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| DOI | 10.1093/GJI/GGAE069 | ||||
| Año | 2024 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Subduction earthquakes show complex spatial and temporal rupture patterns, exhibiting events of varied sizes, which rupture distinct or overlapping fault segments. Elucidating first-order controlling conditions of rupture segmentation and return periods of large earthquakes is therefore critical for seismic and tsunami hazard estimations. The Chilean subduction zone frequently hosts several M-w > 8 earthquakes, with heterogeneous recurrence rates and locations. Here, we implement 3-D quasi-dynamic rate and state frictional models to investigate the role of plate interface geometry on the distribution of interseismic coupling and coseismic ruptures in Central Chile. First, we develop synthetic-parametric models that show how dip and strike variations may increase the probabilities to produce partial seismic barriers, which tend to avoid the production of large earthquake ruptures and modulate rupture lengths. Then, we simulate the subduction seismic cycle processes on Central Chile (25(degrees)S-38(degrees)S), imposing depth-dependent frictional properties on a realistic non-planar 3-D subduction interface geometry. Similar to results obtained for synthetic-parametric models, after 5000 yr of simulation, regions with abrupt dip or strike changes increase the probabilities of stopping coseismic propagation of simulated M-w 8.0-9.0 earthquakes. Our simulated earthquake sequences on the Central Chile subduction zone delimit rupture areas that match geometrical interface features and historical earthquakes, results that point to the crucial role of fault interface geometry on seismic cycle segmentation along strike.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herrera, Marco T. | - |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) - Chile National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management - Chile |
| 2 | Crempien, Jorge G. F. | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) - Chile National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management - Chile |
| 3 | CEMBRANO-PERASSO, JOSE MIGUEL | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
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| 4 | MORENO-SWITT, MARCOS | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) - Chile National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management - Chile |
| Fuente |
|---|
| FONDECYT |
| CIGIDEN |
| Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de Investigación en Áreas Prioritarias |
| Centro de Investigacion para la Gestion Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) |
| Millennium Scientific Initiative (ICM) |
| Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigacion y Desarrollo (ANID)/Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de Investigacion en Areas Prioritarias |
| Dynamic Rupture on Faults with Heterogeneous Frictional Properties |
| Chilean National Agency for Research and Development through the FONDECYT |
| ANID 'Agencia Nacional de Investigacion y Desarrollo-Subdireccion de Capital Humano/Doctorado Nacional/2020' national Ph.D. scholarship |
| FOND AP |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| This research project has been supported by Centro de Investigacion para la Gestion Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN), Agencia Nacional de Investigacion y Desarrollo (ANID)/Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de Investigacion en Areas Prioritarias (FOND AP)/1522A0005. JGFC acknowledges support from ANID/FONDECYT/11201180 (Dynamic Rupture on Faults with Heterogeneous Frictional Properties). MM was supported by the Chilean National Agency for Research and Development through the FONDECYT No.1221507 Project, the Millennium Scientific Initiative (ICM) grant NC160025 'CYCLO-the seismic cycle along subduction zones'. JC thanks FONDECYT grant 1210591, assessing the interplay between the subduction seismic cycle and upper plate tectonics and volcanism. MTH acknowledges the support by ANID 'Agencia Nacional de Investigacion y Desarrollo-Subdireccion de Capital Humano/Doctorado Nacional/2020' national Ph.D. scholarship 21201352. |
| This research project has been supported by Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN), Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo (ANID)/Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de Investigación en Áreas Prioritarias (FOND AP)/1522A0005. JGFC acknowledges support from ANID/FONDECYT/11201180 (Dynamic Rupture on Faults with Heterogeneous Frictional Properties). MM was supported by the Chilean National Agency for Research and Development through the FONDECYT No.1221507 Project, the Millennium Scientific Initiative (ICM) grant NC160025 ‘CYCLO—the seismic cycle along subduction zones'. JC thanks FONDECYT grant 1210591, assessing the interplay between the subduction seismic cycle and upper plate tectonics and volcanism. MTH acknowledges the support by ANID ‘Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo-Subdirección de Capital Humano/Doctorado Nacional/2020’ national Ph.D. scholarship 21201352. |