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| DOI | 10.3390/ATMOS9080304 | ||||
| Año | 2018 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model has been successfully used in weather prediction, but its ability to simulate precipitation over areas with complex topography is not optimal. Consequently, WRF has problems forecasting rainfall events over Chilean mountainous terrain and foothills, where some of the main cities are located, and where intense rainfall occurs due to cutoff lows. This work analyzes an ensemble of microphysics schemes to enhance initial forecasts made by the Chilean Weather Agency in the front range of Santiago. We first tested different vertical levels resolution, land use and land surface models, as well as meteorological forcing (GFS/FNL). The final ensemble configuration considered three microphysics schemes and lead times over three rainfall events between 2015 and 2017. Cutoff low complex meteorological characteristics impede the temporal simulation of rainfall properties. With three days of lead time, WRF properly forecasts the rainiest N-hours and temperatures during the event, although more accuracy is obtained when the rainfall is caused by a meteorological frontal system. Finally, the WSM6 microphysics option had the best performance, although further analysis using other storms and locations in the area are needed to strengthen this result.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanez-Morroni, Gonzalo | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
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| 2 | GIRONAS-LEON, JORGE ALFREDO | Hombre |
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Ctr Interdisciplinario Cambio Global UC CCG UC - Chile Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) - Chile |
| 3 | CANEO-DEL RIO, MARIA JOSE | Mujer |
DMC - Chile
Estación Central - Chile |
| 4 | Delgado, Rodrigo | Hombre |
DMC - Chile
Estación Central - Chile |
| 5 | GARREAUD-SALAZAR, RENE DARIO | Hombre |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
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