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Winter Targeted Observing Periods during the Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH)
Indexado
WoS WOS:001318542200001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85203554939
DOI 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0249.1
Año 2024
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



The Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH) held seven targeted observing periods (TOPs) during the 2022 austral winter to enhance atmospheric predictability over the Southern Ocean and Antarctica. The TOPs of 5-10-day duration each featured the release of additional radiosonde balloons, more than doubling the routine sounding program at the 24 participating stations run by 14 nations, together with process-oriented observations at selected sites. These extra sounding data are evaluated for their impact on forecast skill via data denial experiments with the goal of refining the observing system to improve numerical weather prediction for winter conditions. Extensive observations focusing on clouds and precipitation primarily during atmospheric river (AR) events are being applied to refine model microphysical parameterizations for the ubiquitous mixed-phase clouds that frequently impact coastal Antarctica. Process studies are being facilitated by high-time-resolution series of observations and forecast model output via the YOPP Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (YOPPsiteMIIP). Parallel investigations are broadening the scope and impact of the YOPP-SH winter TOPs. Studies of the Antarctic tourist industry's use of weather services show the scope for much greater awareness of the availability of forecast products and the skill they exhibit. The Sea Ice Prediction Network South (SIPN South) analysis of predictions of the sea ice growth period reveals that the forecast skill is superior to the sea ice retreat phase.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Bromwich, David H. Hombre OHIO STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center - Estados Unidos
2 Gorodetskaya, Irina V. Mujer Univ Porto - Portugal
Univ Aveiro - Portugal
CIIMAR - Interdisciplinary Centre of Marine and Environmental Research - Portugal
Universidade de Aveiro - Portugal
3 Carpentier, Scott Hombre Bur Meteorol - Australia
Bureau of Meteorology Australia - Australia
4 Alexander, Simon - Australian Antarctic Div - Australia
Australian Antarctic División - Australia
5 Bazile, Eric Hombre Meteo France - Francia
6 Heinrich, Victoria J. Mujer Univ Tasmania - Australia
University of Tasmania - Australia
7 Massonnet, Francois - Catholic Univ Louvain - Bélgica
Université catholique de Louvain - Bélgica
8 Powers, Jordan G. Hombre NSF Natl Ctr Atmospher Res - Estados Unidos
National Center for Atmospheric Research - Estados Unidos
9 CARRASCO-CERDA, JORGE FERNANDO Hombre Universidad de Magallanes - Chile
10 Cayette, Arthur - Naval Informat Warfare Ctr Atlantic - Estados Unidos
Atlantic - Estados Unidos
11 Choi, Taejin Hombre Korea Polar Res Inst - Corea del Sur
Korea Polar Research Institute - Corea del Sur
12 Chyhareva, Anastasiia - Natl Antarctic Sci Ctr - Ucrania
Ukrainian Hydrometeorol Inst - Ucrania
National Antarctic Scientific Center Of Ukraine - Ucrania
Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute - Ucrania
13 Colwell, Steven R. - BRITISH ANTARCTIC SURVEY - Reino Unido
14 Cordeira, Jason M. - Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos
15 CORDERO-CARRASCO, RAUL RODRIGO Hombre Universidad de Santiago de Chile - Chile
16 Doerenbecher, Alexis - Meteo France - Francia
17 Duran-Alarcon, Claudio Hombre Univ Porto - Portugal
CIIMAR - Interdisciplinary Centre of Marine and Environmental Research - Portugal
18 John French, W. R. - Australian Antarctic Div - Australia
Australian Antarctic División - Australia
18 French, W. John R. - Australian Antarctic Div - Australia
Australian Antarctic División - Australia
19 Gonzalez-Herrero, Sergi Hombre Agencia Estatal Meteorol - España
WSL Inst Snow & Avalanche Res SLF - Suiza
WSL - Institut für Schnee- und Lawinenforschung SLF - Davos - Suiza
Agencia Estatal de Meteorología - España
20 Guyot, Adrien - Bur Meteorol - Australia
Bureau of Meteorology Australia - Australia
21 Haiden, Thomas Hombre European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts - Reino Unido
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts - Reino Unido
22 Hirasawa, Naohiko Hombre Natl Inst Polar Res - Japón
National Institute of Polar Research - Japón
23 Rodriguez Imazio, Paola Mujer CONICET Natl Weather Serv - Argentina
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas - Argentina
24 Kawzenuk, Brian - Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos
25 Krakovska, Svitlana - Natl Antarctic Sci Ctr - Ucrania
Ukrainian Hydrometeorol Inst - Ucrania
National Antarctic Scientific Center Of Ukraine - Ucrania
Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute - Ucrania
26 Lazzara, Matthew A. Hombre Univ Wisconsin Madison - Estados Unidos
University of Wisconsin-Madison - Estados Unidos
27 Litell, Mariana Fontolan - OHIO STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center - Estados Unidos
28 Manning, Kevin W. Hombre NSF Natl Ctr Atmospher Res - Estados Unidos
National Center for Atmospheric Research - Estados Unidos
29 Norris, Kimberley Mujer Univ Tasmania - Australia
University of Tasmania - Australia
30 Park, Sang Jong - Korea Polar Res Inst - Corea del Sur
Korea Polar Research Institute - Corea del Sur
31 Ralph, F. Martin - Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos
32 Rowe, Penny M. Mujer NorthWest Res Associates - Estados Unidos
NorthWest Research Associates, Inc. - Estados Unidos
33 Sun, Qizhen - Natl Ctr Marine Environm Forecasting - China
National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center - China
34 Vitale, Vito Hombre Inst Polar Sci CNR ISP - Italia
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche - Italia
35 Wille, Jonathan D. - Swiss Fed Inst Technol - Suiza
CNRS UGA - Francia
Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima - Suiza
CNRS Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Francia
36 Zhang, Zhenhai - Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos
37 Zou, Xun - Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos

Muestra la afiliación y género (detectado) para los co-autores de la publicación.

Financiamiento



Fuente
FONDECYT
Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH)
National Science Foundation
Anillo
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
NSF
Korea Polar Research Institute
CESAM
Centro de Estudos Ambientais e Marinhos, Universidade de Aveiro
Agence Nationale de la Recherche
Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research
Fuel Cell Technologies Program
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Department of Water Resources
Direccion Nacional del Antartico
DMC
Centro Interdisciplinar de Investigação Marinha e Ambiental
Servicio Meteorologico Nacional
Chilean Weather Service
Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group
National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky
Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station
MPL results at Escudero
California AR Program, Phase II
Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO)
Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science
Institut polaire franais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV)
King Sejong
Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica
Chilean Science Agency
California AR Program
National Antarctic Scientific Center
Institute des Géosciences de l’Environnement

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
Acknowledgments. Preparation of this manuscript, that is, contribution 1628 of Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, was supported in part by NSF Grant 2205398. The Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group funded the publication charges. We are grateful for all observers at the stations who volunteered to prepare and release the additional TOP radiosondes. The creation of the polar AR toolkit was supported by NSF Grants 2127632 and 2229392. Polar WRF simulations of ARs were performed on the San Diego Supercomputing Center's COMET with support provided by the California AR Program, Phase II 460001361 and Phase III 4600014294 (State of California, Department of Water Resources) . We thank ECMWF for making available high-resolution forecast products during the winter YOPP-SH period and ERA5 reanalysis data (available via Coper-nicus Climate Change Service; https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu) . Enhanced radiosonde observations during winter YOPP-SH in the Antarctic Peninsula-Weddell Sea region were possible, thanks to the support by Chilean Weather Service (DMC) , Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH Grant RT_69-20) , and Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO Grant ACT210046 and FONDECYT 1221122) at Escudero; Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI, PE23030) at King Sejong; Servicio Meteorologico Nacional (SMN) and Direccion Nacional del Antartico (DNA) , Argentina, Marambio; and National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky. Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station was supported by the Institute des Geosciences de l'Environnement (CNRS, France) via collaboration with Vincent Favier. Meteo-France and Institut polaire francais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV) supported extra radiosonde releases at Kerguelen and Dumont d'Urville. IVG thanks the support by the strategic funding to CIIMAR (UIDB/04423/2020, UIDP/04423/2020) ; CESAM (UIDP/50017/2020, UIDB/50017/2020, and LA/P/0094/2020) ; 2021.03140.CEECIND; project ATLACE (CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019) ; and Portuguese Polar Program through national funds provided by Fundac & atilde;o para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia (FCT) . SK and AC were supported by the Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica for 2011-23. JDW acknowledges the support from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche project ANR-20-CE01-0013 (ARCA) . We are grateful to Robert Stillwell for help with analysis and interpreta-tion of MPL results at Escudero, to Peter Kuma for the open-source mpl2nc codebase to convert MPL data to netcdf format (https://github.com /peterkuma/mpl2nc) , and to Barbara Casati (Environment and Climate Change Canada) for helping to link YOPP-SH with YOPPsiteMIIP and providing an example of MMDF output. Deployment of the instrumentation to Davis, the ongoing operation of the VHF ra-dar, and the contributions of S. P. Alexander and W. J. R. French to this project were supported by the Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science projects 4387, 4445, and 4637. We thank Derryn Harvie for his invaluable assistance in installing, commissioning, and maintain-ing the instruments at Davis throughout 2022. We thank the Australian Bureau of Meteorology staff and forecasters who helped coordinate the TOPs and the technical officers at the eight meteorologi-cal observing offices who supported this work through additional radiosonde launches. Thanks to David Mikolajczyk, Matthew G. Noojin, Ethan Koudelka, Bella Onsi, Anastasia Tomanek, and Karissa Shannon for their help with the data repository efforts at the Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center (AMRDC) along with support from NSF Grants 1951720 and 1951603. We appreciate the contributions of the three anonymous reviewers toward improving the clarity of the manuscript.
Acknowledgments. Preparation of this manuscript, that is, contribution 1628 of Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, was supported in part by NSF Grant 2205398. The Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group funded the publication charges. We are grateful for all observers at the stations who volunteered to prepare and release the additional TOP radiosondes. The creation of the polar AR toolkit was supported by NSF Grants 2127632 and 2229392. Polar WRF simulations of ARs were performed on the San Diego Supercomputing Center\u2019s COMET with support provided by the California AR Program, Phase II 460001361 and Phase III 4600014294 (State of California, Department of Water Resources). We thank ECMWF for making available high-resolution forecast products during the winter YOPP-SH period and ERA5 reanalysis data (available via Copernicus Climate Change Service; https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu). Enhanced radiosonde observations during winter YOPP-SH in the Antarctic Peninsula\u2013Weddell Sea region were possible, thanks to the support by Chilean Weather Service (DMC), Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH Grant RT_69-20), and Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO Grant ACT210046 and FONDECYT 1221122) at Escudero; Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI, PE23030) at King Sejong; Servicio Meteorol\u00F3gico Nacional (SMN) and Direcci\u00F3n Nacional del Antartico (DNA), Argentina, Marambio; and National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky. Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station was supported by the Institute des G\u00E9osciences de l\u2019Environnement (CNRS, France) via collaboration with Vincent Favier. M\u00E9t\u00E9o-France and Institut polaire fran\u00E7ais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV) supported extra radiosonde releases at Kerguelen and Dumont d\u2019Urville. IVG thanks the support by the strategic funding to CIIMAR (UIDB/04423/2020, UIDP/04423/2020); CESAM (UIDP/50017/2020, UIDB/50017/2020, and LA/P/0094/2020); 2021.03140.CEECIND; project ATLACE (CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019); and Portuguese Polar Program through national funds provided by Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnologia (FCT). SK and AC were supported by the Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica for 2011\u201323. JDW acknowledges the support from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche project ANR-20-CE01-0013 (ARCA). We are grateful to Robert Stillwell for help with analysis and interpretation of MPL results at Escudero, to Peter Kuma for the open-source mpl2nc codebase to convert MPL data to netcdf format (https://github.com/peterkuma/mpl2nc), and to Barbara Casati (Environment and Climate Change Canada) for helping to link YOPP-SH with YOPPsiteMIIP and providing an example of MMDF output. Deployment of the instrumentation to Davis, the ongoing operation of the VHF radar, and the contributions of S. P. Alexander and W. J. R. French to this project were supported by the Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science projects 4387, 4445, and 4637. We thank Derryn Harvie for his invaluable assistance in installing, commissioning, and maintaining the instruments at Davis throughout 2022. We thank the Australian Bureau of Meteorology staff and forecasters who helped coordinate the TOPs and the technical officers at the eight meteorological observing offices who supported this work through additional radiosonde launches. Thanks to David Mikolajczyk, Matthew G. Noojin, Ethan Koudelka, Bella Onsi, Anastasia Tomanek, and Karissa Shannon for their help with the data repository efforts at the Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center (AMRDC) along with support from NSF Grants 1951720 and 1951603. We appreciate the contributions of the three anonymous reviewers toward improving the clarity of the manuscript.
Acknowledgments. Preparation of this manuscript, that is, contribution 1628 of Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, was supported in part by NSF Grant 2205398. The Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group funded the publication charges. We are grateful for all observers at the stations who volunteered to prepare and release the additional TOP radiosondes. The creation of the polar AR toolkit was supported by NSF Grants 2127632 and 2229392. Polar WRF simulations of ARs were performed on the San Diego Supercomputing Center\u2019s COMET with support provided by the California AR Program, Phase II 460001361 and Phase III 4600014294 (State of California, Department of Water Resources). We thank ECMWF for making available high-resolution forecast products during the winter YOPP-SH period and ERA5 reanalysis data (available via Copernicus Climate Change Service; https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu). Enhanced radiosonde observations during winter YOPP-SH in the Antarctic Peninsula\u2013Weddell Sea region were possible, thanks to the support by Chilean Weather Service (DMC), Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH Grant RT_69-20), and Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO Grant ACT210046 and FONDECYT 1221122) at Escudero; Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI, PE23030) at King Sejong; Servicio Meteorol\u00F3gico Nacional (SMN) and Direcci\u00F3n Nacional del Antartico (DNA), Argentina, Marambio; and National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky. Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station was supported by the Institute des G\u00E9osciences de l\u2019Environnement (CNRS, France) via collaboration with Vincent Favier. M\u00E9t\u00E9o-France and Institut polaire fran\u00E7ais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV) supported extra radiosonde releases at Kerguelen and Dumont d\u2019Urville. IVG thanks the support by the strategic funding to CIIMAR (UIDB/04423/2020, UIDP/04423/2020); CESAM (UIDP/50017/2020, UIDB/50017/2020, and LA/P/0094/2020); 2021.03140.CEECIND; project ATLACE (CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019); and Portuguese Polar Program through national funds provided by Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnologia (FCT). SK and AC were supported by the Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica for 2011\u201323. JDW acknowledges the support from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche project ANR-20-CE01-0013 (ARCA). We are grateful to Robert Stillwell for help with analysis and interpretation of MPL results at Escudero, to Peter Kuma for the open-source mpl2nc codebase to convert MPL data to netcdf format (https://github.com/peterkuma/mpl2nc), and to Barbara Casati (Environment and Climate Change Canada) for helping to link YOPP-SH with YOPPsiteMIIP and providing an example of MMDF output. Deployment of the instrumentation to Davis, the ongoing operation of the VHF radar, and the contributions of S. P. Alexander and W. J. R. French to this project were supported by the Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science projects 4387, 4445, and 4637. We thank Derryn Harvie for his invaluable assistance in installing, commissioning, and maintaining the instruments at Davis throughout 2022. We thank the Australian Bureau of Meteorology staff and forecasters who helped coordinate the TOPs and the technical officers at the eight meteorological observing offices who supported this work through additional radiosonde launches. Thanks to David Mikolajczyk, Matthew G. Noojin, Ethan Koudelka, Bella Onsi, Anastasia Tomanek, and Karissa Shannon for their help with the data repository efforts at the Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center (AMRDC) along with support from NSF Grants 1951720 and 1951603. We appreciate the contributions of the three anonymous reviewers toward improving the clarity of the manuscript.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.