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Evaluation of temperature and precipitation from CORDEX-CORE South America and Eta-RCM regional climate simulations over the complex terrain of Subtropical Chile
Indexado
WoS WOS:000945778100002
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85149472142
DOI 10.1007/S00382-023-06730-W
Año 2023
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



An ensemble of three Regional Climate Models (RCMs) is evaluated over the current climate conditions with the aim of assessing RCMs’ skills and limitations in reproducing the near-surface temperature and precipitation over the Subtropical Chile complex terrain region (25 ºS–45 ºS). The simulations driven by ERA-Interim and by GCMs historical scenarios are compared against observational gridded products and ERA5 reanalysis for high and low elevations separately. The RCMs simulate reasonably well the main spatio-temporal characteristics of temperature and precipitation, such as latitudinal climate gradients, orographic uplifts, phase of the seasonal cycle, and realistic inter-annual variability. Although the simulations driven by ERA-Interim show better skills than those driven by GCMs, especially in the case of precipitation, none of the RCMs/simulations performs best or worst in all sub-regions. RCMs and ERA5 have a common prominent cold bias at high elevations north of 35 °S, which is particularly strong above 2000 m.a.s.l. This bias is associated with a strong overestimation of precipitation and an overestimation of surface albedo, likely related to an overestimated snow cover. Because of scarce in-situ observations, this region is also associated with inherent observational uncertainty. Our results emphasize the necessity of improving the density and quality of observational networks over the complex terrain of Subtropical Chile for an accurate assessment and tuning/calibration of RCMs. The assessment of a state-of-the-art RCMs ensemble provided by this study can help in interpreting, bias-correcting, and using the regional climate projections performed with these RCMs for downstream applications and impact studies.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Climate Dynamics 0930-7575

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Torrez-Rodriguez, Limbert - Universidad de la Serena - Chile
Univ La Serena ULS - Chile
2 Goubanova, K. Mujer Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas - Chile
3 Muñoz, Cristian Hombre Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas - Chile
4 MONTECINOS-GULA, ALDO MANUEL Hombre Universidad de Concepción - Chile

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
Desarrollo Científico de Centros Regionales 2020-R20F0008-CEAZA
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia, Inovações e Comunicações

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
This study received financial support from ANID (Chile) through FONDECYT grant 1201742 (K.G., A.M. and L.T.) and Concurso de Fortalecimiento al Desarrollo Científico de Centros Regionales 2020-R20F0008-CEAZA (K.G. and L.T.). K.G. also acknowledges financial support from the project ANID ACT210046.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.