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| DOI | 10.1016/J.CAGEO.2014.12.002 | ||||
| Año | 2015 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
The prediction of earthquakes is a task of utmost difficulty that has been widely addressed by using many different strategies, with no particular good results thus far. Seismic time series of the four most active Chilean zones, the country with largest seismic activity, are analyzed in this study in order to discover precursory patterns for large earthquakes. First, raw data are transformed by removing aftershocks and foreshocks, since the goal is to only predict main shocks. New attributes, based on the well-known b-value, are also generated. Later, these data are labeled, and consequently discretized, by the application of a clustering algorithm, following the suggestions found in recent literature. Earthquakes with magnitude larger than 4.4 are identified in the time series. Finally, the sequence of labels acting as precursory patterns for such earthquakes are searched for within the datasets. Results verging on 70% on average are reported, leading to conclude that the methodology proposed is suitable to be applied in other zones with similar seismicity. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florido, E. | Mujer |
Univ Nacl Educ Distancia UNED - España
Pablo de Olavide Univ Seville - España Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia - España Universidad Pablo de Olavide - España Universidad Pablo de Olavide, de Sevilla - España |
| 2 | Martinez-Alvarez, F. | Hombre |
Pablo de Olavide Univ Seville - España
Universidad Pablo de Olavide - España Universidad Pablo de Olavide, de Sevilla - España |
| 3 | Morales-Esteban, A. | Hombre |
Universidad de Sevilla - España
University of Seville - España Univ Seville - España |
| 4 | Reyes-Molina, Jorge | Hombre |
TGT NT2 Labs - Chile
TGT-NT2 Labs - Chile |
| 5 | Aznarte, J. L. | - |
Univ Nacl Educ Distancia UNED - España
Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia - España |
| Fuente |
|---|
| Junta de Andalucía |
| Spanish Ministry of Science and Technology |
| Pablo de Olavide University of Seville |
| Spanish Ramon y Cajal grant |
| Spanish Ramón y Cajal |
| Spanish Ministry of Science and Technology , Junta de Andalucía |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| The authors would like to thank Spanish Ministry of Science and Technology, Junta de Andalucia and Pablo de Olavide University of Seville for the support under Projects TIN2011-28956-C00, P12-TIC-1728 and APPB813097, respectively. This work has also been partially funded by a Spanish Ramon y Cajal grant, 2012. |
| The authors would like to thank Spanish Ministry of Science and Technology , Junta de Andalucía and Pablo de Olavide University of Seville for the support under Projects TIN2011-28956-C00 , P12-TIC-1728 and APPB813097 , respectively. This work has also been partially funded by a Spanish Ramón y Cajal grant, 2012. |