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Synthetic Simulation of Spatially-Correlated Streamflows: Weighted-Modified Fractional Gaussian Noise
Indexado
WoS WOS:001158229000001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85184367110
DOI 10.1029/2023WR035371
Año 2024
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Stochastic methods have been typically used for the design and operations of hydraulic infrastructure. They allow decision makers to evaluate existing or new infrastructure under different possible scenarios, giving them the flexibility and tools needed in decision making. In this paper, we present a novel stochastic streamflow simulation approach able to replicate both temporal and spatial dependencies from the original data in a multi-site basin context. The proposed model is a multi-site extension of the modified Fractional Gaussian Noise (mFGN) model which is well-known to be efficient to maintain periodic correlation for several time lags, but presents shortcomings in preserving the spatial correlation. Our method, called Weighted-mFGN (WmFGN), incorporates spatial dependency into streamflows simulated with mFGN by relying on the Cholesky decomposition of the spatial correlation matrix of the historical streamflow records. As the order in which the decomposition steps are performed (temporal then spatial, or vice-versa) affects the performance in terms of preserving the temporal and spatial correlation, our method searches for an optimal convex combination of the resulting correlation matrices. The result is a Pareto-curve that indicates the optimal weights of the convex combination depending on the importance given by the user to spatial and temporal correlations. The model is applied to a number of river basins in Chile, where the results show that the WmFGN approach maintains the qualities of the single-site mFGN, while significantly improving spatial correlation.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Water Resources Research 0043-1397

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Environmental Sciences
Limnology
Water Resources
Scopus
Water Science And Technology
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Chadwick, Cristian Hombre Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez - Chile
2 Babonneau, Frederic Hombre Kedge Business Sch - Francia
Ordecsys - Suiza
KEDGE Business School - Francia
3 Homem-de-Mello, Tito Hombre Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez - Chile
4 Letelier, Agustin Hombre Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez - Chile

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
Anillo ACT
FONDECYT de Iniciacin

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
This research was funded by Grants ANILLO ACT 192094 and FONDECYT de Iniciacion 11220952. We want to give a special thanks to Constanza Zavala for her help in the literature review and in the extended experiment. We also want to thank the anonymous reviewers and the editors of the paper, who have written thorough reviews that helped us significantly improve the manuscript.
This research was funded by Grants ANILLO ACT 192094 and FONDECYT de Iniciación 11220952. We want to give a special thanks to Constanza Zavala for her help in the literature review and in the extended experiment. We also want to thank the anonymous reviewers and the editors of the paper, who have written thorough reviews that helped us significantly improve the manuscript.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.