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| DOI | 10.1038/S43247-024-01427-2 | ||||
| Año | 2024 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
As a consequence of on-going global warming, the ocean is losing oxygen, which has implications not only in terms of marine resources management and food supply but also in terms of the potentially important feedback on the global carbon cycle and climate. Of particular scrutiny are the extended zones of already low levels of oxygen called the oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) embedded in the subsurface waters of the productive Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS). These OMZs are currently diversely simulated by state-of-the-art Earth System Models (ESM) hampering a reliable projection of ocean deoxygenation on marine ecosystem services in these regions. Here we focus on the most emblematic EBUS OMZs of the planet, that of the South Eastern Pacific (SEP), which is under the direct influence of the El Ni & ntilde;o Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the main climate mode on interannual timescales at global scale. We show that, despite the low consensus among ESM long-term projections of oxygen levels, the sensitivity of the depth of the upper margin (oxycline) of the SEP OMZ to El Ni & ntilde;o events in an ensemble of ESMs can be used as a predictor of its long-term trend, which establishes an emergent constraint for the SEP OMZ. Because the oxycline along the coast of Peru and Chile deepens during El Ni & ntilde;o events, the upper bound of the SEP OMZ is thus likely to deepen in the future climate, therefore oxygenating the SEP OMZ. This has implications not only for understanding the nitrogen and carbon cycles at global scale but also for designing adaptation strategies for regional upper-ocean ecosystem services.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almendra, Ivan | - |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 2 | Dewitte, Boris | - |
Universidad Católica del Norte - Chile
Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas - Chile Univ Toulouse - Francia Université de Toulouse - Francia |
| 3 | Garcon, Veronique | Mujer |
Inst Phys Globe Paris - Francia
Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris - Francia |
| 4 | Munoz, Praxedes | - |
Universidad Católica del Norte - Chile
|
| 5 | Parada, Carolina | - |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 6 | MONTES-TORRES, IVONNE KATHERINE | Mujer |
Inst Geofisico Peru IGP - Perú
Instituto Geofisico del Peru - Perú |
| 7 | Duteil, Olaf | - |
Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel - Alemania
GEOMAR - Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel - Alemania |
| 8 | Paulmier, Aurelien | Hombre |
Univ Toulouse - Francia
Laboratoire d'Etudes en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales - Francia |
| 9 | Pizarro, Oscar | - |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 10 | RAMOS-QUEZADA, MARCEL EMILIO | Hombre |
Universidad Católica del Norte - Chile
|
| 11 | Koeve, Wolfgang | - |
Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel - Alemania
GEOMAR - Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel - Alemania |
| 12 | Oschlies, A. | Hombre |
Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel - Alemania
GEOMAR - Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel - Alemania |
| Fuente |
|---|
| Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia |
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico |
| Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft |
| U.S. Department of Energy |
| EU |
| Agence Nationale de la Recherche |
| Ministero dell’Istruzione, dell’Università e della Ricerca |
| Belgian Federal Science policy Office |
| ANID |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo |
| IZM |
| EU H2020 FutureMares |
| Réseau de cancérologie Rossy |
| Centro de Investigación Oceanográfica en el Pacífico Sur-Oriental |
| Desarrollo Cientıfico de Centros Regionales |
| RCN (NO) |
| ANR (FR) |
| ANID through the Anillo BiodUCCT |
| MIUR (IT) |
| Rannis (IS) |
| DFG (Deutsch Forschungsgemeinschaft) |
| FCT (PT) |
| MI (IE) |
| BELSPO (BE) |
| IZM (LV) |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| B.D. acknowledges support from ANID (Concurso de Fortalecimiento al Desarrollo Cientfico de Centros Regionales 2020-R20F0008-CEAZA, Anillo Eclipse ACT210071 and Centro de Investigacion Oceanografica en el Pacifico Sur-Oriental COPAS COASTAL FB210021, Fondecyt Regular no. 1190276 and no. 1231174). B.D. and V.G. are also supported by the EU H2020 FutureMares project (Theme LC-CLA-06-2019, Grant agreement no. 869300) and the CE2COAST project funded by ANR (FR), BELSPO (BE), FCT (PT), IZM (LV), MI (IE), MIUR (IT), Rannis (IS) and RCN (NO) through the 2019 "Joint Transnational Call on Next Generation Climate Science in Europe for Oceans" initiated by JPI Climate and JPI Oceans. M.R. acknowledges supports from ANID through the Anillo BiodUCCT (ATE220044). O.D. acknowledges support from the DFG (Deutsch Forschungsgemeinschaft) (project "SyVarBio" - 434479332). This work was carried out as part of I.A.'s Master's thesis in Geophysics (University of Concepcion). We acknowledge the World Climate Research Program's Working Group on Coupled Modeling, which is responsible for CMIP, and we thank the climate modeling groups (listed in Table S1 of this paper) for producing and making available their model output. For CMIP the U.S. Department of Energy's Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison provides coordinating support and led development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals. We would like to thank the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments, which helped improve the presentation of the results. |
| B.D. acknowledges support from ANID (Concurso de Fortalecimiento al Desarrollo Cient\u0131fico de Centros Regionales 2020-R20F0008-CEAZA, Anillo Eclipse ACT210071 and Centro de Investigaci\u00F3n Oceanogr\u00E1fica en el Pac\u00EDfico Sur-Oriental COPAS COASTAL FB210021, Fondecyt Regular no. 1190276 and no. 1231174). B.D. and V.G. are also supported by the EU H2020 FutureMares project (Theme LC-CLA-06-2019, Grant agreement no. 869300) and the CE2COAST project funded by ANR (FR), BELSPO (BE), FCT (PT), IZM (LV), MI (IE), MIUR (IT), Rannis (IS) and RCN (NO) through the 2019 \u201CJoint Transnational Call on Next Generation Climate Science in Europe for Oceans\u201D initiated by JPI Climate and JPI Oceans. M.R. acknowledges supports from ANID through the Anillo BiodUCCT (ATE220044).\u00A0O.D. acknowledges support from the DFG (Deutsch Forschungsgemeinschaft) (project \u201CSyVarBio\u201D \u2013 434479332). This work was carried out as part of I.A.\u2019s Master\u2019s thesis in Geophysics (University of Concepcion). We acknowledge the World Climate Research Program\u2019s Working Group on Coupled Modeling, which is responsible for CMIP, and we thank the climate modeling groups (listed in Table\u00A0S1 of this paper) for producing and making available their model output. For CMIP the U.S. Department of Energy\u2019s Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison provides coordinating support and led development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals.\u00A0We would like to thank the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments, which helped improve the presentation of the results. |