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Fire, percolation thresholds and the savanna forest transition: a neutral model approach
Indexado
WoS WOS:000344333800004
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:84925727342
DOI 10.1111/1365-2745.12321
Año 2014
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Recent empirical and theoretical analyses have suggested that biomes could correspond to alternative equilibrium states; one such example is the transition between forest, savanna and treeless states. Fire supposes to be a key functional component of savanna ecosystems and is a powerful predictor of tree cover that can differentiate between forest and savanna ecosystems. Interestingly, empirical evidence suggests that fire occurrence drops at a threshold tree cover near 40%. Since savannas are ecosystems characterized by a discontinuous tree canopy cover immersed in a continuous grass layer a 40% of tree cover implies around 60% cover of grasses, which are the flammable component of this ecosystem. In this article, we hypothesize that the observed common pattern of 40% tree cover versus 60% in grass cover often reported for savanna ecosystems is the outcome of a spatial phase transition associated with the existence of a critical percolation threshold for fire spread. To test this hypothesis, we developed a spatially explicit neutral metacommunity model to explore the relationship between species cover and the emergence of percolation patterns. The model is intended to emulate savanna dynamics under neutrality assumptions. Using a statistical mechanical approach, we show that a second-order phase transition behaviour is observed for the probability that a grass species develops a percolating cluster. Using a simple finite size scaling analysis, the percolation threshold p(c) for our model was estimated to be in the range of 0.53-0.62.Synthesis. Our results point out that the emergence of a spatial phase transition associated with percolation is a robust result of neutral metacommunity dynamics with a critical threshold of space occupancy close to p(c)0.6, which supports our hypothesis that the empirically observed 40% tree cover (60% grass cover) is associated with a percolation threshold for C-4 grasses that in turn imply the existence of a spatially connected or spanning cluster of grass cover over which fire can spread.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Journal Of Ecology 0022-0477

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Ecology
Plant Sciences
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 ABADES-TORRES, SEBASTIAN RUY Hombre Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Instituto de Ecologia y Biodiversidad - Chile
2 GAXIOLA-ALCANTAR, AURORA Mujer Instituto de Ecologia y Biodiversidad - Chile
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
3 MARQUET-ITURRIAGA, PABLO ANGEL Hombre Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Instituto de Ecologia y Biodiversidad - Chile
Santa Fe Inst - Estados Unidos
ISCV - Chile
South Amer Inst Resilience & Sustainabil Studies - Uruguay
Santa Fe Institute - Estados Unidos
Instituto de Sistemas Complejos de Valparaíso - Chile
South American Institute for Resilience and Sustainability Studies - Uruguay

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Financiamiento



Fuente
ICM
CYTED
NSF

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We thank Dr. M. Arim for comments on and early version of the manuscript and to Marten Scheffer, Milena Holmgren, Osvaldo Sala and Fernando Maestre for comments and stimulating discussion at the woodland encroachment workshop held at the SARAS Institute in Uruguay. PAM and AGA acknowledge support from ICM P05-002, PFB-023, CYTED and NSF DEB-1242747. We acknowledge The Santa Fe Institute for providing us with a stimulating environment while preparing the final version of the manuscript.

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