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| DOI | 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0249.1 | ||||
| Año | 2024 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
The Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH) held seven targeted observing periods (TOPs) during the 2022 austral winter to enhance atmospheric predictability over the Southern Ocean and Antarctica. The TOPs of 5-10-day duration each featured the release of additional radiosonde balloons, more than doubling the routine sounding program at the 24 participating stations run by 14 nations, together with process-oriented observations at selected sites. These extra sounding data are evaluated for their impact on forecast skill via data denial experiments with the goal of refining the observing system to improve numerical weather prediction for winter conditions. Extensive observations focusing on clouds and precipitation primarily during atmospheric river (AR) events are being applied to refine model microphysical parameterizations for the ubiquitous mixed-phase clouds that frequently impact coastal Antarctica. Process studies are being facilitated by high-time-resolution series of observations and forecast model output via the YOPP Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (YOPPsiteMIIP). Parallel investigations are broadening the scope and impact of the YOPP-SH winter TOPs. Studies of the Antarctic tourist industry's use of weather services show the scope for much greater awareness of the availability of forecast products and the skill they exhibit. The Sea Ice Prediction Network South (SIPN South) analysis of predictions of the sea ice growth period reveals that the forecast skill is superior to the sea ice retreat phase.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromwich, David H. | Hombre |
OHIO STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center - Estados Unidos |
| 2 | Gorodetskaya, Irina V. | Mujer |
Univ Porto - Portugal
Univ Aveiro - Portugal CIIMAR - Interdisciplinary Centre of Marine and Environmental Research - Portugal Universidade de Aveiro - Portugal |
| 3 | Carpentier, Scott | Hombre |
Bur Meteorol - Australia
Bureau of Meteorology Australia - Australia |
| 4 | Alexander, Simon | - |
Australian Antarctic Div - Australia
Australian Antarctic División - Australia |
| 5 | Bazile, Eric | Hombre |
Meteo France - Francia
|
| 6 | Heinrich, Victoria J. | Mujer |
Univ Tasmania - Australia
University of Tasmania - Australia |
| 7 | Massonnet, Francois | - |
Catholic Univ Louvain - Bélgica
Université catholique de Louvain - Bélgica |
| 8 | Powers, Jordan G. | Hombre |
NSF Natl Ctr Atmospher Res - Estados Unidos
National Center for Atmospheric Research - Estados Unidos |
| 9 | CARRASCO-CERDA, JORGE FERNANDO | Hombre |
Universidad de Magallanes - Chile
|
| 10 | Cayette, Arthur | - |
Naval Informat Warfare Ctr Atlantic - Estados Unidos
Atlantic - Estados Unidos |
| 11 | Choi, Taejin | Hombre |
Korea Polar Res Inst - Corea del Sur
Korea Polar Research Institute - Corea del Sur |
| 12 | Chyhareva, Anastasiia | - |
Natl Antarctic Sci Ctr - Ucrania
Ukrainian Hydrometeorol Inst - Ucrania National Antarctic Scientific Center Of Ukraine - Ucrania Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute - Ucrania |
| 13 | Colwell, Steven R. | - |
BRITISH ANTARCTIC SURVEY - Reino Unido
|
| 14 | Cordeira, Jason M. | - |
Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos |
| 15 | CORDERO-CARRASCO, RAUL RODRIGO | Hombre |
Universidad de Santiago de Chile - Chile
|
| 16 | Doerenbecher, Alexis | - |
Meteo France - Francia
|
| 17 | Duran-Alarcon, Claudio | Hombre |
Univ Porto - Portugal
CIIMAR - Interdisciplinary Centre of Marine and Environmental Research - Portugal |
| 18 | John French, W. R. | - |
Australian Antarctic Div - Australia
Australian Antarctic División - Australia |
| 18 | French, W. John R. | - |
Australian Antarctic Div - Australia
Australian Antarctic División - Australia |
| 19 | Gonzalez-Herrero, Sergi | Hombre |
Agencia Estatal Meteorol - España
WSL Inst Snow & Avalanche Res SLF - Suiza WSL - Institut für Schnee- und Lawinenforschung SLF - Davos - Suiza Agencia Estatal de Meteorología - España |
| 20 | Guyot, Adrien | - |
Bur Meteorol - Australia
Bureau of Meteorology Australia - Australia |
| 21 | Haiden, Thomas | Hombre |
European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts - Reino Unido
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts - Reino Unido |
| 22 | Hirasawa, Naohiko | Hombre |
Natl Inst Polar Res - Japón
National Institute of Polar Research - Japón |
| 23 | Rodriguez Imazio, Paola | Mujer |
CONICET Natl Weather Serv - Argentina
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas - Argentina |
| 24 | Kawzenuk, Brian | - |
Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos |
| 25 | Krakovska, Svitlana | - |
Natl Antarctic Sci Ctr - Ucrania
Ukrainian Hydrometeorol Inst - Ucrania National Antarctic Scientific Center Of Ukraine - Ucrania Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute - Ucrania |
| 26 | Lazzara, Matthew A. | Hombre |
Univ Wisconsin Madison - Estados Unidos
University of Wisconsin-Madison - Estados Unidos |
| 27 | Litell, Mariana Fontolan | - |
OHIO STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center - Estados Unidos |
| 28 | Manning, Kevin W. | Hombre |
NSF Natl Ctr Atmospher Res - Estados Unidos
National Center for Atmospheric Research - Estados Unidos |
| 29 | Norris, Kimberley | Mujer |
Univ Tasmania - Australia
University of Tasmania - Australia |
| 30 | Park, Sang Jong | - |
Korea Polar Res Inst - Corea del Sur
Korea Polar Research Institute - Corea del Sur |
| 31 | Ralph, F. Martin | - |
Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos |
| 32 | Rowe, Penny M. | Mujer |
NorthWest Res Associates - Estados Unidos
NorthWest Research Associates, Inc. - Estados Unidos |
| 33 | Sun, Qizhen | - |
Natl Ctr Marine Environm Forecasting - China
National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center - China |
| 34 | Vitale, Vito | Hombre |
Inst Polar Sci CNR ISP - Italia
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche - Italia |
| 35 | Wille, Jonathan D. | - |
Swiss Fed Inst Technol - Suiza
CNRS UGA - Francia Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima - Suiza CNRS Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Francia |
| 36 | Zhang, Zhenhai | - |
Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos |
| 37 | Zou, Xun | - |
Univ San Diego - Estados Unidos
University of San Diego - Estados Unidos |
| Fuente |
|---|
| FONDECYT |
| Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH) |
| National Science Foundation |
| Anillo |
| Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia |
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico |
| NSF |
| Korea Polar Research Institute |
| CESAM |
| Centro de Estudos Ambientais e Marinhos, Universidade de Aveiro |
| Agence Nationale de la Recherche |
| Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research |
| Fuel Cell Technologies Program |
| Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique |
| Department of Water Resources |
| Direccion Nacional del Antartico |
| DMC |
| Centro Interdisciplinar de Investigação Marinha e Ambiental |
| Servicio Meteorologico Nacional |
| Chilean Weather Service |
| Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group |
| National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky |
| Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station |
| MPL results at Escudero |
| California AR Program, Phase II |
| Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO) |
| Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science |
| Institut polaire franais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV) |
| King Sejong |
| Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica |
| Chilean Science Agency |
| California AR Program |
| National Antarctic Scientific Center |
| Institute des Géosciences de l’Environnement |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| Acknowledgments. Preparation of this manuscript, that is, contribution 1628 of Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, was supported in part by NSF Grant 2205398. The Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group funded the publication charges. We are grateful for all observers at the stations who volunteered to prepare and release the additional TOP radiosondes. The creation of the polar AR toolkit was supported by NSF Grants 2127632 and 2229392. Polar WRF simulations of ARs were performed on the San Diego Supercomputing Center's COMET with support provided by the California AR Program, Phase II 460001361 and Phase III 4600014294 (State of California, Department of Water Resources) . We thank ECMWF for making available high-resolution forecast products during the winter YOPP-SH period and ERA5 reanalysis data (available via Coper-nicus Climate Change Service; https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu) . Enhanced radiosonde observations during winter YOPP-SH in the Antarctic Peninsula-Weddell Sea region were possible, thanks to the support by Chilean Weather Service (DMC) , Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH Grant RT_69-20) , and Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO Grant ACT210046 and FONDECYT 1221122) at Escudero; Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI, PE23030) at King Sejong; Servicio Meteorologico Nacional (SMN) and Direccion Nacional del Antartico (DNA) , Argentina, Marambio; and National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky. Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station was supported by the Institute des Geosciences de l'Environnement (CNRS, France) via collaboration with Vincent Favier. Meteo-France and Institut polaire francais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV) supported extra radiosonde releases at Kerguelen and Dumont d'Urville. IVG thanks the support by the strategic funding to CIIMAR (UIDB/04423/2020, UIDP/04423/2020) ; CESAM (UIDP/50017/2020, UIDB/50017/2020, and LA/P/0094/2020) ; 2021.03140.CEECIND; project ATLACE (CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019) ; and Portuguese Polar Program through national funds provided by Fundac & atilde;o para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia (FCT) . SK and AC were supported by the Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica for 2011-23. JDW acknowledges the support from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche project ANR-20-CE01-0013 (ARCA) . We are grateful to Robert Stillwell for help with analysis and interpreta-tion of MPL results at Escudero, to Peter Kuma for the open-source mpl2nc codebase to convert MPL data to netcdf format (https://github.com /peterkuma/mpl2nc) , and to Barbara Casati (Environment and Climate Change Canada) for helping to link YOPP-SH with YOPPsiteMIIP and providing an example of MMDF output. Deployment of the instrumentation to Davis, the ongoing operation of the VHF ra-dar, and the contributions of S. P. Alexander and W. J. R. French to this project were supported by the Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science projects 4387, 4445, and 4637. We thank Derryn Harvie for his invaluable assistance in installing, commissioning, and maintain-ing the instruments at Davis throughout 2022. We thank the Australian Bureau of Meteorology staff and forecasters who helped coordinate the TOPs and the technical officers at the eight meteorologi-cal observing offices who supported this work through additional radiosonde launches. Thanks to David Mikolajczyk, Matthew G. Noojin, Ethan Koudelka, Bella Onsi, Anastasia Tomanek, and Karissa Shannon for their help with the data repository efforts at the Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center (AMRDC) along with support from NSF Grants 1951720 and 1951603. We appreciate the contributions of the three anonymous reviewers toward improving the clarity of the manuscript. |
| Acknowledgments. Preparation of this manuscript, that is, contribution 1628 of Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, was supported in part by NSF Grant 2205398. The Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group funded the publication charges. We are grateful for all observers at the stations who volunteered to prepare and release the additional TOP radiosondes. The creation of the polar AR toolkit was supported by NSF Grants 2127632 and 2229392. Polar WRF simulations of ARs were performed on the San Diego Supercomputing Center\u2019s COMET with support provided by the California AR Program, Phase II 460001361 and Phase III 4600014294 (State of California, Department of Water Resources). We thank ECMWF for making available high-resolution forecast products during the winter YOPP-SH period and ERA5 reanalysis data (available via Copernicus Climate Change Service; https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu). Enhanced radiosonde observations during winter YOPP-SH in the Antarctic Peninsula\u2013Weddell Sea region were possible, thanks to the support by Chilean Weather Service (DMC), Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH Grant RT_69-20), and Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO Grant ACT210046 and FONDECYT 1221122) at Escudero; Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI, PE23030) at King Sejong; Servicio Meteorol\u00F3gico Nacional (SMN) and Direcci\u00F3n Nacional del Antartico (DNA), Argentina, Marambio; and National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky. Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station was supported by the Institute des G\u00E9osciences de l\u2019Environnement (CNRS, France) via collaboration with Vincent Favier. M\u00E9t\u00E9o-France and Institut polaire fran\u00E7ais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV) supported extra radiosonde releases at Kerguelen and Dumont d\u2019Urville. IVG thanks the support by the strategic funding to CIIMAR (UIDB/04423/2020, UIDP/04423/2020); CESAM (UIDP/50017/2020, UIDB/50017/2020, and LA/P/0094/2020); 2021.03140.CEECIND; project ATLACE (CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019); and Portuguese Polar Program through national funds provided by Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnologia (FCT). SK and AC were supported by the Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica for 2011\u201323. JDW acknowledges the support from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche project ANR-20-CE01-0013 (ARCA). We are grateful to Robert Stillwell for help with analysis and interpretation of MPL results at Escudero, to Peter Kuma for the open-source mpl2nc codebase to convert MPL data to netcdf format (https://github.com/peterkuma/mpl2nc), and to Barbara Casati (Environment and Climate Change Canada) for helping to link YOPP-SH with YOPPsiteMIIP and providing an example of MMDF output. Deployment of the instrumentation to Davis, the ongoing operation of the VHF radar, and the contributions of S. P. Alexander and W. J. R. French to this project were supported by the Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science projects 4387, 4445, and 4637. We thank Derryn Harvie for his invaluable assistance in installing, commissioning, and maintaining the instruments at Davis throughout 2022. We thank the Australian Bureau of Meteorology staff and forecasters who helped coordinate the TOPs and the technical officers at the eight meteorological observing offices who supported this work through additional radiosonde launches. Thanks to David Mikolajczyk, Matthew G. Noojin, Ethan Koudelka, Bella Onsi, Anastasia Tomanek, and Karissa Shannon for their help with the data repository efforts at the Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center (AMRDC) along with support from NSF Grants 1951720 and 1951603. We appreciate the contributions of the three anonymous reviewers toward improving the clarity of the manuscript. |
| Acknowledgments. Preparation of this manuscript, that is, contribution 1628 of Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, was supported in part by NSF Grant 2205398. The Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research (SCAR) through its Physical Sciences Group funded the publication charges. We are grateful for all observers at the stations who volunteered to prepare and release the additional TOP radiosondes. The creation of the polar AR toolkit was supported by NSF Grants 2127632 and 2229392. Polar WRF simulations of ARs were performed on the San Diego Supercomputing Center\u2019s COMET with support provided by the California AR Program, Phase II 460001361 and Phase III 4600014294 (State of California, Department of Water Resources). We thank ECMWF for making available high-resolution forecast products during the winter YOPP-SH period and ERA5 reanalysis data (available via Copernicus Climate Change Service; https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu). Enhanced radiosonde observations during winter YOPP-SH in the Antarctic Peninsula\u2013Weddell Sea region were possible, thanks to the support by Chilean Weather Service (DMC), Chilean Antarctic Institute (INACH Grant RT_69-20), and Chilean Science Agency (ANILLO Grant ACT210046 and FONDECYT 1221122) at Escudero; Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI, PE23030) at King Sejong; Servicio Meteorol\u00F3gico Nacional (SMN) and Direcci\u00F3n Nacional del Antartico (DNA), Argentina, Marambio; and National Antarctic Scientific Center (NASC) of Ukraine at Vernadsky. Deployment of the MRR2 radar at the Escudero Station was supported by the Institute des G\u00E9osciences de l\u2019Environnement (CNRS, France) via collaboration with Vincent Favier. M\u00E9t\u00E9o-France and Institut polaire fran\u00E7ais Paul-Emile Victor (IPEV) supported extra radiosonde releases at Kerguelen and Dumont d\u2019Urville. IVG thanks the support by the strategic funding to CIIMAR (UIDB/04423/2020, UIDP/04423/2020); CESAM (UIDP/50017/2020, UIDB/50017/2020, and LA/P/0094/2020); 2021.03140.CEECIND; project ATLACE (CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019); and Portuguese Polar Program through national funds provided by Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnologia (FCT). SK and AC were supported by the Ukrainian State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica for 2011\u201323. JDW acknowledges the support from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche project ANR-20-CE01-0013 (ARCA). We are grateful to Robert Stillwell for help with analysis and interpretation of MPL results at Escudero, to Peter Kuma for the open-source mpl2nc codebase to convert MPL data to netcdf format (https://github.com/peterkuma/mpl2nc), and to Barbara Casati (Environment and Climate Change Canada) for helping to link YOPP-SH with YOPPsiteMIIP and providing an example of MMDF output. Deployment of the instrumentation to Davis, the ongoing operation of the VHF radar, and the contributions of S. P. Alexander and W. J. R. French to this project were supported by the Australian Antarctic Division through Australian Antarctic Science projects 4387, 4445, and 4637. We thank Derryn Harvie for his invaluable assistance in installing, commissioning, and maintaining the instruments at Davis throughout 2022. We thank the Australian Bureau of Meteorology staff and forecasters who helped coordinate the TOPs and the technical officers at the eight meteorological observing offices who supported this work through additional radiosonde launches. Thanks to David Mikolajczyk, Matthew G. Noojin, Ethan Koudelka, Bella Onsi, Anastasia Tomanek, and Karissa Shannon for their help with the data repository efforts at the Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center (AMRDC) along with support from NSF Grants 1951720 and 1951603. We appreciate the contributions of the three anonymous reviewers toward improving the clarity of the manuscript. |