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The MELD Score Is Superior to the Maddrey Discriminant Function Score to Predict Short-Term Mortality in Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis: A Global Study
Indexado
WoS WOS:000751873400021
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85124056552
DOI 10.14309/AJG.0000000000001596
Año 2022
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



INTRODUCTION: Several scoring systems predict mortality in alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH), including the Maddrey discriminant function (mDF) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score developed in the United States, Glasgow alcoholic hepatitis score in the United Kingdom, and age, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and creatinine score in Spain. To date, no global studies have examined the utility of these scores, nor has the MELD-sodium been evaluated for outcome prediction in AH. In this study, we assessed the accuracy of different scores to predict short-term mortality in AH and investigated additional factors to improve mortality prediction. METHODS: Patients admitted to hospital with a definite or probable AH were recruited by 85 tertiary centers in 11 countries and across 3 continents. Baseline demographic and laboratory variables were obtained. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 28 and 90 days. RESULTS: In total, 3,101 patients were eligible for inclusion. After exclusions (n = 520), 2,581 patients were enrolled (74.4% male, median age 48 years, interquartile range 40.9-55.0 years). The median MELD score was 23.5 (interquartile range 20.5-27.8). Mortality at 28 and 90 days was 20% and 30.9%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 28-day mortality ranged from 0.776 for MELD-sodium to 0.701 for mDF, and for 90-day mortality, it ranged from 0.773 for MELD to 0.709 for mDF. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for mDF to predict death was significantly lower than all other scores. Age added to MELD obtained only a small improvement of AUC. DISCUSSION: These results suggest that the mDF score should no longer be used to assess AH's prognosis. The MELD score has the best performance in predicting short-term mortality.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Gastroenterology & Hepatology
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Morales-Arraez, Dalia Mujer Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
Hosp Univ Canarias - España
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
Hospital Universitario de Canarias - España
2 Ventura-Cots, Meritxell - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
3 Altamirano, José Hombre Hosp Quironsalud - España
Hospital Quirónsalud - España
4 Abraldes, Juan G. Hombre Univ Alberta - Canadá
University of Alberta - Canadá
5 Cruz-Lemini, M. Mujer St Pau Univ Hosp - España
Inst Salud Carlos III - España
Sant Pau University Hospital - España
Instituto de Salud Carlos III - España
6 Thursz, Mark Richard Hombre Imperial Coll London - Reino Unido
Imperial College London - Reino Unido
7 Atkinson, S. R. Hombre Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
Imperial Coll London - Reino Unido
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
Imperial College London - Reino Unido
8 Sarin, Shiv Kumar Hombre Inst Liver & Biliary Sci - India
Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences - India
9 Kim, W. H. - Seoul Natl Univ - Corea del Sur
Seoul Metropolitan Government - Seoul National University Borame Medical Center - Corea del Sur
10 Araujo, Roberta C. Mujer UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
11 de la Tijera, M. F. - Hosp Gen Mexico City - México
11 Higuera-de La Tijera, M. F. - Hosp Gen Mexico City - México
11 Higuera-de-la-Tijera, Fatima Mujer Hosp Gen Mexico City - México
Hospital General de México - México
12 Singal, Ashwani K. - Univ Alabama Birmingham - Estados Unidos
The University of Alabama at Birmingham - Estados Unidos
UAB Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology - Estados Unidos
13 Shah, Vijay H. Hombre Mayo Clin - Estados Unidos
Mayo Clinic - Estados Unidos
14 Kamath, P. S. Hombre Mayo Clin - Estados Unidos
Mayo Clinic - Estados Unidos
15 Duarte-Rojo, A. - Univ Arkansas Med Sci - Estados Unidos
University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences - Estados Unidos
UAMS College of Medicine - Estados Unidos
16 Charles, E. A. - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
17 Vargas, Victor Hombre UNIV AUTONOMA BARCELONA - España
CIBERehd - España
Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron - España
18 Jager, M. - Hop Beaujon - Francia
Hôpital Beaujon - Francia
19 Rautou, Pierre Emmanuel Hombre Hop Beaujon - Francia
PARCC - Francia
Hôpital Beaujon - Francia
PARCC - Paris-Centre de Recherche Cardiovasculaire - Francia
20 Rincón, Diego Hombre Hosp Gen Univ Gregorio Maranon - España
UNIV COMPLUTENSE - España
Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón - España
CIBERehd - España
21 Zamarripa, Felipe Hombre Juarez Hosp - México
Juarez Hospital - México
22 Restrepo, Juan Carlos Hombre UNIV ANTIOQUIA - Colombia
Universidad de Antioquia - Colombia
23 Torre, Aldo Hombre Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran - México
Instituto Nacional de la Nutrición Salvador Zubiran - México
24 Lucey, M. R. Hombre UNIV WISCONSIN - Estados Unidos
University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health - Estados Unidos
25 Arab, Juanpablo Hombre Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
Escuela de Medicina - Chile
25 Arab, J. P. - Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
26 Mathurin, Philippe Hombre CHU Lille - Francia
Univ Lille - Francia
Université de Lille - Francia
Institute for Translational Research in Inflammation (INFINITE) - Francia
27 Louvet, Alexandre Hombre CHU Lille - Francia
28 Garcia-Tsao, G. Mujer YALE UNIV - Estados Unidos
VA CT Healthcare Syst - Estados Unidos
Yale School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
28 Garcia-Tsao, G. - YALE UNIV - Estados Unidos
VA CT Healthcare Syst - Estados Unidos
29 Gonzalez, J. A. Hombre Univ Autonoma Nuevo Leon - México
Hospital Universitario Dr. Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez - México
30 Verna, Elizabeth Mujer Columbia Univ Irving Med Ctr - Estados Unidos
Columbia University Irving Medical Center - Estados Unidos
Columbia Univ - Estados Unidos
31 Brown, Robert S. Hombre Weill Cornell Med Coll - Estados Unidos
Weill Cornell Medicine - Estados Unidos
32 Argemi, Josepmaria - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
Clin Univ Navarra - España
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
Universidad de Navarra - España
Clínica Universidad de navarra - España
33 Fernandez-Carrillo, Carlos - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
33 Fernandez-Carrillo, Carlos Hombre Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
34 Clemente-Sanchez, Ana - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
HGU Gregorio Maranon - España
Inst Salud Carlos III - España
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón - España
Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas - España
CIBERehd - España
Instituto de Salud Carlos III - España
35 Alvarado-Tapias, Edilmar - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
36 Forrest, E. Hombre Glasgow Royal Infirm - Reino Unido
Glasgow Royal Infirmary - Reino Unido
37 Allison, M. - Cambridge Biomed Res Ctr - Reino Unido
Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre - Reino Unido
38 Avila, Matias A. Hombre Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
University of Pittsburgh Medical Center - Estados Unidos
38 Bataller, R. - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos
38 Bataller, R. - Univ Pittsburgh - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Instituto de Salud Carlos III
Chilean government through the Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnologico
National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism
NIAAA
National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases
Comision Nacional de Investigaci'on Cientifica y Tecnologica (CONICYT, CARE Chile UC)
Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH)
Instituto de Salud Carlos III-Spanish Ministry of Health

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
R.B. is a recipient of NIAAA U01AA021908 and U01AA020821. D.M.A., M.V.C., J.A., C.F.C., and A.C. are recipients of a scholarship grant for study extension abroad, sponsored by the Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH). M.V.C. is a recipient of the Juan Rodes grant from Instituto de Salud Carlos III. During the conduct of the study, A.K.S. is funded by the NIAAA 1R21AA02327301A1 grant. Juan Pablo Arab receives support from the Chilean government through the Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnol ' ogico (FONDECYT 1200227) and the Comisi ' on Nacional de Investigaci ' on Cientifica y Tecnol ' ogica (CONICYT, AFB170005, CARE Chile UC). M.C.L. is supported by Juan Rod ' es contract JR19/00047, Instituto de Salud Carlos III-Spanish Ministry of Health."
R.B. is a recipient of NIAAA U01AA021908 and U01AA020821. D.M.A., M.V.C., J.A., C.F.C., and A.C. are recipients of a scholarship grant for study extension abroad, sponsored by the Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH). M.V.C. is a recipient of the Juan Rodes grant from Instituto de Salud Carlos III. During the conduct of the study, A.K.S. is funded by the NIAAA 1R21AA023273-01A1 grant. Juan Pablo Arab receives support from the Chilean government through the Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnologico (FONDECYT 1200227) and the Comision Nacional de Investigacion Cientifica y Tecnologica (CONICYT, AFB170005, CARE Chile UC). M.C.L. is supported by Juan Rodes contract JR19/00047, Instituto de Salud Carlos III-Spanish Ministry of Health."
R.B. is a recipient of NIAAA U01AA021908 and U01AA020821. D.M.A., M.V.C., J.A., C.F.C., and A.C. are recipients of a scholarship grant for study extension abroad, sponsored by the Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH). M.V.C. is a recipient of the Juan Rodes grant from Instituto de Salud Carlos III. During the conduct of the study, A.K.S. is funded by the NIAAA 1R21AA02327301A1 grant. Juan Pablo Arab receives support from the Chilean government through the Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnol ' ogico (FONDECYT 1200227) and the Comisi ' on Nacional de Investigaci ' on Cientifica y Tecnol ' ogica (CONICYT, AFB170005, CARE Chile UC). M.C.L. is supported by Juan Rod ' es contract JR19/00047, Instituto de Salud Carlos III-Spanish Ministry of Health."

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.