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| DOI | 10.1155/2018/2850546 | ||||
| Año | 2018 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Floods affect road infrastructure physically and operationally, increase road user costs and road agencies cost, and eventually isolate communities. The research of the effect of floods on vehicular circulation is mainly focused on the stability of vehicles. There are few studies related to the regime of still water in the trafficability. In still water, the speed flow is low and does not compromise the vehicle stability. In this case, the vehicle's wading height becomes relevant. This article proposes a procedure to estimate the traffic interruption probability caused by floods in roads, considering the still water regime. The procedure uses the first-order reliability method to estimate traffic interruption probabilities, based on the difference between the probability density functions (PDF) of still water depth (or waterlogging depth) and vehicle wading height. A specific procedure to estimate the PDF of wading height based in the geometric characteristics of light and heavy vehicles was developed. The PDF for water depth was estimated using water level profile simulation software. The procedure was applied in the south of Chile. The PDF of wading height was obtained from a record of 166,155 vehicles tagged in open road tolls. The PDF of waterlogging depth was obtained from discharge records of 10 fluviometric stations. 42 probability curves were obtained for six vehicle classes and return periods between 4 and 500 years. The still water depth obtained for traffic interruption probability of 1,0 varied between 70 and 90 cm for light vehicles and between 110 and 150 cm for heavy vehicles.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Contreras-Jara, Manuel | Hombre |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
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| 2 | Echaveguren, T. | Hombre |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
Centro Nacional de Investigacion para la Gestion Integrada de Desastres Naturales - Chile Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) - Chile |
| 3 | Vargas Baecheler, Jose | Hombre |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
Latin American Center of Economic and Social Policies (CLAPES UC) - Chile |
| 4 | Chamorro Gine, Alondra | Mujer |
Centro Nacional de Investigacion para la Gestion Integrada de Desastres Naturales - Chile
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management - Chile Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) - Chile |
| 5 | DE SOLMINIHAC-TAMPIER, HERNAN | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Latin Amer Ctr Econ & Social Policies CLAPES UC - Chile |
| Fuente |
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| CIGIDEN |
| National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management |
| National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management (CIGIDEN) |
| National Commission for Science and Technology |
| National Commission for Science and Technology (CONICYT) of Chile |
| Agradecimiento |
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| The authors wish to thank the National Commission for Science and Technology (CONICYT) of Chile for supporting the research projects FONDEF ID14I20309 and thank the National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management (CIGIDEN), CONICYT/FONDAP/15110017, within which this paper was prepared. The authors also wish to thank the Ministry of PublicWorks of Chile for providing the data used for the research presented in this paper. |
| The authors wish to thank the National Commission for Science and Technology (CONICYT) of Chile for supporting the research projects FONDEF ID14I20309 and thank the National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management (CIGIDEN), CONICYT/FONDAP/15110017, within which this paper was prepared. The authors also wish to thank the Ministry of Public Works of Chile for providing the data used for the research presented in this paper. |