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| DOI | 10.1038/S41558-021-01058-X | ||||
| Año | 2021 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria | Mujer |
Univ Bern - Suiza
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine - Suiza University of Bern - Suiza London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido |
| 2 | Scovronick, Noah | Hombre |
EMORY UNIV - Estados Unidos
Rollins School of Public Health - Estados Unidos |
| 3 | Sera, Francesco | Hombre |
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
UNIV FLORENCE - Italia London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia |
| 4 | Royé, Dominic | Hombre |
Univ Santiago de Compostela - España
CIBER Epidemiol & Salud Publ CIBERESP - España Universidad de Santiago de Compostela - España CIBER Epidemiología Y Salud Pública - España Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública - España |
| 5 | Schneider, R. | Mujer |
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
European Space Agcy ESA ESRIN - Italia European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecast ECMWF - Reino Unido London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido ESRIN - ESA Centre for Earth Observation - Italia European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts - Reino Unido |
| 6 | Tobias, A. | - |
Spanish Council Sci Res - España
Nagasaki Univ - Japón CSIC - Instituto de Diagnostico Ambiental y Estudios del Agua (IDAEA) - España Nagasaki University - Japón |
| 7 | Åström, Christofer | Hombre |
Umea Univ - Suecia
Umeå Universitet - Suecia |
| 8 | Guo, Yuming | - |
MONASH UNIV - Australia
Natl Taiwan Univ NTU - Taiwán NTU Hosp - Taiwán Natl Hlth Res Inst - Taiwán Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences - Australia National Taiwan University - Taiwán National Health Research Institutes Taiwan - Taiwán |
| 9 | Honda, Y. | - |
UNIV TSUKUBA - Japón
University of Tsukuba - Japón |
| 10 | Hondula, D. M. | - |
Arizona State Univ - Estados Unidos
Arizona State University - Estados Unidos |
| 11 | Abrutzky, R. | - |
UNIV BUENOS AIRES - Argentina
Universidad de Buenos Aires - Argentina Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani - Argentina |
| 12 | Fratianni, Simona | Mujer |
Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China Queensland Univ Technol - Australia Nanjing Med Univ - China UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Univ Torino - Italia Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China Anhui Medical University - China Queensland University of Technology - Australia Nanjing Medical University - China Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia University of Bern - Italia Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia |
| 13 | Fratianni, Simona | Mujer |
Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China Queensland Univ Technol - Australia Nanjing Med Univ - China UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Univ Torino - Italia Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China Anhui Medical University - China Queensland University of Technology - Australia Nanjing Medical University - China Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia University of Bern - Italia Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia |
| 14 | Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario | Hombre |
UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil |
| 15 | Lavigne, E. | - |
Hlth Canada - Canadá
Univ Ottawa - Canadá Health Canada - Canadá University of Ottawa - Canadá |
| 16 | MATUS-CORREA, PATRICIA ISABEL | Mujer |
Universidad de Los Andes, Chile - Chile
|
| 17 | Valdes Ortega, Nicolas | Hombre |
Universidad de Los Andes, Chile - Chile
|
| 18 | Kan, Haidong | - |
Fudan Univ - China
Fudan University - China |
| 19 | Osorio, Samuel | Hombre |
UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil
Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil |
| 20 | Kyselý, Jan | - |
Czech Acad Sci - República Checa
Czech Univ Life Sci - República Checa Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic - República Checa Czech University of Life Sciences Prague - República Checa |
| 21 | Urban, A. | - |
Czech Acad Sci - República Checa
Czech Univ Life Sci - República Checa Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic - República Checa Czech University of Life Sciences Prague - República Checa |
| 22 | Orru, H. | - |
Univ Tartu - Estonia
Tartu Ülikool - Estonia |
| 23 | Indermitte, E. | - |
Univ Tartu - Estonia
Tartu Ülikool - Estonia |
| 24 | Jaakkola, Jouni J. K. | Hombre |
Univ Oulu - Finlandia
Finnish Meteorol Inst - Finlandia Oulun Yliopisto - Finlandia Finnish Meteorological Institute - Finlandia |
| 25 | Ryti, Niilo R. I. | Hombre |
Univ Oulu - Finlandia
Oulun Yliopisto - Finlandia |
| 26 | Pascal, M. | - |
French Natl Publ Hlth Agcy - Francia
Santé Publique France - Francia |
| 27 | Schneider, A. | - |
German Res Ctr Environm Hlth GmbH - Alemania
Helmholtz Center Munich German Research Center for Environmental Health - Alemania |
| 28 | Katsouyanni, Klea | - |
Natl & Kapodistrian Univ Athens - Grecia
University of Athens Medical School - Grecia Imperial College London - Reino Unido School of Medicine - Grecia Imperial Coll London - Reino Unido |
| 29 | Samoli, E. | - |
Natl & Kapodistrian Univ Athens - Grecia
University of Athens Medical School - Grecia School of Medicine - Grecia |
| 30 | Mayvaneh, F. | - |
Hakim Sabzevari Univ - Iran
Hakim Sabzevari University - Iran |
| 31 | Entezari, A. | - |
Hakim Sabzevari Univ - Iran
Hakim Sabzevari University - Iran |
| 32 | Goodman, Patrick G. | Hombre |
Imperial Coll London - Reino Unido
Technol Univ Dublin - Irlanda Technological University Dublin - Irlanda Imperial College London - Reino Unido |
| 33 | Zeka, A. | - |
Brunel Univ London - Reino Unido
Brunel University London - Reino Unido |
| 34 | Michelozzi, Paola | Mujer |
Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia |
| 35 | de'Donato, F. | - |
Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia |
| 35 | de’Donato, F. | - |
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia
Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia |
| 35 | de'Donato, F. | - |
Lazio Reg Hlth Serv - Italia
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service - Italia |
| 36 | Hashizume, Masahiro | Hombre |
Univ Tokyo - Japón
Graduate School of Medicine - Japón |
| 37 | Alahmad, B. | - |
Harvard University - Estados Unidos
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health - Estados Unidos |
| 38 | Diaz, M. Hurtado | - |
Natl Inst Publ Hlth - México
Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. México - México |
| 39 | Valencia, C. De La Cruz | - |
Natl Inst Publ Hlth - México
Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. México - México |
| 40 | Overcenco, Ala | - |
Minist Hlth - Moldavia
National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health - Moldavia |
| 41 | Houthuijs, D. | - |
Natl Inst Publ Hlth & Environm RIVM - Países Bajos
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment - Países Bajos Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu - Países Bajos |
| 42 | Ameling, C. | - |
Natl Inst Publ Hlth & Environm RIVM - Países Bajos
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment - Países Bajos Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu - Países Bajos |
| 43 | Rao, Shilpa | Mujer |
Norwegian Inst Publ Hlth - Noruega
Norwegian Institute of Public Health - Noruega Folkehelseinstituttet - Noruega |
| 44 | Di Ruscio, F. | Hombre |
Norwegian Inst Publ Hlth - Noruega
Norwegian Institute of Public Health - Noruega Folkehelseinstituttet - Noruega |
| 45 | Carrasco-Escobar, G. | Hombre |
UNIV PERUANA CAYETANO HEREDIA - Perú
Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Instituto de Medicina Tropical Alexander von Humboldt - Perú |
| 46 | Seposo, X. | - |
KYOTO UNIV - Japón
Graduate School of Engineering - Japón |
| 47 | Fratianni, Simona | Mujer |
Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China Queensland Univ Technol - Australia Nanjing Med Univ - China UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Univ Torino - Italia Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China Anhui Medical University - China Queensland University of Technology - Australia Nanjing Medical University - China Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia University of Bern - Italia Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia |
| 48 | Madureira, J. | - |
Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal
Univ Porto - Portugal National Health Institute Doutor Ricardo Jorge Porto - Portugal Universidade do Porto - Portugal Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal |
| 49 | Holobaca, I. H. | - |
Babes Bolay Univ - Rumania
Universitatea Babes-Bolyai - Rumania |
| 50 | Fratianni, Simona | Mujer |
Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ - China
Anhui Med Univ - China Queensland Univ Technol - Australia Nanjing Med Univ - China UNIV SAO PAULO - Brasil Inst Nacl Saude Dr Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Univ Torino - Italia Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine - China Anhui Medical University - China Queensland University of Technology - Australia Nanjing Medical University - China Universidade de São Paulo - Brasil Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge - Portugal Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia University of Bern - Italia Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia |
| 51 | Acquaotta, F. | Mujer |
Univ Torino - Italia
Università degli Studi di Torino - Italia University of Bern - Italia Università degli Studi di Firenze - Italia |
| 52 | Kim, Ho | - |
Seoul Natl Univ - Corea del Sur
Seoul National University - Corea del Sur |
| 53 | Lee, W. | - |
Seoul Natl Univ - Corea del Sur
Seoul National University - Corea del Sur |
| 54 | Iniguez, Carmen | Mujer |
CIBER Epidemiol & Salud Publ CIBERESP - España
Univ Valencia - España CIBER Epidemiología Y Salud Pública - España Universitat de València - España Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública - España |
| 55 | Forsberg, Bertil | Hombre |
Umea Univ - Suecia
Umeå Universitet - Suecia |
| 56 | Ragettli, Martina S. | Mujer |
Swiss Trop & Publ Hlth Inst - Suiza
UNIV BASEL - Suiza Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (Swiss TPH) - Suiza Universitat Basel - Suiza University of Bern - Suiza Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute Swiss TPH - Suiza |
| 57 | Guo, Yuming | - |
MONASH UNIV - Australia
Natl Taiwan Univ NTU - Taiwán NTU Hosp - Taiwán Natl Hlth Res Inst - Taiwán Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences - Australia National Taiwan University - Taiwán National Health Research Institutes Taiwan - Taiwán |
| 58 | Chen, B. Y. | - |
Natl Hlth Res Inst - Taiwán
National Health Research Institutes Taiwan - Taiwán |
| 59 | Li, Shanshan | - |
MONASH UNIV - Australia
Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences - Australia |
| 60 | Armstrong, Ben | - |
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido |
| 61 | Aleman, A. | - |
UNIV REPUBLICA - Uruguay
Universidad de la Republica Facultad de Medicina - Uruguay |
| 62 | Zanobetti, A. | - |
Harvard University - Estados Unidos
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health - Estados Unidos |
| 63 | Schwartz, Joel | Hombre |
Harvard University - Estados Unidos
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health - Estados Unidos |
| 64 | Dang, Tran Ngoc | - |
Univ Med & Pharm Ho Chi Minh City - Vietnam
University of Medicine and Pharmacy Vietnam - Vietnam University of Medicine and Pharmacy at HCMC - Vietnam |
| 65 | Dung, D. V. | - |
Univ Med & Pharm Ho Chi Minh City - Vietnam
University of Medicine and Pharmacy Vietnam - Vietnam University of Medicine and Pharmacy at HCMC - Vietnam |
| 66 | Gillett, N. | - |
Environm & Climate Change Canada - Canadá
Environment Canada - Canadá Environment and Climate Change Canada - Canadá |
| 67 | Haines, Andy | Hombre |
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
European Space Agcy ESA ESRIN - Italia London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido ESRIN - ESA Centre for Earth Observation - Italia |
| 68 | Mengel, M. | - |
Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res - Alemania
Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung - Alemania |
| 69 | Huber, Veronika | Mujer |
Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res - Alemania
Univ Pablo Olavide - España Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung - Alemania Universidad Pablo de Olavide, de Sevilla - España |
| 70 | Gasparrini, Antonio | Hombre |
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med - Reino Unido
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Reino Unido |
| Fuente |
|---|
| Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia |
| Grantová Agentura Ceské Republiky |
| Medical Research Council |
| Japan Science and Technology Agency |
| German Federal Ministry of Education and Research |
| Czech Science Foundation |
| National Health and Medical Research Council |
| Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung |
| Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad, Gobierno de España |
| Natural Environment Research Council |
| Academy of Finland |
| Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology |
| Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia (FCT) |
| Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness |
| Horizon 2020 Framework Programme |
| Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan |
| Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council |
| University of Sydney |
| Natural Environment Research Council UK |
| Suomen Akatemia |
| Medical Research Council UK |
| NIEHS |
| Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency |
| Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan |
| Early Career Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council |
| Japan Science and Technology Agency as part of SICORP |
| European Union's Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion |
| NIEHS-funded |
| Ministerio de Asuntos Económicos y Transformación Digital, Gobierno de España |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| We thank the participants of the ISIMIP Health workshop in Barcelona in November 2018 where this work was discussed for the first time. This study was supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant no. MR/M022625/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant no. NE/R009384/1) and the European Union's Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion (grant no. 820655). N.S. was supported by the NIEHS-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776). Y.H. was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan (JPMEERF15S11412). J.J.J.K.J. was supported by Academy of Finland (grant no. 310372). V.H. was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant no. PCIN-2017-046) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (grant no. 01LS1201A2). J.K. and A.U. were supported by the Czech Science Foundation (grant no. 20-28560S). J.M. was supported by the Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia (FCT) (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016). S.R. and F.d.R. were supported by European Union's Horizon 2020 Project EXHAUSTION (grant no. 820655). M.H. was supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency as part of SICORP, grant no. JPMJSC20E4. Y.G. was supported by the Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1163693). S.L. was support by the Early Career Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1109193). Y.L.L.G. was supported by the Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST110-2918-I-002-007) as a visiting academic at the University of Sydney. |
| We thank the participants of the ISIMIP Health workshop in Barcelona in November 2018 where this work was discussed for the first time. This study was supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant no. MR/M022625/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant no. NE/R009384/1) and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion (grant no. 820655). N.S. was supported by the NIEHS-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776). Y.H. was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan (JPMEERF15S11412). J.J.J.K.J. was supported by Academy of Finland (grant no. 310372). V.H. was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant no. PCIN-2017-046) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (grant no. 01LS1201A2). J.K. and A.U. were supported by the Czech Science Foundation (grant no. 20-28560S). J.M. was supported by the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT) (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016). S.R. and F.d.R. were supported by European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project EXHAUSTION (grant no. 820655). M.H. was supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency as part of SICORP, grant no. JPMJSC20E4. Y.G. was supported by the Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1163693). S.L. was support by the Early Career Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1109193). Y.L.L.G. was supported by the Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST110-2918-I-002-007) as a visiting academic at the University of Sydney. |