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Environmental consequences of interacting effects of changes in stratospheric ozone, ultraviolet radiation, and climate: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2024
Indexado
WoS WOS:001446143000001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:105000820660
DOI 10.1007/S43630-025-00687-X
Año 2025
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



This Assessment Update by the Environmental Effects Assessment Panel (EEAP) of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) addresses the interacting effects of changes in stratospheric ozone, solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation, and climate on the environment and human health. These include new modelling studies that confirm the benefits of the Montreal Protocol in protecting the stratospheric ozone layer and its role in maintaining a stable climate, both at low and high latitudes. We also provide an update on projected levels of solar UV-radiation during the twenty-first century. Potential environmental consequences of climate intervention scenarios are also briefly discussed, illustrating the large uncertainties of, for example, Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI). Modelling studies predict that, although SAI would cool the Earth's surface, other climate factors would be affected, including stratospheric ozone depletion and precipitation patterns. The contribution to global warming of replacements for ozone-depleting substances (ODS) are assessed. With respect to the breakdown products of chemicals under the purview of the Montreal Protocol, the risks to ecosystem and human health from the formation of trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) as a degradation product of ODS replacements are currently de minimis. UV-radiation and climate change continue to have complex interactive effects on the environment due largely to human activities. UV-radiation, other weathering factors, and microbial action contribute significantly to the breakdown of plastic waste in the environment, and in affecting transport, fate, and toxicity of the plastics in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, and the atmosphere. Sustainability demands continue to drive industry innovations to mitigate environmental consequences of the use and disposal of plastic and plastic-containing materials. Terrestrial ecosystems in alpine and polar environments are increasingly being exposed to enhanced UV-radiation due to earlier seasonal snow and ice melt because of climate warming and extended periods of ozone depletion. Solar radiation, including UV-radiation, also contributes to the decomposition of dead plant material, which affects nutrient cycling, carbon storage, emission of greenhouse gases, and soil fertility. In aquatic ecosystems, loss of ice cover is increasing the area of polar oceans exposed to UV-radiation with possible negative effects on phytoplankton productivity. However, modelling studies of Arctic Ocean circulation suggests that phytoplankton are circulating to progressively deeper ocean layers with less UV irradiation. Human health is also modified by climate change and behaviour patterns, resulting in changes in exposure to UV-radiation with harmful or beneficial effects depending on conditions and skin type. For example, incidence of melanoma has been associated with increased air temperature, which affects time spent outdoors and thus exposure to UV-radiation. Overall, implementation of the Montreal Protocol and its Amendments has mitigated the deleterious effects of high levels of UV-radiation and global warming for both environmental and human health.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Biochemistry & Molecular Biology
Chemistry, Physical
Biophysics
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Neale, Patrick J. - Smithsonian Environm Res Ctr - Estados Unidos
Smithsonian Institution - Estados Unidos
2 Hylander, Samuel - Linnaeus Univ - Suecia
Linnaeus University, Kalmar - Suecia
3 Banaszak, Anastazia T. - Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico - México
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México - México
4 Häder, Donat P. - Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg - Alemania
4 Haeder, D. -P. - Friedrich Alexander Univ - Alemania
5 Rose, Kevin C. Hombre Rensselaer Polytech Inst - Estados Unidos
School of Science - Estados Unidos
6 Vione, Davide - Univ Turin - Italia
Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia
University of Cumbria - Italia
7 Wangberg, Sten-ake - Univ Gothenburg - Suecia
7 Wangberg, Sten-Ake - Göteborgs Universitet - Suecia
Univ Gothenburg - Suecia
8 Jansen, Marcel A. K. - Univ Coll Cork - Irlanda
University College Cork - Irlanda
9 Busquets, Rosa - Kingston Univ London - Reino Unido
UCL - Reino Unido
Kingston University - Reino Unido
University College London - Reino Unido
10 Andersen, Mads P. Sulbaek - Calif State Univ Northridge - Estados Unidos
Univ Copenhagen - Dinamarca
California State University, Northridge - Estados Unidos
Københavns Universitet - Dinamarca
11 Madronich, Sasha - Natl Ctr Atmospher Res - Estados Unidos
COLORADO STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
National Center for Atmospheric Research - Estados Unidos
Colorado State University - Estados Unidos
12 Hanson, Mark L. - Univ Manitoba - Canadá
University of Manitoba - Canadá
13 Schikowski, Tamara - IUF - Alemania
Univ Bielefeld - Alemania
Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental Medicine - Alemania
Universität Bielefeld - Alemania
14 Solomon, Keith R. - Univ Guelph - Canadá
Ontario Agricultural College - Canadá
15 Sulzberger, Barbara - Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol - Suiza
Eawag - Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology - Suiza
16 Wallington, Timothy J. Hombre UNIV MICHIGAN - Estados Unidos
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor - Estados Unidos
17 Heikkila, Anu M. - Finnish Meteorol Inst - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorological Institute - Finlandia
18 Pandey, K. K. - Indian Acad Wood Sci - India
Indian Academy of Wood Science - India
19 Andrady, Anthony L. - North Carolina State Univ - Estados Unidos
NC State College of Engineering - Estados Unidos
20 Bruckman, Laura S. - Case Western Reserve Univ - Estados Unidos
Case School of Engineering - Estados Unidos
21 White, Christopher C. - Environm & Hlth Ramboll Management Consulting - Estados Unidos
Ramboll USA, Inc. - Estados Unidos
22 Zhu, Liping - Donghua Univ - China
Donghua University - China
23 Bernhard, G. H. - Biospher Inc - Estados Unidos
Biospherical Instruments, Inc. - Estados Unidos
24 Bais, Alkiviadis - Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki - Grecia
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki - Grecia
25 Aucamp, Pieter J. - Ptersa Environm Consultant - República de Sudáfrica
Ptersa Environmental Consultants - República de Sudáfrica
26 Chiodo, Gabriel - UCM - España
Swiss Fed Inst Technol - Suiza
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas - España
Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima - Suiza
27 Cordero, Raul R. - Universidad de Santiago de Chile - Chile
28 Petropavlovskikh, Irina Mujer UNIV COLORADO - Estados Unidos
University of Colorado Boulder - Estados Unidos
29 Neale, Rachel E. - QIMR Berghofer Med Res Inst - Australia
UNIV QUEENSLAND - Australia
QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute - Australia
The University of Queensland - Australia
30 Olsen, Catherine M. - QIMR Berghofer Med Res Inst - Australia
UNIV QUEENSLAND - Australia
QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute - Australia
The University of Queensland - Australia
31 Hales, Simon - UNIV OTAGO - Nueva Zelanda
University of Otago - Nueva Zelanda
32 Lal, Aparna - Australian Natl Univ - Australia
National Centre for Epidemiology & Population Health - Australia
33 Lingham, Gareth - Univ Western Australia - Australia
Technol Univ Dublin - Irlanda
The University of Western Australia - Australia
Technological University Dublin - Irlanda
34 Rhodes, Lesley E. - UNIV MANCHESTER - Reino Unido
Salford Royal Hosp - Reino Unido
Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health - Reino Unido
Salford Royal Hospital - Reino Unido
35 Young, Antony R. - Kings Coll London - Reino Unido
King's College London - Reino Unido
36 Robson, T. Matthew - Univ Cumbria - Reino Unido
Univ Helsinki - Finlandia
University of Cumbria - Reino Unido
Helsingin Yliopisto - Finlandia
37 Robinson, Sharon A. Mujer UNIV WOLLONGONG - Australia
University of Wollongong - Australia
38 Barnes, P. W. - Loyola Univ - Estados Unidos
Loyola University New Orleans - Estados Unidos
39 Bornman, Janet F. - Murdoch Univ - Australia
Murdoch University - Australia
40 Harper, Anna B. - Univ Georgia - Estados Unidos
University of Georgia - Estados Unidos
41 Lee, Hanna - Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol - Noruega
Norges Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet - Noruega
42 Calderon, Roy Mackenzie - Universidad de Magallanes - Chile
Millennium Inst Biodivers Antarctic & Subantarctic - Chile
Instituto Milenio Biodiversidad de Ecosistemas Antárticos y Subantárticos - Chile
43 Ossola, R. - COLORADO STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
Colorado State University - Estados Unidos
44 Paul, Nigel D. - Univ Lancaster - Reino Unido
Lancaster Environment Centre - Reino Unido
45 Revell, Laura E. - Univ Canterbury - Nueva Zelanda
University of Canterbury - Nueva Zelanda
46 Wang, Qing-Wei - CASSACA - China
46 Wang, Qing-Wei - Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences - China
CASSACA - China
47 Zepp, R. G. - US Environm Protect Agcy - Estados Unidos
United States Environmental Protection Agency - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
FONDECYT
National Science Foundation
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
European Commission
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Basal
Australian Research Council
European Research Council
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
National Health and Medical Research Council
Smithsonian Institution
Simons Foundation
Naturvårdsverket
Marsden Fund
Environmental Protection Agency
New Zealand Government
Ministry for the Environment
Swedish Environmental Protection Agency
Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo
Manchester Biomedical Research Centre
Royal Society Te Aparangi
ANID-Millennium Science Initiative Program
ANID Anillo
CAUL
ANID/BASAL
Murdoch University
Murdoch University, Australia
RRC
Oskar Oflunds Stiftelse
UNEP/Ozone Secretariat
US Simons Foundation
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA Ireland)
European Commission as part of the ERC Starting Grant
US Global Change Research Program
Bundesministerium fur Umwelt Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit
NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre, UK
ARC SRIEAS Grant Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future
Rutherford Discovery Fellowships from New Zealand Government funding - Royal Society Te Aparangi
Chemours
Rocky Mountain Conservancy

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
Generous contributions by UNEP/Ozone Secretariat were provided for the convened author meeting. The following authors gratefully acknowledge support from the US Global Change Research Program: GHB, CCW, SM, TJW, IP, MPSA, and LSB. SAR received support from ARC SRIEAS Grant SR200100005 Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future. Funding from the UNEP/Ozone Secretariat is gratefully acknowledged by: KKP, PJA, LZ, Q-W.W, ATB (also supported by Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico), RMC (also supported by ANID/BASAL FB210018 and ANID-Millennium Science Initiative Program-ICN2021_002), and RRC (also supported by ANID ANILLO ACT210046 and FONDECYT 1221122). GC acknowledges funding from the US Simons Foundation (Grant No. SFI-MPS-SRM-00005217) and from the European Commission as part of the ERC Starting Grant (Grant No. 101078127). DPH was supported by Bundesministerium fur Umwelt Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit. SH & S-AW were funded by The Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. PJN acknowledges support from the Smithsonian Institution. MAKJ acknowledges support by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA Ireland). LER appreciates support by the Rutherford Discovery Fellowships from New Zealand Government funding, administered by the Royal Society Te Aparangi. LesleyER acknowledges the support of the NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre, UK. KRS was self-funded. TMR was supported by Oskar Oflunds Stiftelse, and also acknowledges David Israel, Laura Dennis, Emily Pearce, and Adam Wood for the author meeting logistics. Rachele Ossola is gratefully acknowledged for her graphic designs of several of the illustrations. Robyn Lucas is gratefully acknowledged for her contributions to the text relating to human health.Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member Institutions. There is Open Access funding through Murdoch University, Australia.
Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member Institutions. There is Open Access funding through Murdoch University, Australia.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.