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Continuing megathrust earthquake potential in Chile after the 2014 Iquique earthquake
Indexado
WoS WOS:000340508200031
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:84906541060
DOI 10.1038/NATURE13677
Año 2014
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



The seismic gap theory(1) identifies regions of elevated hazard based on a lack of recent seismicity in comparison with other portions of a fault. It has successfully explained past earthquakes (see, for example, ref. 2) and is useful for qualitatively describing where large earthquakes might occur. A large earthquake had been expected in the subduction zone adjacent to northern Chile(3-6), which had not ruptured in a megathrust earthquake since a M similar to 8.8 event in 1877. On 1 April 2014 a M8.2 earthquake occurred within this seismic gap. Here we present an assessment of the seismotectonics of the March-April 2014 Iquique sequence, including analyses of earthquake relocations, moment tensors, finite fault models, moment deficit calculations and cumulative Coulomb stress transfer. This ensemble of information allows us to place the sequence within the context of regional seismicity and to identify areas of remaining and/or elevated hazard. Our results constrain the size and spatial extent of rupture, and indicate that this was not the earthquake that had been anticipated. Significant sections of the northern Chile subduction zone have not ruptured in almost 150 years, so it is likely that future megathrust earthquakes will occur to the south and potentially to the north of the 2014 Iquique sequence.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Nature 0028-0836

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Hayes, Gavin P. Hombre US GEOL SURVEY - Estados Unidos
U.S. Geological Survey National Earthquake Information Center - Estados Unidos
2 Herman, Matthew W. Hombre PENN STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
Pennsylvania State University - Estados Unidos
3 Barnhart, William D. Hombre US GEOL SURVEY - Estados Unidos
U.S. Geological Survey National Earthquake Information Center - Estados Unidos
4 Furlong, Kevin P. Hombre PENN STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
Pennsylvania State University - Estados Unidos
5 RIQUELME-SEREY, SEBASTIAN ANDRES Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
6 Benz, Harley M. Hombre US GEOL SURVEY - Estados Unidos
U.S. Geological Survey National Earthquake Information Center - Estados Unidos
7 Bergman, Eric A. Hombre Global Seismol Serv - Estados Unidos
Global Seismological Services - Estados Unidos
8 BARRIENTOS-PARRA, SERGIO EDUARDO Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
9 Earle, Paul S. Hombre US GEOL SURVEY - Estados Unidos
Universidad de Chile - Chile
10 Samsonov, Sergey Hombre Nat Resources Canada - Canadá
Canada Centre for Mapping and Earth Observation - Canadá

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Origen de Citas Identificadas



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Citas identificadas: Las citas provienen de documentos incluidos en la base de datos de DATACIENCIA

Citas Identificadas: 29.49 %
Citas No-identificadas: 70.51 %

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Citas identificadas: Las citas provienen de documentos incluidos en la base de datos de DATACIENCIA

Citas Identificadas: 29.49 %
Citas No-identificadas: 70.51 %

Financiamiento



Fuente
National Science Foundation
Directorate For Geosciences; Division Of Earth Sciences

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We thank R. Briggs for his comments in improving the manuscript. We thank the CSN, and member institutions of the IPOC network for their operation of seismic stations in northern Chile and for the contribution of waveform data and phase picks to this study. This study made use of broadband seismic data from globally distributed seismometers available to the USGS NEIC in real timeor near real time (networks AE, BK, C, CN, CU, DK, G, GE, GT, IC, II, IU, IW and US) and archived in the NEIC Central Waveform Buffer and at the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology Data Management Center. RADARSAT-2 data were provided by the Canadian Space Agency and MDA Corporation. Bathymetry data come from GEBCO 2008 (ref. 30). Many of the figures were made with the Generic Mapping Tools software package<SUP>31</SUP>. National Science Foundation grant EAR-1153317 provided support to K. P. F. and M. W. H. for this research. Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the US Government.
Acknowledgements We thank R. Briggs for his comments in improving the manuscript. We thank the CSN, and member institutions of the IPOC network for their operation of seismic stations in northern Chile and for the contribution of waveform data and phase picks to this study. This study made use of broadband seismic data from globally distributed seismometers available to the USGS NEIC in real time or near real time (networks AE, BK, C, CN, CU, DK, G, GE, GT, IC, II, IU, IW and US) and archived in the NEIC Central Waveform Buffer and at the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology Data Management Center. RADARSAT-2 data were provided by the Canadian Space Agency and MDA Corporation. Bathymetry data come from GEBCO 2008 (ref. 30). Many of the figures were made with the Generic Mapping Tools software package31. National Science Foundation grant EAR-1153317 provided support to K.P.F. and M.W.H. for this research. Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the US Government.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.