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| DOI | 10.1016/J.GECCO.2015.08.004 | ||||
| Año | 2015 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
In this study we projected the effect of anthropogenic climate change in endemic and restricted-range Andean bird species that spread out from the center of Bolivia to southeastern Peru. We also analyzed the representation of these species in protected areas. The ensemble forecasts from niche-based models indicated that 91-100% of species may reduce their range size under full and no dispersal scenarios, including five species that are currently threatened. The large range reduction (average 63%) suggests these mountain species may be threatened by climate change. The strong effects due to range species losses are predicted in the humid mountain forests of Bolivia. The representation of bird species also decreased in protected areas. Partial gap species (94-86%) are expected to increase over the present (62%). This suggests climate change and other non-climate stressors should be incorporated in conservations plans for the long-term persistence of these species. This study anticipates the magnitude of shifts in the distribution of endemic birds, and represents in the study area the first exploration of the representation of rangerestricted Andean birds in protected areas under climate change. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | del Rosario Avalos, Veronica | Mujer |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
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| 1 | Avalos, Verónica del Rosario | Mujer |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
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| 2 | HERNANDEZ-PALMA, HECTOR JAIME | Hombre |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
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| Fuente |
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| Agencia de Cooperación Internacional de Las Illes Balears |
| Agencia de Cooperación Internacional de Las Illes Balears |
| Agencia de Cooperacion Internacional de Chile (AGCI) |
| Magister de Areas Silvestres y Conservacion de la Naturaleza, Universidad de Chile |
| Agradecimiento |
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| We thank the Coleccion Boliviana de Fauna of the Bolivian Museum of Natural history for providing the study species database and the platforms Gbif, Ebird and Xeno-canto for granting free access to the bird database and the ornithologist that contributed this information. We appreciate the reviewers for valuable comments that improved the manuscript. We are also grateful to Magister de Areas Silvestres y Conservacion de la Naturaleza, Universidad de Chile, for supporting this publication. This research was supported by the V. del R. Avalos scholarship of the Agencia de Cooperacion Internacional de Chile (AGCI). |
| We thank the Colección Boliviana de Fauna of the Bolivian Museum of Natural history for providing the study species database and the platforms Gbif, Ebird and Xeno-canto for granting free access to the bird database and the ornithologist that contributed this information. We appreciate the reviewers for valuable comments that improved the manuscript. We are also grateful to Magister de Áreas Silvestres y Conservación de la Naturaleza, Universidad de Chile, for supporting this publication. This research was supported by the V. del R. Avalos scholarship of the Agencia de Cooperación Internacional de Chile (AGCI) . |