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| Indexado |
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| DOI | 10.1007/S13593-022-00809-0 | ||||
| Año | 2022 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Intervening into agricultural systems necessarily includes risks, uncertainties, and ultimately unknown outcomes. Decision analysis embraces uncertainty through an interdisciplinary approach that involves relevant stakeholders in evaluating complex decisions. We applied decision analysis approaches to prioritize 21 farm management interventions, which could be considered in certification schemes for banana production. We estimated their contribution to climate change adaptation and mitigation as well as ecological outcomes. We used a general model that estimated the impacts of each intervention on adaptation (benefits minus costs), mitigation (global warming potential), ecological parameters (e.g., biodiversity and water and soil quality), and farming aspects (e.g., yield, implementation costs and production risks). We used expert and documented knowledge and presented uncertainties in the form of 90% confidence intervals to feed the model and forecast the changes in system outcomes caused by each intervention compared to a baseline scenario without the measure. By iterating the model function 10,000 times, we obtained probability distributions for each of the outcomes and farm management interventions. Our results suggest that interventions associated with nutrient management (e.g., composting and nutrient management plan) positively affect climate change adaptation, mitigation, and ecological aspects. Measures with no direct yield benefits (e.g., plastic reduction) correlate negatively with adaptation but have positive impacts on ecology. Creating buffer zones and converting low-productivity farmland (incl. unused land) also have positive ecological and adaptation outcomes. Decision analysis can help in prioritizing farm management interventions, which may vary considerably in their relationship with the expected outcomes. Additional work may be required to elaborate a comprehensive assessment of the underlying aspects modulating the impacts of a given measure on the evaluated outcome. Our analysis provides insights on the most promising interventions for banana plantations and may help practitioners and researchers in focusing further studies.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernandez, Eduardo | Hombre |
Universität Bonn - Alemania
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso - Chile UNIV BONN - Alemania |
| 2 | Do, Hoa | - |
Universität Bonn - Alemania
UNIV BONN - Alemania |
| 3 | Luedeling, Eike | - |
Universität Bonn - Alemania
UNIV BONN - Alemania |
| 4 | Luu, Thi Thu Giang | Mujer |
Universität Bonn - Alemania
UNIV BONN - Alemania |
| 5 | Whitney, Cory | Hombre |
Universität Bonn - Alemania
UNIV BONN - Alemania |
| Fuente |
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| Projekt DEAL |
| Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit |
| German Corporation for International Cooperation (GIZ) |
| Agradecimiento |
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| Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. We are grateful for the financial support from the German Corporation for International Cooperation (GIZ; project number 16.2190.3-014.00). |
| Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. We are grateful for the financial support from the German Corporation for International Cooperation (GIZ; project number 16.2190.3-014.00). |