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Seismic and GNSS strain-based probabilistic seismic hazard evaluation for northern Chile using DAS Magnitude Scale
Indexado
WoS WOS:001393513400001
DOI 10.1186/S40677-024-00285-6
Año 2025
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



BackgroundProbabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) is a leading methodology for determining key ground motion parameters such as Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration (SA), essential for structural design. This approach uses extensive earthquake data, typically spanning over a century, leveraging frequency and magnitude statistics. However, long-term ground shaking probabilities may not always be accurately captured by traditional data-driven methods. To address these limitations, this study develops a PSHA map for Northern Chile using both seismic and GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) data. A curated homogeneous earthquake catalog, based on the advanced seismic moment magnitude scale Mwg(Das Magnitude Scale), replaces the traditional Mw scale to ensure superior accuracy, particularly for intermediate and smaller earthquakes.ResultsUsing the earthquake catalog, seismicity parameters 'a' and 'b' from the Gutenberg-Richter relationship were derived. Seismogenic modeling and Ground Motion Models (GMMs) were applied to estimate ground motion probabilities for a 475-year return period. Additionally, a PSHA map was constructed using GNSS strain rates, translating velocity-derived strain rates into seismic moment rates and ground shaking probabilities for seismic source zones. Comparative analyses revealed higher PGA values from GNSS strain data compared to seismic catalog data. GNSS strain data proved invaluable for refining seismic segmentation in Northern Chile, enhancing the precision of PSHA calculations.ConclusionsA PSHA map for Northern Chile, synthesizing seismic catalog data and GNSS strain rates using a Logic Tree-based algorithm, has been developed for a 475-year return period. This map provides a critical tool for generating seismic hazard assessments aligned with building codes and emergency planning protocols. By integrating GNSS strain rates and seismic data, this study advances the reliability and accuracy of long-term ground shaking predictions.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



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Scopus
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SciELO
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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Das, Ranjit - Universidad Católica del Norte - Chile
2 Meneses, Claudio - Universidad Católica del Norte - Chile
3 Wang, Hua - South China Agr Univ - China

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Financiamiento



Fuente
FONDECYT

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
Acknowledgements: We acknowledge the invaluable contributions of the anonymous reviewers and the editor whose feedback has substantially improved this manuscript. This research was supported by FONDECYT Grant 11200618.

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