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The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change
Indexado
WoS WOS:000656419700002
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85107197406
DOI 10.1038/S41558-021-01058-X
Año 2021
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Nature Climate Change 1758-678X

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Environmental Sciences
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Environmental Studies
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria Mujer Univ Bern - Suiza
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine - Suiza
University of Bern - Suiza
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido
2 Scovronick, Noah Hombre EMORY UNIV - Estados Unidos
Rollins School of Public Health - Estados Unidos
3 Sera, Francesco Hombre London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
UNIV FLORENCE - Italia
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido
Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia
4 Royé, Dominic Hombre Univ Santiago de Compostela - España
CIBER Epidemiol & Salud Publ CIBERESP - España
Universidad de Santiago de Compostela - España
CIBER Epidemiología Y Salud Pública - España
Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública - España
5 Schneider, R. Mujer London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
European Space Agcy ESA ESRIN - Italia
European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecast ECMWF - Reino Unido
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido
ESRIN - ESA Centre for Earth Observation - Italia
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts - Reino Unido
6 Tobias, A. - Spanish Council Sci Res - España
Nagasaki Univ - Japón
CSIC - Instituto de Diagnostico Ambiental y Estudios del Agua (IDAEA) - España
Nagasaki University - Japón
7 Åström, Christofer Hombre Umea Univ - Suecia
Umeå Universitet - Suecia
8 Guo, Yuming - MONASH UNIV - Australia
Natl Taiwan Univ NTU - Taiwán
NTU Hosp - Taiwán
Natl Hlth Res Inst - Taiwán
Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences - Australia
National Taiwan University - Taiwán
National Health Research Institutes Taiwan - Taiwán
9 Honda, Y. - UNIV TSUKUBA - Japón
University of Tsukuba - Japón
10 Hondula, D. M. - Arizona State Univ - Estados Unidos
Arizona State University - Estados Unidos
11 Abrutzky, R. - UNIV BUENOS AIRES - Argentina
Universidad de Buenos Aires - Argentina
Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani - Argentina
12 Fratianni, Simona Mujer Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China
Queensland Univ Technol - Australia
Nanjing Med Univ - China
UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Univ Torino - Italia
Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China
Anhui Medical University - China
Queensland University of Technology - Australia
Nanjing Medical University - China
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia
University of Bern - Italia
Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia
13 Fratianni, Simona Mujer Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China
Queensland Univ Technol - Australia
Nanjing Med Univ - China
UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Univ Torino - Italia
Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China
Anhui Medical University - China
Queensland University of Technology - Australia
Nanjing Medical University - China
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia
University of Bern - Italia
Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia
14 Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Hombre UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
15 Lavigne, E. - Hlth Canada - Canadá
Univ Ottawa - Canadá
Health Canada - Canadá
University of Ottawa - Canadá
16 MATUS-CORREA, PATRICIA ISABEL Mujer Universidad de Los Andes, Chile - Chile
17 Valdes Ortega, Nicolas Hombre Universidad de Los Andes, Chile - Chile
18 Kan, Haidong - Fudan Univ - China
Fudan University - China
19 Osorio, Samuel Hombre UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
20 Kyselý, Jan - Czech Acad Sci - República Checa
Czech Univ Life Sci - República Checa
Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic - República Checa
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague - República Checa
21 Urban, A. - Czech Acad Sci - República Checa
Czech Univ Life Sci - República Checa
Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic - República Checa
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague - República Checa
22 Orru, H. - Univ Tartu - Estonia
Tartu Ülikool - Estonia
23 Indermitte, E. - Univ Tartu - Estonia
Tartu Ülikool - Estonia
24 Jaakkola, Jouni J. K. Hombre Univ Oulu - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorol Inst - Finlandia
Oulun Yliopisto - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorological Institute - Finlandia
25 Ryti, Niilo R. I. Hombre Univ Oulu - Finlandia
Oulun Yliopisto - Finlandia
26 Pascal, M. - French Natl Publ Hlth Agcy - Francia
Santé Publique France - Francia
27 Schneider, A. - German Res Ctr Environm Hlth GmbH - Alemania
Helmholtz Center Munich German Research Center for Environmental Health - Alemania
28 Katsouyanni, Klea - Natl & Kapodistrian Univ Athens - Grecia
University of Athens Medical School - Grecia
Imperial College London - Reino Unido
School of Medicine - Grecia
Imperial Coll London - Reino Unido
29 Samoli, E. - Natl & Kapodistrian Univ Athens - Grecia
University of Athens Medical School - Grecia
School of Medicine - Grecia
30 Mayvaneh, F. - Hakim Sabzevari Univ - Iran
Hakim Sabzevari University - Iran
31 Entezari, A. - Hakim Sabzevari Univ - Iran
Hakim Sabzevari University - Iran
32 Goodman, Patrick G. Hombre Imperial Coll London - Reino Unido
Technol Univ Dublin - Irlanda
Technological University Dublin - Irlanda
Imperial College London - Reino Unido
33 Zeka, A. - Brunel Univ London - Reino Unido
Brunel University London - Reino Unido
34 Michelozzi, Paola Mujer Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia
35 de'Donato, F. - Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia
35 de’Donato, F. - Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia
Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia
35 de'Donato, F. - Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia
36 Hashizume, Masahiro Hombre Univ Tokyo - Japón
Graduate School of Medicine - Japón
37 Alahmad, B. - Harvard University - Estados Unidos
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health - Estados Unidos
38 Diaz, M. Hurtado - Natl Inst Publ Hlth - México
Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. México - México
39 Valencia, C. De La Cruz - Natl Inst Publ Hlth - México
Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. México - México
40 Overcenco, Ala - Minist Hlth - Moldavia
National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health - Moldavia
41 Houthuijs, D. - Natl Inst Publ Hlth & Environm RIVM - Países Bajos
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment - Países Bajos
Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu - Países Bajos
42 Ameling, C. - Natl Inst Publ Hlth & Environm RIVM - Países Bajos
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment - Países Bajos
Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu - Países Bajos
43 Rao, Shilpa Mujer Norwegian Inst Publ Hlth - Noruega
Norwegian Institute of Public Health - Noruega
Folkehelseinstituttet - Noruega
44 Di Ruscio, F. Hombre Norwegian Inst Publ Hlth - Noruega
Norwegian Institute of Public Health - Noruega
Folkehelseinstituttet - Noruega
45 Carrasco-Escobar, G. Hombre UNIV PERUANA CAYETANO HEREDIA - Perú
Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Instituto de Medicina Tropical Alexander von Humboldt - Perú
46 Seposo, X. - KYOTO UNIV - Japón
Graduate School of Engineering - Japón
47 Fratianni, Simona Mujer Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China
Queensland Univ Technol - Australia
Nanjing Med Univ - China
UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Univ Torino - Italia
Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China
Anhui Medical University - China
Queensland University of Technology - Australia
Nanjing Medical University - China
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia
University of Bern - Italia
Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia
48 Madureira, J. - Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Univ Porto - Portugal
National Health Institute Doutor Ricardo Jorge Porto - Portugal
Universidade do Porto - Portugal
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
49 Holobaca, I. H. - Babes Bolay Univ - Rumania
Universitatea Babes-Bolyai - Rumania
50 Fratianni, Simona Mujer Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China
Queensland Univ Technol - Australia
Nanjing Med Univ - China
UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Univ Torino - Italia
Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China
Anhui Medical University - China
Queensland University of Technology - Australia
Nanjing Medical University - China
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia
University of Bern - Italia
Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia
51 Acquaotta, F. Mujer Univ Torino - Italia
Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia
University of Bern - Italia
Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia
52 Kim, Ho - Seoul Natl Univ - Corea del Sur
Seoul National University - Corea del Sur
53 Lee, W. - Seoul Natl Univ - Corea del Sur
Seoul National University - Corea del Sur
54 Iniguez, Carmen Mujer CIBER Epidemiol & Salud Publ CIBERESP - España
Univ Valencia - España
CIBER Epidemiología Y Salud Pública - España
Universitat de València - España
Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública - España
55 Forsberg, Bertil Hombre Umea Univ - Suecia
Umeå Universitet - Suecia
56 Ragettli, Martina S. Mujer Swiss Trop & Publ Hlth Inst - Suiza
UNIV BASEL - Suiza
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (Swiss TPH) - Suiza
Universitat Basel - Suiza
University of Bern - Suiza
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute Swiss TPH - Suiza
57 Guo, Yuming - MONASH UNIV - Australia
Natl Taiwan Univ NTU - Taiwán
NTU Hosp - Taiwán
Natl Hlth Res Inst - Taiwán
Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences - Australia
National Taiwan University - Taiwán
National Health Research Institutes Taiwan - Taiwán
58 Chen, B. Y. - Natl Hlth Res Inst - Taiwán
National Health Research Institutes Taiwan - Taiwán
59 Li, Shanshan - MONASH UNIV - Australia
Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences - Australia
60 Armstrong, Ben - London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido
61 Aleman, A. - UNIV REPUBLICA - Uruguay
Universidad de la Republica Facultad de Medicina - Uruguay
62 Zanobetti, A. - Harvard University - Estados Unidos
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health - Estados Unidos
63 Schwartz, Joel Hombre Harvard University - Estados Unidos
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health - Estados Unidos
64 Dang, Tran Ngoc - Univ Med & Pharm Ho Chi Minh City - Vietnam
University of Medicine and Pharmacy Vietnam - Vietnam
University of Medicine and Pharmacy at HCMC - Vietnam
65 Dung, D. V. - Univ Med & Pharm Ho Chi Minh City - Vietnam
University of Medicine and Pharmacy Vietnam - Vietnam
University of Medicine and Pharmacy at HCMC - Vietnam
66 Gillett, N. - Environm & Climate Change Canada - Canadá
Environment Canada - Canadá
Environment and Climate Change Canada - Canadá
67 Haines, Andy Hombre London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
European Space Agcy ESA ESRIN - Italia
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido
ESRIN - ESA Centre for Earth Observation - Italia
68 Mengel, M. - Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res - Alemania
Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung - Alemania
69 Huber, Veronika Mujer Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res - Alemania
Univ Pablo Olavide - España
Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung - Alemania
Universidad Pablo de Olavide, de Sevilla - España
70 Gasparrini, Antonio Hombre London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido

Muestra la afiliación y género (detectado) para los co-autores de la publicación.

Financiamiento



Fuente
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Grantová Agentura Ceské Republiky
Medical Research Council
Japan Science and Technology Agency
German Federal Ministry of Education and Research
Czech Science Foundation
National Health and Medical Research Council
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad, Gobierno de España
Natural Environment Research Council
Academy of Finland
Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology
Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia (FCT)
Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan
Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council
University of Sydney
Natural Environment Research Council UK
Suomen Akatemia
Medical Research Council UK
NIEHS
Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency
Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan
Early Career Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council
Japan Science and Technology Agency as part of SICORP
European Union's Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion
NIEHS-funded
Ministerio de Asuntos Económicos y Transformación Digital, Gobierno de España

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We thank the participants of the ISIMIP Health workshop in Barcelona in November 2018 where this work was discussed for the first time. This study was supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant no. MR/M022625/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant no. NE/R009384/1) and the European Union's Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion (grant no. 820655). N.S. was supported by the NIEHS-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776). Y.H. was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan (JPMEERF15S11412). J.J.J.K.J. was supported by Academy of Finland (grant no. 310372). V.H. was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant no. PCIN-2017-046) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (grant no. 01LS1201A2). J.K. and A.U. were supported by the Czech Science Foundation (grant no. 20-28560S). J.M. was supported by the Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia (FCT) (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016). S.R. and F.d.R. were supported by European Union's Horizon 2020 Project EXHAUSTION (grant no. 820655). M.H. was supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency as part of SICORP, grant no. JPMJSC20E4. Y.G. was supported by the Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1163693). S.L. was support by the Early Career Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1109193). Y.L.L.G. was supported by the Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST110-2918-I-002-007) as a visiting academic at the University of Sydney.
We thank the participants of the ISIMIP Health workshop in Barcelona in November 2018 where this work was discussed for the first time. This study was supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant no. MR/M022625/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant no. NE/R009384/1) and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion (grant no. 820655). N.S. was supported by the NIEHS-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776). Y.H. was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan (JPMEERF15S11412). J.J.J.K.J. was supported by Academy of Finland (grant no. 310372). V.H. was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant no. PCIN-2017-046) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (grant no. 01LS1201A2). J.K. and A.U. were supported by the Czech Science Foundation (grant no. 20-28560S). J.M. was supported by the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT) (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016). S.R. and F.d.R. were supported by European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project EXHAUSTION (grant no. 820655). M.H. was supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency as part of SICORP, grant no. JPMJSC20E4. Y.G. was supported by the Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1163693). S.L. was support by the Early Career Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1109193). Y.L.L.G. was supported by the Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST110-2918-I-002-007) as a visiting academic at the University of Sydney.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.