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| DOI | 10.3390/ECONOMIES12100269 | ||||
| Año | 2024 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Short time series are fundamental in the foreign exchange market due to their ability to provide real-time information, allowing traders to react quickly to market movements, thus optimizing profits and mitigating risks. Economic transactions show a strong connection to foreign currencies, making exchange rate prediction challenging. In this study, the exchange rate estimation between the US dollar (USD) and the Chilean peso (CLP) for a short period, from 2 August 2021 to 31 August 2022, is modeled using the nonlinear Schr & ouml;dinger equation (NLSE) and calculated with the fourth-order Runge-Kutta method, respectively. Additionally, the daily fluctuations of the current exchange rate are characterized using the Hurst exponent, H, and later used to generate short synthetic fluctuations to predict the USD-CLP exchange rate. The results show that the USD-CLP exchange rate can be estimated with an error of less than 5%, while when using short synthetic fluctuations, the exchange rate shows an error of less than 10%.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lopez, Juan L. | Hombre |
Universidad Católica del Maule - Chile
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| 2 | Morales-Salinas, David | - |
Universidad Católica del Maule - Chile
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| 3 | Toral-Acosta, Daniel | - |
Univ Autonoma Nuevo Leon - México
Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo Leon - México |