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Crime Prediction using Patterns and Context
Indexado
WoS WOS:000426945600002
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85034103539
DOI 10.1109/CSCWD.2017.8066662
Año 2017
Tipo proceedings paper

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Science fiction had anticipated the prediction of future occurrence of crimes. In fact, that prediction is actually possible. It can be done with some imprecision and by computer algorithms using available data from various sources. The prediction involves approximate time and risk maps of occurrence of certain type of felonies such as home burglaries, armed robberies and violent thefts. The police can then use this information for increasing their patrolling accordingly and thereby reducing the crime occurrence rate. We present a crime prediction solution developed for Chilean large cities. Its novel approach includes three independent software modules which make predictions based on different algorithms. The final prediction is the cooperative integration of the individual ones. The developed system has been tested on historical data and its performance has been considered acceptable for police field use. An interesting result is that the performance of each individual module is inferior to the joint performance, validating a hypothesis that different algorithms may exploit different features of the available data.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



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Scopus
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SciELO
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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 BALOIAN-TATARYAN, NELSON ANTRANIG Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
2 Bassaletti, Enrique Hombre Dept Criminal Anal - Chile
3 Fernández-Fernández, M - Universidad de Chile - Chile
4 Figueroa, Óscar Hombre Dept Criminal Anal - Chile
5 Fuentes, Pablo Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
6 MANASEVICH-TOLOSA, RAUL FERNANDO Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
7 ORCHARD-CONCHA, MARCOS EDUARDO Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
8 Penafiel, Sergio Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
9 PINO-URTUBIA, JOSE ALBERTO NICOLAS Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
10 Vergara, M. Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
11 Shen, W -
12 Antunes, P -
13 Thuan, NH -
14 Barthes, JP -
15 Luo, J -
16 Yong, J -

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Universidad de Chile
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
Undersecretariat for Crime Prevention of the Chilean Government
Conicyt (Chile) scholarships

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
The project reported in this paper was partially supported by Undersecretariat for Crime Prevention of the Chilean Government, and it was developed by the CEAMOS Group (Universidad de Chile), with participation of a multidisciplinary team. Our thanks to the technical support provided by Nicolas Bravo, Eugenio Guerra and Leonardo Jofre. Pablo Fuentes and Mario Vergara were supported by Conicyt (Chile) scholarships No. 4191/2015 and 3841/2016, respectively.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT The project reported in this paper was partially supported by Undersecretariat for Crime Prevention of the Chilean Government, and it was developed by the CEAMOS Group (Universidad de Chile), with participation of a multidisciplinary team. Our thanks to the technical support provided by Nicolás Bravo, Eugenio Guerra and Leonardo Jofré. Pablo Fuentes and Mario Vergara were supported by Conicyt (Chile) scholarships No. 4191/2015 and 3841/2016, respectively.

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