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The Demographics of Kepler's Earths and Super-Earths into the Habitable Zone
Indexado
WoS WOS:000867413100001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85140064688
DOI 10.3847/1538-3881/AC8FEA
Año 2022
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Understanding the occurrence of Earth-sized planets in the habitable zone of Sun-like stars is essential to the search for Earth analogs. Yet a lack of reliable Kepler detections for such planets has forced many estimates to be derived from the close-in (2 < P-orb < 100 days) population, whose radii may have evolved differently under the effect of atmospheric mass-loss mechanisms. In this work, we compute the intrinsic occurrence rates of close-in super-Earths (similar to 1-2 R-circle plus and sub-Neptunes (similar to 2-3.5 R-circle plus) for FGK stars (0.56-1.63 M-circle dot) as a function of orbital period and find evidence of two regimes: where super-Earths are more abundant at short orbital periods, and where sub-Neptunes are more abundant at longer orbital periods. We fit a parametric model in five equally populated stellar mass bins and find that the orbital period of transition between these two regimes scales with stellar mass, like P-trans proportional to M-*(1.7 +/- 0.2). Ptrans These results suggest a population of former sub-Neptunes contaminating the population of gigayear-old close-in super-Earths, indicative of a population shaped by atmospheric loss. Using our model to constrain the long-period population of intrinsically rocky planets, we estimate an occurrence rate of Gamma(circle plus) = 15(-4)(+6)% for Earth-sized habitable zone planets, and predict that sub-Neptunes may be similar to twice as common as super-Earths in the habitable zone (when normalized over the natural log-orbital period and radius range used). Finally, we discuss our results in the context of future missions searching for habitable zone planets.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Astronomical Journal 0004-6256

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Astronomy & Astrophysics
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Bergsten, Galen Hombre UNIV ARIZONA - Estados Unidos
The University of Arizona - Estados Unidos
2 Pascucci, Ilaria Mujer UNIV ARIZONA - Estados Unidos
The University of Arizona - Estados Unidos
3 Mulders, Gijs D. Hombre Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez - Chile
Instituto Milenio de Astrofísica - Chile
Millennium Institute for Astrophysics - Chile
4 Fernandes, Rachel B. Mujer UNIV ARIZONA - Estados Unidos
The University of Arizona - Estados Unidos
5 Koskinen, Tommi T. Hombre UNIV ARIZONA - Estados Unidos
The University of Arizona - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
NASA
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
NASA's Science Mission directorate
NASA Astrophysics Data Analysis Program
Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo
Science Mission Directorate
ANID-Millennium Science Initiative

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We would like to thank the anonymous referee for the insightful feedback regarding the adopted parameterization of our fractional occurrence model. I.P., G.B., and R.B.F. acknowledge support from the NASA Astrophysics Data Analysis Program under grant No. 80NSSC20K0446. G.D.M. acknowledges support from ANID-Millennium Science InitiativeICN12_009. This material is based upon work partly supported by NASA under agreement No. NNX15AD94G for the program "Earths in Other Solar Systems" and under agreement No. 80NSSC21K0593 for the program "Alien Earths." The results reported herein benefited from collaborations and/or information exchange within NASA's Nexus for Exoplanet System Science (NExSS) research coordination network sponsored by NASA's Science Mission Directorate.
We would like to thank the anonymous referee for the insightful feedback regarding the adopted parameterization of our fractional occurrence model. I.P., G.B., and R.B.F. acknowledge support from the NASA Astrophysics Data Analysis Program under grant No. 80NSSC20K0446. G.D.M. acknowledges support from ANID—Millennium Science Initiative—ICN12_009. This material is based upon work partly supported by NASA under agreement No. NNX15AD94G for the program “Earths in Other Solar Systems” and under agreement No. 80NSSC21K0593 for the program “Alien Earths.” The results reported herein benefited from collaborations and/or information exchange within NASA's Nexus for Exoplanet System Science (NExSS) research coordination network sponsored by NASA's Science Mission Directorate.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.