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| Indexado |
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| DOI | 10.1007/S11222-025-10655-1 | ||||
| Año | 2025 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
The need for models for directional data is increasing, driven primarily by the necessity of analyzing peak hours in 24-hour services. Motivated by the need to analyze demand data for a 24-hour bike rental service in Seoul and the factors influencing demand fluctuations across distinct hours, we develop a Bayesian nonparametric density regression modeling framework for the case of a circular response and linear covariates, allowing model selection. Our proposal is based on a linear dependent Dirichlet process mixture of projected normal distributions, accommodating asymmetrical and multimodal shapes, in conjunction with discrete spike-and-slab priors, to enable model selection. A further advantage of our approach is that it enables model averaging, thereby properly accounting for model uncertainty. The simulation study shows that, across various scenarios, our model (i) successfully recovers the true functional form of the conditional density and (ii) selects the correct model, with accuracy improving as the sample size increases. The application of our method suggests that weather conditions significantly impact bike demand. The approach also allows us to predict peak rental times, revealing that, for instance, on a typical summer day, bike demand decreases between 8 am and 4 pm, while in winter, it drops during the early morning.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guevara, Ingrid | - |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
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| 2 | Inacio, Vanda | - |
UNIV EDINBURGH - Reino Unido
The University of Edinburgh - Reino Unido |
| 3 | Gutierrez, Luis | - |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
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| Fuente |
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| FONDECYT |
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico |
| NLHPC |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo |
| Agenția Națională pentru Cercetare și Dezvoltare |
| National Agency for Research and Development (ANID)/Scholarship Program/Doctorado Nacional/2023 |
| Agradecimiento |
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| Ingrid Guevara was funded by the National Agency for Research and Development (ANID)/Scholarship Program/Doctorado Nacional/2023-21230990. Luis Gutierrez was supported by Fondecyt Grant 1220229. Powered@NLHPC: This research was partially supported by the supercomputing infrastructure of the NLHPC (CCSS210001). |
| Ingrid Guevara was funded by the National Agency for Research and Development (ANID)/Scholarship Program/Doctorado Nacional/2023-21230990. Luis Guti\u00E9rrez was supported by Fondecyt Grant 1220229. Powered@NLHPC: This research was partially supported by the supercomputing infrastructure of the NLHPC (CCSS210001). |