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A simple model for estimating changes in rainfall erosivity caused by variations in rainfall patterns
Indexado
WoS WOS:000447247500051
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85051813396
DOI 10.1016/J.ENVRES.2018.08.009
Año 2018
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



A major challenge when coupling soil loss models with precipitation forecasts from Global Circulation Models (GCMs) is that their time resolutions do not generally agree. Precipitation forecasts from GCM must be scaled down; however, the distribution of the rainfall intensity, which can affect soil loss as much as precipitation amounts, is usually not considered in this process. Therefore, the objective of this study was to develop a statistical equation for computing event-based rainfall erosivity under changing precipitation patterns using the least amount of information possible. For this purpose, an empirical equation for predicting event-based rainfall erosivity was developed using the product of the total precipitation P and the maximum 0.5-h rainfall intensity, I-0.5. This equation was calibrated using measured precipitation data from 28 sites in Central Chile and then tested with simulated data with different rainfall patterns from the CLIGEN (CLImate GENerator) weather generator. More than 53,000 rainfall events were analyzed, where the equation consistently provided R-2 values of 0.99 for every dataset used, revealing its robustness when used in potential climate change scenarios in the study site. However, because computing I-0.5 requires estimating precipitation at a high time resolution, the relationship was recalibrated and tested using 1 through 24-h maximum rainfall intensities. Using these intensities, the equation provided erosivity estimates with R-2 ranging from 0.78 to 0.99, where better results were obtained as the resolution of the data increased. This study provides the methodology for building and testing the proposed equation and discusses its advantages and limitations.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Environmental Research 0013-9351

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Environmental Sciences
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Lobo, Gabriel P. Hombre Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
2 BONILLA-MELENDEZ, CARLOS ALBERTO Hombre Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Centro de Desarrollo Urbano Sustentable CEDEUS - Chile

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
National Commission for Scientific and Technological Research, Chile

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
This research was supported by funding from the National Commission for Scientific and Technological Research, Chile, Grant CONICYT/FONDECYT/Regular 1161045. The rainfall data were provided by the General Directorate of Water Resources (DGA), Government of Chile.
This research was supported by funding from the National Commission for Scientific and Technological Research, Chile , Grant CONICYT/FONDECYT/Regular 1161045 . The rainfall data were provided by the General Directorate of Water Resources (DGA), Government of Chile.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.