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| DOI | 10.1155/2014/798464 | ||||
| Año | 2014 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
This paper presents a p-step-ahead forecasting strategy based on two stages to improve pelagic fish-catch time-series modeling by considering annual and interannual fluctuations for northern Chile (18 degrees S-24 degrees S). In the first stage, the stationary wavelet transform is used to separate the raw time series into an annual component and an interannual component, whereas the periodicities of each component are obtained using the Morlet wavelet power spectrum. In the second stage, a linear autoregressive model is constructed to predict each component and the unknown p-next values are forecasted by the addition of the two predicted components. We demonstrate the utility of the proposed forecasting model on monthly anchovy-catches time series for periods from January 1963 to December 2007. Empirical results obtained for 10-month-ahead forecasting showed the effectiveness of the proposed wavelet autoregressive strategy.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RODRIGUEZ-AGURTO, JOSE NIBALDO | - |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso - Chile
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| 2 | CUBILLOS-FIGUEROA, CLAUDIO ALONSO | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso - Chile
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| 3 | RUBIO-LEON, JOSE MIGUEL | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso - Chile
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