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| DOI | 10.1007/S00477-013-0773-3 | ||||
| Año | 2014 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
With the objective of modelling annual rainfall maximum intensities in different geographical zones of Chile, we have created a Bayesian inference method for the generalized extreme value type I distribution (Gumbel distribution). We considered an uninformative prior distribution for the location parameter, mu, and three different prior distributions for the scale parameter, sigma. Under these conditions we obtained the posterior distribution of (mu, sigma) and associated summary statistics such as modes, expected values, quantiles and credibility intervals. In order to predict and estimate return periods, we obtained the posterior distribution of future observations, its expected value, quantiles and credibility intervals. To obtain several of these posterior summary measures it was necessary to utilize both numerical and Laplace approximations. Furthermore we estimate return period curves and intensity-duration-frequency curves.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIDAL-GARCIA, IGNACIO | Hombre |
Universidad de Talca - Chile
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| Agradecimiento |
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| This work has been supported by FONDEF-D08I1054 and FONDECYT-1130375, Chile. We thank reviewers for their constructive and helpful comments on this article. |
| This work has been supported by FONDEF-D08I1054 and FONDECYT-1130375, Chile. We thank reviewers for their constructive and helpful comments on this article. |