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Air quality modeling intercomparison and multiscale ensemble chain for Latin America
Indexado
WoS WOS:001344079000001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85208092922
DOI 10.5194/GMD-17-7467-2024
Año 2024
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



A multiscale modeling ensemble chain has been assembled as a first step towards an air quality analysis and forecasting (AQF) system for Latin America. Two global and three regional models were tested and compared in retrospective mode over a shared domain (120-28 degrees W, 60 degrees S-30 degrees N) for the months of January and July 2015. The objective of this experiment was to understand their performance and characterize their errors. Observations from local air quality monitoring networks in Colombia, Chile, Brazil, Mexico, Ecuador and Peru were used for model evaluation. The models generally agreed with observations in large cities such as Mexico City and S & atilde;o Paulo, whereas representing smaller urban areas, such as Bogot & aacute; and Santiago, was more challenging. For instance, in Santiago during wintertime, the simulations showed large discrepancies with observations. No single model demonstrated superior performance over others or among pollutants and sites available. In general, ozone and NO2 exhibited the lowest bias and errors, especially in S & atilde;o Paulo and Mexico City. For SO2, the bias and error were close to 200 %, except for Bogot & aacute;. The ensemble, created from the median value of all models, was evaluated as well. In some cases, the ensemble outperformed the individual models and mitigated extreme over- or underestimation. However, more research is needed before concluding that the ensemble is the path for an AQF system in Latin America. This study identified certain limitations in the models and global emission inventories, which should be addressed with the involvement and experience of local researchers.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Scopus
Modeling And Simulation
Earth And Planetary Sciences (All)
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Pachon, Jorge E. - Univ La Salle - Colombia
Universidad de La Salle, Bogota - Colombia
2 Opazo, Mariel A. Mujer Universidad de Chile - Chile
3 Lichtig, Pablo Hombre Comis Nacl Energia At CNEA - Argentina
Comision Nacional de Energia Atomica Argentina - Argentina
4 HUNEEUS-LAGOS, NICOLAS JORGE Hombre Universidad de Chile - Chile
5 Bouarar, Idir - Max Planck Inst Meteorol - Alemania
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology - Alemania
6 Brasseur, Guy - Max Planck Institute for Meteorology - Alemania
7 Li, Cathy W. Y. - Max Planck Institute for Meteorology - Alemania
8 Flemming, Johannes - European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts - Alemania
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts - Alemania
9 Menut, Laurent Hombre IPSL - Francia
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique - Francia
10 Menares, Camilo - Universidad de Chile - Chile
11 GALLARDO-KLENNER, LAURA ELEONOR Mujer Universidad de Chile - Chile
12 Gauss, Michael - Norwegian Meteorol Inst - Noruega
Meteorologisk institutt - Noruega
13 Sofiev, Mikhail - Finnish Meteorol Inst - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorological Institute - Finlandia
14 Kouznetsov, Rostislav - Finnish Meteorol Inst - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorological Institute - Finlandia
15 Palamarchuk, Julia - Finnish Meteorol Inst - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorological Institute - Finlandia
16 Uppstu, Andreas - Finnish Meteorol Inst - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorological Institute - Finlandia
17 Dawidowski, L. Mujer Comis Nacl Energia At CNEA - Argentina
Comision Nacional de Energia Atomica Argentina - Argentina
18 Rojas, Nestor Hombre UNIV NACL COLOMBIA - Colombia
Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Colombia
19 De Fátima Andrade, María Mujer UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
20 Gavidia-Calderon, Mario Hombre UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
21 Peralta, Alejandro H. Delgado - UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
21 Delgado Peralta, Alejandro H. - Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
22 Schuch, Daniel - UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Northeastern Univ - Estados Unidos
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
College of Engineering - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
European Commission
H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Center for Climate and Resilience Research
Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia
Association of Community Cancer Centers
H2020 Marie Sklstrok;odowska-Curie Actions
German Climate Computer Center (Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, DKRZ)
ACCC flagship projects
Academy of Finland HEATCOST
Prediction of Air Pollutants in Latin America

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
The PAPILA (Prediction of Air Pollutants in Latin America) project was funded by the European Commission under the MSCA action for research and innovation staff exchange (grant agreement ID 777544). Support from the Academy of Finland HEATCOST and ACCC flagship projects (grants nos. 334798 and 337552) and the H2020 project AQ-WATCH (grant no. 870301) is acknowledged. Support from the German Climate Computer Center (Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, DKRZ) is acknowledged. Support from the Center for Climate and Resilience Research (FONDAP/ANID 1523A0002) is acknowledged.
This research has been supported by the EU H2020 Marie Sk\u0142odowska-Curie Actions (grant no. 777544), Academy of Finland HEATCOST and ACCC flagship projects (grants nos. 334798 and 337552), EU H2020 project AQ-Watch (grant no. 870301), and the Center for Climate and Resilience Research (grant no. FONDAP/ANID 1523A0002).The article processing charges for this open-access publication were covered by the Max Planck Society.
This research has been supported by the EU H2020 Marie Sk\u0142odowska-Curie Actions (grant no. 777544), Academy of Finland HEATCOST and ACCC flagship projects (grants nos. 334798 and 337552), EU H2020 project AQ-Watch (grant no. 870301), and the Center for Climate and Resilience Research (grant no. FONDAP/ANID 1523A0002).The article processing charges for this open-access publication were covered by the Max Planck Society.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.