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GMD perspective: The quest to improve the evaluation of groundwater representation in continental- to global-scale models
Indexado
WoS WOS:000730076500001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85121678371
DOI 10.5194/GMD-14-7545-2021
Año 2021
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Continental-to global-scale hydrologic and land surface models increasingly include representations of the groundwater system. Such large-scale models are essential for examining, communicating, and understanding the dynamic interactions between the Earth system above and below the land surface as well as the opportunities and limits of groundwater resources. We argue that both large-scale and regional-scale groundwater models have utility, strengths, and limitations, so continued modeling at both scales is essential and mutually beneficial. A crucial quest is how to evaluate the realism, capabilities, and performance of large-scale groundwater models given their modeling purpose of addressing large-scale science or sustainability questions as well as limitations in data availability and commensurability. Evaluation should identify if, when, or where large-scale models achieve their purpose or where opportunities for improvements exist so that such models better achieve their purpose. We suggest that reproducing the spatiotemporal details of regional-scale models and matching local data are not relevant goals. Instead, it is important to decide on reasonable model expectations regarding when a large-scale model is performing "well enough"in the context of its specific purpose. The decision of reasonable expectations is necessarily subjective even if the evaluation criteria are quantitative. Our objective is to provide recommendations for improving the evaluation of groundwater representation in continental-to global-scale models. We describe current modeling strategies and evaluation practices, and we subsequently discuss the value of three evaluation strategies: (1) comparing model outputs with available observations of groundwater levels or other state or flux variables (observation-based evaluation), (2) comparing several models with each other with or without reference to actual observations (model-based evaluation), and (3) comparing model behavior with expert expectations of hydrologic behaviors in particular regions or at particular times (expert-based evaluation). Based on evolving practices in model evaluation as well as innovations in observations, machine learning, and expert elicitation, we argue that combining observation-, model-, and expert-based model evaluation approaches, while accounting for commensurability issues, may significantly improve the realism of groundwater representation in large-scale models, thus advancing our ability for quantification, understanding, and prediction of crucial Earth science and sustainability problems. We encourage greater community-level communication and cooperation on this quest, including among global hydrology and land surface modelers, local to regional hydrogeologists, and hydrologists focused on model development and evaluation.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Scopus
Modeling And Simulation
Earth And Planetary Sciences (All)
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Gleeson, Tom - University of Victoria - Canadá
Univ Victoria - Canadá
2 Wagener, Thorsten Hombre University of Bristol - Reino Unido
Universität Potsdam - Alemania
Univ Bristol - Reino Unido
Univ Potsdam - Alemania
3 Doell, Petra Mujer Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main - Alemania
Senckenberg Leibniz Biodivers & Climate Res Ctr F - Alemania
Goethe Univ Frankfurt Am Main - Alemania
3 Döll, Petra Mujer Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main - Alemania
Goethe Univ Frankfurt Am Main - Alemania
4 Zipper, Samuel C. Hombre University of Victoria - Canadá
Kansas Geological Survey - Estados Unidos
University of Kansas - Estados Unidos
Univ Victoria - Canadá
UNIV KANSAS - Estados Unidos
5 West, Charles Hombre University of Bristol - Reino Unido
Univ Bristol - Reino Unido
6 Wada, Y. Hombre International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg - Austria
Int Inst Appl Syst Anal - Austria
7 Taylor, Richard Hombre University College London - Reino Unido
UCL - Reino Unido
8 Scanlon, Bridget R. Mujer Bureau of Economic Geology - Estados Unidos
Univ Texas Austin - Estados Unidos
9 Rosolem, R. Hombre University of Bristol - Reino Unido
Univ Bristol - Reino Unido
10 Rahman, Shams - University of Bristol - Reino Unido
Univ Bristol - Reino Unido
11 Oshinlaja, Nurudeen - Cardiff University - Reino Unido
Cardiff Univ - Reino Unido
12 Maxwell, Reed M. Hombre Princeton University - Estados Unidos
Princeton Univ - Estados Unidos
School of Engineering and Applied Science - Estados Unidos
13 Lo, Min Hui - National Taiwan University - Taiwán
Natl Taiwan Univ - Taiwán
14 Kim, Hyungjun Hombre Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology - Corea del Sur
Institute of Industrial Science - Japón
Univ Tokyo - Japón
Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol - Corea del Sur
15 Hill, Mary Mujer University of Kansas - Estados Unidos
UNIV KANSAS - Estados Unidos
16 Hartmann, Andreas Hombre University of Bristol - Reino Unido
Universitat Freiburg - Alemania
Univ Bristol - Reino Unido
Univ Freiburg - Alemania
17 Fogg, Graham Hombre University of California, Davis - Estados Unidos
UNIV CALIF DAVIS - Estados Unidos
18 Famiglietti, James S. Hombre Global Institute for Water Security - Canadá
Univ Saskatchewan - Canadá
19 Ducharne, A. Mujer Sorbonne Université - Francia
Sorbonne Univ - Francia
20 De Graaf, Inge Mujer Universitat Freiburg - Alemania
Wageningen University & Research - Países Bajos
Univ Freiburg - Alemania
Wageningen Univ - Países Bajos
21 Cuthbert, Mark Hombre Cardiff University - Reino Unido
UNSW Sydney - Australia
Univ New South Wales - Australia
Cardiff Univ - Reino Unido
22 Condon, Laura Mujer The University of Arizona - Estados Unidos
UNIV ARIZONA - Estados Unidos
23 Shandilya, Raghwendra N. Hombre Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas - Chile
24 Bierkens, Marc F.P. Hombre Universiteit Utrecht - Países Bajos
Deltares - Países Bajos
Univ Utrecht - Países Bajos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Alexander von Humboldt Foundation
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
University of Bristol
Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung
Benjamin Meaker Visiting Professorship at the University of Bristol

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
Acknowledgements. The commentary is based on a workshop at the University of Bristol as well as significant debate and discussion before and after. This community project was directly supported by a Benjamin Meaker Visiting Professorship at the University of Bristol to Tom Gleeson and by funding from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation to Thorsten Wagener in the framework of the Alexander von Humboldt Professorship endowed by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. We thank many members of the community who contributed to the discussions, especially at the IGEM (Impact of Groundwater in Earth System Models) workshop in Taiwan.
The commentary is based on a workshop at the University of Bristol as well as significant debate and discussion before and after. This community project was directly supported by a Benjamin Meaker Visiting Professorship at the University of Bristol to Tom Gleeson and by funding from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation to Thorsten Wagener in the framework of the Alexander von Humboldt Professorship endowed by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. We thank many members of the community who contributed to the discussions, especially at the IGEM (Impact of Groundwater in Earth System Models) workshop in Taiwan.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.