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Lahar simulation at active volcanoes of the Southern Andes: implications for hazard assessment
Indexado
WoS WOS:000353803700010
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:84939942904
DOI 10.1007/S11069-015-1617-X
Año 2015
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Lahars are catastrophic events that have the potential to cause the loss of life and damage to infrastructure over inhabited areas. Consequently the zoning of associated hazards is a critical task. We evaluated the lahar hazards at two volcanoes of the Southern Volcanic Zone of the Andes of Chile: Villarrica and Calbuco. We applied the LAHARZ and MSF codes using three DEMs: SRTM, ASTER GDEM and a topographic map-derived DEM to evaluate whether low-resolution and widely available DEMs are suitable for modelling lahars. Our results indicate that the original 0.05 calibration constant used in the original global LAHARZ model to calculate the cross-sectional area of inundation is not adequate for lahars from these volcanoes, and our analyses suggest a value of 0.02 as a more appropriate value. One of the most important results obtained is the high relevance that simulating topographic changes for multi-pulses lahar events has. The simulations indicate that dramatic changes in trajectories could occur during such scenarios, and areas not recognized as susceptible of being affected by lahars using the original topography can also be affected. These results have important implications for hazard assessment, as for example, the town of Pucn, located 16 km to the N of the Villarrica volcano was not recognized to be located in inundation areas when using LAHARZ on the original topography represented by unmodified DEMs. However, more than 50 % of the town could be inundated if lahars are modelled as multiple pulses, in agreement with geological and historical observations, as well as results shown on previous hazard maps. The MSF code better simulates the lateral extension of possible lahars, especially over flat areas or where topography is complex with many stream trajectories, but lacking a reliable method to determine the run-out distance. Our results indicate that the modifications made to the LAHARZ governing equations give very good results for assessing the hazards associated with lahars in volcanoes of this region of the Andes.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Natural Hazards 0921-030X

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Water Resources
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 CASTRUCCIO-ALVAREZ, ANGELO Hombre Comision Nacional de Investigacion Cientifica y Tecnologica - Chile
Universidad de Chile - Chile
Centro de Excelencia en Geotermia de Los Andes - Chile
2 CLAVERO-RIBES, JORGE EDUARDO Hombre Universidad Mayor - Chile

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Citas identificadas: Las citas provienen de documentos incluidos en la base de datos de DATACIENCIA

Citas Identificadas: 20.0 %
Citas No-identificadas: 80.0 %

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Citas identificadas: Las citas provienen de documentos incluidos en la base de datos de DATACIENCIA

Citas Identificadas: 20.0 %
Citas No-identificadas: 80.0 %

Financiamiento



Fuente
FONDECYT
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
CONICYT postgraduate scholarship

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
A.C. was supported by a CONICYT postgraduate scholarship. This work has been partially funded through FONDECYT project 1040515 (PI: Andres Rivera, co-I Jorge Clavero). We thank Gabriela Anabalon who prepared some of the figures. We thank the help of Steve Schilling and Christian Huggel for kindly providing the codes LAHARZ and MSF and answering our questions. This paper has improved from critical and constructive reviews done by two anonymous reviewers.
A.C. was supported by a CONICYT postgraduate scholarship. This work has been partially funded through FONDECYT project 1040515 (PI: Andres Rivera, co-I Jorge Clavero). We thank Gabriela Anabalon who prepared some of the figures. We thank the help of Steve Schilling and Christian Huggel for kindly providing the codes LAHARZ and MSF and answering our questions. This paper has improved from critical and constructive reviews done by two anonymous reviewers.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.