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CONSIDERATIONS REGARDING FISCAL POLICY AND INFLATION EXPECTATIONS IN MEXICO
Indexado
WoS WOS:000604648700003
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85120082082
DOI 10.22201/FE.01851667P.2020.312.75372
Año 2020
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



This document estimates the model of Sargent, Williams y Zha (2009) in which inflation is determined by fiscal deficits financed through monetary expansions as well as inflation expectations. The estimation of the model suggests that the historical evolution of fiscal deficits is key to explaining the dynamics of inflation in our country. Before the autonomy of the Bank of Mexico in April 1994, the model suggests that the monetization of these deficits would have determined the dynamics of inflation in Mexico. Subsequently, evidence is found that suggests the presence of indirect channels through which fiscal deficits via adjustments in the sovereign risk premium and in the nominal exchange rate have still had some impact on inflation expectations. The latter highlights the importance of fiscal discipline, in addition to the autonomy of the Central Bank, to preserve an environment of price stability.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Investigacion Economica 0185-1667

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Economics
Scopus
Economics, Econometrics And Finance (All)
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Lopez Martin, Bernabe - Banco Central de Chile - Chile
1 Martín, Bernabé López - Banco Central de Chile - Chile
2 Ramirez de Aguilar, Alberto Hombre UNIV PENN - Estados Unidos
University of Pennsylvania - Estados Unidos
2 De Aguilar, Alberto Ramírez Hombre University of Pennsylvania - Estados Unidos
3 Samano Penaloza, Daniel Hombre Banco Mexico - México
3 Peñaloza, Daniel Sámano Hombre Banco de Mexico - México

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Financiamiento



Fuente
China Scholarship Council
Vetenskapsradet
Karolinska Institutet
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Health Effects Institute

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
Acknowledgements: Research described in this article was conducted under contract to the Health Effects Institute (HEI), an organisation jointly funded by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (assistance award number R-82811201) and certain motor vehicle and engine manufacturers. The contents of this article do not necessarily reflect the views of HEI, or its sponsors, nor do they necessarily reflect the views and policies of the EPA or the motor vehicle and engine manufacturers. The authors would also like to thank all participants in the CEANS, DCH and DNC cohort studies, and the respective study teams (the ELAPSE project) for their hard work and effort. Thanks to Niklas Andersson (Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden) for the work of harmonising complicated data on covariates between the four subcohorts in CEANS.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.