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Hydrological response of a headwater catchment in the semi-arid Andes (30°S) to climate change
Indexado
WoS WOS:001065662900001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85175567865
DOI 10.2166/WCC.2023.268
Año 2023
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Globally, climate change has caused a significant reduction in snow cover in mountainous regions. To understand the impact of present and future snow changes on runoff in the semi-arid Andes, we applied the Hydro-BID hydrological model and associated datasets to the headwaters of the Elqui River basin (30 degrees S) for current conditions and two Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios. Results show that model calibration at daily, monthly and annual time scales (R-2 0.7, 0.7 and 0.8) and validation (R2 0.6, 0.7 and 0.7) were satisfactory. Future climate change scenario SSP2-4.5 indicates for 2040-2059, 2060-2079 and 2080-2099 temperature increases of 1.2, 1.6 and 1.9 degrees C and precipitation reductions of 26, 29 and 36%. Discharge for SSP2-4.5 will reduce (the average annual flow decreases by 54, 58 and 66%). For the same periods, SSP5-8.5 projects temperature increases of 1.5, 2.6 and 3.7 degrees C and precipitation reductions of 28, 39 and 44%. Compared to SSP2-4.5, river discharge will experience a more acute reduction (projected annual decrease of 57, 70 and 77%). Model results indicate that the maximum flow will be reached 3 months earlier than today. Results reinforce the importance of snow for runoff in the semi-arid Andes and the applicability of Hydro-BID in mountainous regions.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Water Resources
Scopus
Management, Monitoring, Policy And Law
Global And Planetary Change
Water Science And Technology
Atmospheric Science
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 San Francisco, Eduardo Yanez - Univ Alcala - España
Univ Rey Juan Carlos - España
ULS Campus Andres Bello - Chile
Universidad de Alcalá - España
Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas - Chile
1 Francisco, Eduardo Yáñez San - Universidad de Alcalá - España
Universidad Rey Juan Carlos - España
Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas - Chile
ULS Campus Andres Bello - Chile
2 Aguilar, Juan Antonio Pascual - Univ Alcala De Henares - España
IMDEA Water Institute - España
Universidad de Alcalá - España
3 MacDonell, Shelley Mujer ULS Campus Andres Bello - Chile
Lincoln & Canterbury Univ - Nueva Zelanda
Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas - Chile
University of Canterbury - Nueva Zelanda

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Financiamiento



Fuente
ANID-Fondecyt
ANID-CENTROS REGIONALES

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We thank ANID-FONDECYT (1181540) and ANID-CENTROS REGIONALES (R20F0008) (RL3) projects for supporting this work. E.Y. would like to thank Maria San Francisco yWaldo Yanez for their infinite patience and unconditional support. We would also like to thank Dr Mauro Nalesso and Theresa Schutz for their willingness and time to teach E.Y. how to use Hydro-BID during the 'Getting to know Hydro-BID' technician course.
We thank ANID-FONDECYT (1181540) and ANID-CENTROS REGIONALES (R20F0008) (RL3) projects for supporting this work. E.Y. would like to thank María San Francisco y Waldo Yáñez for their infinite patience and unconditional support. We would also like to thank Dr Mauro Nalesso and Theresa Schutz for their willingness and time to teach E.Y. how to use Hydro-BID during the ‘Getting to know Hydro-BID’ technician course.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.