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| Indexado |
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| DOI | 10.3390/W16223321 | ||||
| Año | 2024 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Water resource management in agriculture faces complex challenges due to increasing scarcity, exacerbated by climate change, and the intensification of conflicts among various user groups. This study addresses the issue of predicting and managing these conflicts in the Longav & iacute; River Basin, Chile, by considering the intricate interactions between hydrological, social, and economic factors. A socio-hydrological agent-based model (SHABM) was developed, integrating hydrological, economic, and behavioral data. The methodology combined fieldwork with computational modeling, characterizing three types of agents (selfish, neutral, and cooperative) and simulating scenarios with varying levels of water availability and oversight across three water user organizations (WUOs). The key findings revealed that (1) selfish agents are more likely to disregard irrigation schedules under conditions of scarcity and low supervision; (2) high supervision (90%) significantly reduces conflicts; (3) water scarcity exacerbates non-cooperative behaviors; (4) high-risk conflict areas can be identified; and (5) behavioral patterns stabilize after the third year of simulation. This work demonstrates the potential of SHABM as a decision-making tool in water management, enabling the proactive identification of conflict-prone areas and the evaluation of management strategies.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LILLO-SAAVEDRA, MARIO FERNANDO | Hombre |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 2 | Velásquez, Pablo | Hombre |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 3 | García-Pedrero, Ángel M. | Hombre |
Univ Politecn Madrid - España
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid - España |
| 4 | Salgado, Marcela | - |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 5 | RIVERA-SALAZAR, DIEGO ANDRES | Hombre |
Universidad del Desarrollo - Chile
|
| 6 | Cisterna-Roa, Valentina | - |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 7 | SOMOS-VALENZUELA, MARCELO ARTURO | Hombre |
Universidad de La Frontera - Chile
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| 8 | Boumahdi, Meryeme | - |
Univ Politecn Madrid - España
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid - España |
| 9 | Gonzalo-Martin, C. | Mujer |
Univ Politecn Madrid - España
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid - España |
| Fuente |
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| Centro de Recursos Hídricos para la Agricultura y la Minería |
| Water Research Center For Agriculture and Mining |
| Water Research Center for Agriculture and Mining (CRHIAM) |
| Chilean National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo |
| Agenția Națională pentru Cercetare și Dezvoltare |
| Chilean National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) through the project "Socio-hydrological Agent-based Modeling To Assess Future Water Conflicts At Basin Scale" |
| Agradecimiento |
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| This research was funded by the Chilean National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) through the project "Socio-hydrological Agent-based Modeling To Assess Future Water Conflicts At Basin Scale" (FONDECYT/1230312) and was also supported by the Water Research Center for Agriculture and Mining (CRHIAM) through ANID FONDAP/15130015. The APC was funded by the FONDECYT/1230312 project. |
| The authors gratefully acknowledge the Longav\u00ED River Water Users Association (Junta de Vigilancia del R\u00EDo Longav\u00ED, JVRL) for providing valuable data, technical support, and access to their facilities. Special thanks to the water managers and farmers who participated in the interviews and shared their knowledge and experiences, which were essential for understanding the water management dynamics in the basin. Valentina Cisterna-Roa gratefully acknowledges the support provided by the National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) through the National Doctoral Fellowship Program (ANID BECAS/DOCTORADO NACIONAL 21240452). |
| The authors gratefully acknowledge the Longav\u00ED River Water Users Association (Junta de Vigilancia del R\u00EDo Longav\u00ED, JVRL) for providing valuable data, technical support, and access to their facilities. Special thanks to the water managers and farmers who participated in the interviews and shared their knowledge and experiences, which were essential for understanding the water management dynamics in the basin. Valentina Cisterna-Roa gratefully acknowledges the support provided by the National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) through the National Doctoral Fellowship Program (ANID BECAS/DOCTORADO NACIONAL 21240452). |