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| DOI | 10.1016/J.AQUACULTURE.2025.742304 | ||||
| Año | 2025 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Marine mussels are one of the most important sources of cultivated shellfish worldwide, particularly among middle- and low-income countries where they are a key food source for coastal communities. Climate Change is bound to have a large impact on the distribution of suitable habitats for the mussel species cultivated throughout the world. To examine these impacts on mussel aquaculture and global food security, we evaluated the distribution of suitable current and future habitats for the six more widely cultivated mussel species under a Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 emission scenario using ecological niche modelling. Occurrence records were obtained from online databases and the literature. The models had a good performance in predicting the current distribution of the six study species. In future scenarios, suitable mussel habitats were projected to shift poleward, with gains at higher latitudes and losses at lower latitudes. By 2050, significant impacts were projected along the Mediterranean coast for Mytilus galloprovincialis, an important mariculture species in Europe, and in Southeast Asia for the tropical green mussel Perna viridis. Overall, our predictions suggested that range shifts could create opportunities to expand mussel farming to higher latitudes, yet loss of suitable habitat in historically productive growing areas could disrupt current mussel aquaculture regions, highlighting the need for immediate action. Therefore, achieving a more nuanced understanding of the spatial changes in the geographic distribution of suitable habitats should be the first step in increasing the adaptive capacity of the mussel aquaculture sector, and ensuring the future supply of this key source of aquafood.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torres, Felipe I. | - |
Universidad Católica de la Santísima Concepción - Chile
Instituto Milenio en Socio-Ecología Costera - Chile |
| 2 | Lara, Carlos | - |
Universidad Católica de la Santísima Concepción - Chile
Universidad Bernardo O'Higgins - Chile |
| 3 | Sillero, Neftali | - |
Univ Porto - Portugal
Universidade do Porto - Portugal |
| 4 | Broitman, Bernardo R. | - |
Instituto Milenio en Socio-Ecología Costera - Chile
Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez - Chile |
| Fuente |
|---|
| FONDECYT |
| Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia |
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico |
| Universidad Católica de la Santísima Concepción |
| Beca Doctorado Nacional |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo |
| Agenția Națională pentru Cercetare și Dezvoltare |
| Instituto Milenio SECOS |
| FCT-Fundaao para a Ciencia e a Tec-nologia, Portugal |
| Agradecimiento |
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| National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) by Beca Doctorado Nacional (No21240418) awarded to F.I.T. Additionally, F.I.T. acknowledges the support of the South Subantarctic Consortium project (ANID 20CEIN2-142146), and the Programa de Doctorado en Ciencias con mencion en Biodiversidad y Biorecursos, Universidad Catolica de la Santisima Concepcion, Chile. C.L. acknowledges funding by FONDECYT 1230420. B.R.B. is supported by FONDECYT 1221699 and Instituto Milenio SECOS (ICN2019-015). NS is supported by a CEEC2017 contract (CEECIND/02213/2017) from FCT-Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia, Portugal. |
| National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) by Beca Doctorado Nacional (N\u00B021240418) awarded to F.I.T. Additionally, F.I.T. acknowledges the support of the South Subantarctic Consortium project (ANID 20CEIN2-142146), and the Programa de Doctorado en Ciencias con menci\u00F3n en Biodiversidad y Biorecursos, Universidad Cat\u00F3lica de la Sant\u00EDsima Concepci\u00F3n, Chile. C.L. acknowledges funding by FONDECYT 1230420. B.R.B. is supported by FONDECYT 1221699 and Instituto Milenio SECOS (ICN2019-015). NS is supported by a CEEC2017 contract (CEECIND/02213/2017) from FCT - Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnologia, Portugal. |
| National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) by Beca Doctorado Nacional (N\u00B021240418) awarded to F.I.T. Additionally, F.I.T. acknowledges the support of the South Subantarctic Consortium project (ANID 20CEIN2-142146), and the Programa de Doctorado en Ciencias con menci\u00F3n en Biodiversidad y Biorecursos, Universidad Cat\u00F3lica de la Sant\u00EDsima Concepci\u00F3n, Chile. C.L. acknowledges funding by FONDECYT 1230420. B.R.B. is supported by FONDECYT 1221699 and Instituto Milenio SECOS (ICN2019-015). NS is supported by a CEEC2017 contract (CEECIND/02213/2017) from FCT - Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnologia, Portugal. |