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Can correcting for real exchange rate misalignment help countries escape the middle-income-trap? An analysis of a natural resource-based economy: Chile A correção do desalinhamento da taxa de câmbio real pode ajudar os países a escapar da armadilha da renda média? Uma análise de uma economia baseada em recursos naturais: Chile
Indexado
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85144176184
DOI 10.1590/0101-31572022-3438
Año 2022
Tipo

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Chile is classified as a high-income country but suffers from the same weaknesses affecting middle-income countries. The same policies that have encouraged the dependency on natural resources and restricted the expansion of the productive and export base, have prevented the use of exchange rate policy as an instrument of economic and social development. The performance of the economy is greatly determined by the evolution of the terms-of-trade which is negatively correlated with the real exchange rate. Also, the nominal exchange rate has been used mainly as an instrument for price stability purposes rather than for economic development. Building on the exchange rate misalignment concepts developed by the New Developmentalism, the analysis shows that, at the macroeconomic level, the real exchange rate has appreciated over time. However, the evidence also shows that the industrial/manufacturing sector has an external price competitive advantage in relation to the rest of the economy. This raises the broader question as to what extent is price competitiveness a powerful enough incentive for a broad-based structural change towards innovation and more knowledge intensive production which is needed to escape the middle-income trap.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Caldentey, Esteban Pérez Hombre Division of Economic Development. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean - Chile
2 Nalín, Lorenzo - Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México - México
3 Rodriguez, Leonardo Rojas - Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Colombia

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
* Paper of the research project on the exchange rate and the current account in Latin America, financed by FAPESP. ** Coordinator of the Financing for Development Unit. Division of Economic Development. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, Santiago do Chile, Chile. E-mail: esteban.perez@ cepal.org. Orcid: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6365-6301.

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