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Description of the first global outbreak of mpox: an analysis of global surveillance data
Indexado
WoS WOS:001037542200001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85162088561
DOI 10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00198-5
Año 2023
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Background: In May 2022, several countries with no history of sustained community transmission of mpox (formerly known as monkeypox) notified WHO of new mpox cases. These cases were soon followed by a large-scale outbreak, which unfolded across the world, driven by local, in-country transmission within previously unaffected countries. On July 23, 2022, WHO declared the outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Here, we aim to describe the main epidemiological features of this outbreak, the largest reported to date. Methods: In this analysis of global surveillance data we analysed data for all confirmed mpox cases reported by WHO Member States through the global surveillance system from Jan 1, 2022, to Jan 29, 2023. Data included daily aggregated numbers of mpox cases by country and a case reporting form (CRF) containing information on demographics, clinical presentation, epidemiological exposure factors, and laboratory testing. We used the data to (1) describe the key epidemiological and clinical features of cases; (2) analyse risk factors for hospitalisation (by multivariable mixed-effects binary logistic regression); and (3) retrospectively analyse transmission trends. Sequencing data from GISAID and GenBank were used to analyse monkeypox virus (MPXV) genetic diversity. Findings: Data from 82 807 cases with submitted CRFs were included in the analysis. Cases were primarily due to clade IIb MPXV (mainly lineage B.1, followed by lineage A.2). The outbreak was driven by transmission among males (73 560 [96·4%] of 76 293 cases) who self-identify as men who have sex with men (25 938 [86·9%] of 29 854 cases). The most common reported route of transmission was sexual contact (14 941 [68·7%] of 21 749). 3927 (7·3%) of 54 117 cases were hospitalised, with increased odds for those aged younger than 5 years (adjusted odds ratio 2·12 [95% CI 1·32–3·40], p=0·0020), aged 65 years and older (1·54 [1·05–2·25], p=0·026), female cases (1·61 [1·35–1·91], p<0·0001), and for cases who are immunosuppressed either due to being HIV positive and immunosuppressed (2·00 [1·68–2·37], p<0·0001), or other immunocompromising conditions (3·47 [1·84–6·54], p=0·0001). Interpretation: Continued global surveillance allowed WHO to monitor the epidemic, identify risk factors, and inform the public health response. The outbreak can be attributed to clade IIb MPXV spread by newly described modes of transmission. Funding: WHO Contingency Fund for Emergencies. Translations: For the French and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Revista



Revista ISSN
The Lancet Global Health 2214-109X

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Laurenson-Schafer, Henry Hombre Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
2 Sklenovská, Nikola Hombre Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
3 Hoxha, Ana - Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
4 Kerr, Steven M. Hombre CPC Analytics - Alemania
CPC Analyt - Alemania
5 Ndumbi, Patricia Mujer Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
6 Fitzner, Julia Mujer Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
7 Almiron, Maria Mujer WHO Regional Office for the Americas - Estados Unidos
WHO Reg Off Amer - Estados Unidos
8 de Sousa, Luis Alves Hombre European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control - Suecia
European Ctr Dis Prevent & Control - Suecia
9 Briand, Sylvie Mujer Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
10 Cenciarelli, Orlando Hombre European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control - Suecia
European Ctr Dis Prevent & Control - Suecia
11 colombe, Soledad Mujer WHO Regional Office for Europe - Dinamarca
WHO Reg Off Europe - Dinamarca
12 Doherty, Meg - Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
13 Fall, Ibrahima Soce - Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
14 GARCIA-BALLESTEROS, CARMEN JULIA Hombre Ministerio de Salud de Chile - Chile
Ministerio de Salud - Chile
15 Haussig, Joana M. Mujer European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control - Suecia
European Ctr Dis Prevent & Control - Suecia
16 Kato, Masaya Hombre WHO Regional Office for South-East Asia - India
WHO Reg Off South East Asia - India
17 Mahamud, Abdi Rahman Hombre Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
18 Morgan, Oliver W. Hombre Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
19 Nabeth, Pierre Hombre WHO Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean - Egipto
WHO Reg Off Eastern Mediterranean - Egipto
20 Naiene, Jeremias Domingos Hombre WHO Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean - Egipto
WHO Reg Off Eastern Mediterranean - Egipto
21 Navegantes, Wildo Araujo - WHO Regional Office for the Americas - Estados Unidos
WHO Reg Off Amer - Estados Unidos
22 Ogundiran, Opeayo - World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa Congo - Congo
WHO Reg Off Africa - Congo (Rep. Dem.)
23 Okot, Charles Hombre World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa Congo - Congo
WHO Reg Off Africa - Congo (Rep. Dem.)
24 Pebody, Richard Hombre WHO Regional Office for Europe - Dinamarca
WHO Reg Off Europe - Dinamarca
25 Matsui, Tamano - The World Health Organization Regional Office for the Western Pacific philippines - Filipinas
WHO Reg Off Western Pacific - Filipinas
26 Ramírez, Hugo López Gatell Hombre Secretaria de Salud - México
Secretaria Salud Mexico - México
27 Smallwood, Catherine Mujer WHO Regional Office for Europe - Dinamarca
WHO Reg Off Europe - Dinamarca
28 Tasigchana, Raúl Francisco Pérez Hombre Ministerio de Salud Pública - Ecuador
MINIST SALUD PUBL - Ecuador
29 Vaughan, Aisling M. Mujer WHO Regional Office for Europe - Dinamarca
WHO Reg Off Europe - Dinamarca
30 Williams, George Sie Hombre World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa Congo - Congo
WHO Reg Off Africa - Congo (Rep. Dem.)
31 Abdelgawad, Basma Mujer
31 WHO Mpox Surveillance Analytics Team, Peter Omondi -
32 Babu, Amarnath -
33 Buliva, Evans -
34 Campbell, Finlay Hombre
35 de Waroux, Olivier le Polain - WHO - Suiza
Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
35 Cardoso Portela Câmara, Daniel Hombre
36 Eleiba, Zainab Mujer
37 Greene-Cramer, Blanche Johanna Mujer
38 Hamblion, Esther Mujer
39 Hassan, Mahmoud Hombre
40 Kaasik-Aaslav, Kaja Mujer
41 Mohamed, Basant -
42 Ndarukwa, Victoria Mujer
43 Otieno, James Richard Hombre
44 Pires, Jeffrey Hombre
45 Pukkila, Jukka Hombre
46 Sanni, Felix Hombre
47 Schultz, Craig Hombre
48 Sedai, Tika -
49 Skrowny, Laila Mujer
50 Phengxay, Manilay -
51 Ochirpurev, Ariuntuya -
52 Skufca, Jozica -
53 Goddard, Laura Mujer
54 Biaukula, Viema -
55 Mala, Peter Omondi Hombre Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
56 Lewis, Rosamund F. Mujer Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza
57 Pavlin, Boris I. Hombre Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
57 Pavlin, Boris - WHO - Suiza
Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
58 le Polain de Waroux, Olivier Hombre Organisation Mondiale de la Santé - Suiza
WHO - Suiza

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Financiamiento



Fuente
World Health Organization
Public Health Agency of Canada
WHO Contingency Fund for Emergencies

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
The WHO emergency response to the 2022–23 global mpox outbreak was funded by the WHO Contingency Fund for Emergencies. We gratefully acknowledge all WHO Member States for their engagement and detailed reporting of case-based information to WHO and other regional institutions, in line with Temporary Recommendations issued by the WHO Director-General under the Public Health Emergency of International Concern. The authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this Article and they do not necessarily represent the views, decisions, or policies of the institutions with which they are affiliated. We recognise that this report was only made possible through a global collaborative effort, involving health workers, health-care professionals, epidemiologists, and public health workers from across the world. We would also like to acknowledge the Public Health Agency of Canada for their support with the mpox literature search.
The WHO emergency response to the 2022–23 global mpox outbreak was funded by the WHO Contingency Fund for Emergencies. We gratefully acknowledge all WHO Member States for their engagement and detailed reporting of case-based information to WHO and other regional institutions, in line with Temporary Recommendations issued by the WHO Director-General under the Public Health Emergency of International Concern. The authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this Article and they do not necessarily represent the views, decisions, or policies of the institutions with which they are affiliated. We recognise that this report was only made possible through a global collaborative effort, involving health workers, health-care professionals, epidemiologists, and public health workers from across the world. We would also like to acknowledge the Public Health Agency of Canada for their support with the mpox literature search.
WHO Contingency Fund for Emergencies

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