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| DOI | 10.1109/SCCC59417.2023.10315727 | ||
| Año | 2023 | ||
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Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
In recent years, there has been a growing interest in time series forecasting, particularly on quantifying the uncertainty in neural model predictions using prediction intervals. This study utilizes the Joint Supervision (JS) method to construct prediction intervals, a technique that has consistently outperformed similar approaches. The JS method employs a neural network with two outputs representing the interval's boundaries and another the specific prediction. Each output is optimized with a unique loss function, incorporating tunable parameters. This work introduces a modified version of the JS (JSM), which enhances in an average 8% improvement in coverage probability while maintaining a similar or slightly greater average width. Furthermore, this research compares the JSM method implemented with both Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Transformer architectures. Experiments conducted on three different databases reveal that JSM with the Transformer outperforms the LSTM version, with an average 1.77% increase in coverage probability and 12% narrower intervals.
| Revista | ISSN |
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| 2018 37 Th International Conference Of The Chilean Computer Science Society (Sccc) | 1522-4902 |
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orellana, Sebastián | - |
Universidad de Santiago de Chile - Chile
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| 2 | ACUÑA-LEIVA, GONZALO PEDRO | Hombre |
Universidad de Santiago de Chile - Chile
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