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| Indexado |
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| DOI | 10.5194/TC-18-2487-2024 | ||||
| Año | 2024 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
The impacts of the accelerated glacier retreat in recent decades on glacier runoff changes are still unknown in most Andean catchments, increasing uncertainties in estimating water availability. This particularly affects the outer tropics and Dry Andes, heavily impacted by prolonged droughts. Current global estimates overlook climatic and morphometric disparities, which significantly influence model parameters, among Andean glaciers. Meanwhile, local studies have used different approaches to estimate glacier runoff in a few catchments. Improving 21st-century glacier runoff projections relies on calibrating and validating models using corrected historical climate inputs and calibrated parameters across diverse glaciological zones. Here, we simulate glacier evolution and related runoff changes between the periods 2000-2009 and 2010-2019 across 786 Andean catchments (11 282 km 2 of glacierized area, 11 degrees N to 55 degrees S) using the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM). TerraClimate atmospheric variables were corrected using in situ data, getting a mean temperature bias by up to 2.1 degrees C and enhanced monthly precipitation. Glacier mass balance and volume were calibrated, where melt factor and the Glen A parameter exhibited significant alignment with varying environmental conditions. Simulation outcomes were validated against in situ data in three documented catchments (with a glacierized area > 8 %) and monitored glaciers. Our results at the Andes scale reveal an average reduction of 8.3 % in glacier volume and a decrease of 2.2 % in surface area between the periods 2000-2009 and 2010-2019. Comparing these two periods, glacier and climate variations have led to a 12 % increase in mean annual glacier melt (86.5 m 3 s( - 1) ) and a decrease in rainfall on glaciers of - 2 % ( - 7.6 m 3 s( - 1) ) across the Andes, with both variables comprising the glacier runoff. We confirmed the utility of our corrected regional simulations of glacier runoff contribution at the catchment scale, where our estimations align with previous studies (e.g., Maipo 34 degrees S, Chile) as well as provide new insights on the seasonal glaciers' largest contribution (e.g., La Paz 16 degrees S, Bolivia) and new estimates of glacier runoff contribution (e.g., Baker 47 degrees S, Chile).
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caro, Alexis | Hombre |
Univ Grenoble Alpes - Francia
Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 2 | Condom, Thomas | - |
Univ Grenoble Alpes - Francia
Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 3 | Rabatel, A. | Hombre |
Univ Grenoble Alpes - Francia
Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 4 | Champollion, Nicolas | - |
Univ Grenoble Alpes - Francia
Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 5 | Garcia, Nicolas | - |
Centro de Estudios Científicos - Chile
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| 6 | SAAVEDRA-PIMENTEL, FREDDY ALEJANDRO | Hombre |
Universidad de Playa Ancha - Chile
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| Fuente |
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| Institut de recherche pour le développement |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo |
| Agenția Națională pentru Cercetare și Dezvoltare |
| National Agency for Research and Development (ANID)/Scholarship Program/-DOCTORADO BECAS |
| CLIMAT AmSud project AndeSnow |
| Agradecimiento |
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| This study was conducted as part of the International Joint Laboratory GREAT-ICE and the Service National d'Observation GLACIOCLIM (https://glacioclim.osug.fr, last access: July 2022), two joint initiatives of the IRD; universities/institutions in Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, and Colombia; and the IRN-ANDES-C2H. This research was funded by the National Agency for Research and Development (ANID)/Scholarship Program/-DOCTORADO BECAS CHILE/2019-72200174. This work was also supported by the CLIMAT AmSud project AndeSnow (grant no. CLI2020006). |
| This study was conducted as part of the International Joint Laboratory GREAT-ICE and the Service National d'Observation GLACIOCLIM (https://glacioclim.osug.fr, last access: July2022), two joint initiatives of the IRD; universities/institutions in Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, and Colombia; and the IRN-ANDES-C2H. This research was funded by the National Agency for Research and Development (ANID)/Scholarship Program/DOCTORADO BECAS CHILE/2019-72200174. This work was also supported by the CLIMAT AmSud project AndeSnow (grant no.CLI2020006). |