologico (FONDECYT) Projects 1130257 and 1090017. Eugenio Bobenrieth acknowledges partial financial support from Grupo Security through Finance UC, and from Project NS 100046 of the Iniciativa Cientifica Milenio of the Ministerio de Economia, Fomento y Turismo, Chile. |
