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Personalized assessment of cervical length improves prediction of spontaneous preterm birth: a standard and a percentile calculator
Indexado
WoS WOS:000621667400011
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85092635380
DOI 10.1016/J.AJOG.2020.09.002
Año 2021
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Background: A sonographic short cervix (length <25 mm during midgestation) is the most powerful predictor of preterm birth. Current clinical practice assumes that the same cervical length cutoff value should apply to all women when screening for spontaneous preterm birth, yet this approach may be suboptimal. Objective: This study aimed to (1) create a customized cervical length standard that considers relevant maternal characteristics and gestational age at sonographic examination and (2) assess whether the customization of cervical length evaluation improves the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth. Study Design: This retrospective analysis comprises a cohort of 7826 pregnant women enrolled in a longitudinal protocol between January 2006 and April 2017 at the Detroit Medical Center. Study participants met the following inclusion criteria: singleton pregnancy, ≥1 transvaginal sonographic measurements of the cervix, delivery after 20 weeks of gestation, and available relevant demographics and obstetrical history information. Data from women without a history of preterm birth or cervical surgery who delivered at term without progesterone treatment (N=5188) were used to create a customized standard of cervical length. The prediction of the primary outcome, spontaneous preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation, was assessed in a subset of pregnancies (N=7336) that excluded cases with induced labor before 37 weeks of gestation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and sensitivity at a fixed false-positive rate were calculated for screening at 20 to 23 6/7, 24 to 27 6/7, 28 to 31 6/7, and 32 to 35 6/7 weeks of gestation in asymptomatic patients. Survival analysis was used to determine which method is better at predicting imminent delivery among symptomatic women. Results: The median cervical length remained fundamentally unchanged until 20 weeks of gestation and subsequently decreased nonlinearly with advancing gestational age among women who delivered at term. The effects of parity and maternal weight and height on the cervical length were dependent on the gestational age at ultrasound examination (interaction, P<.05 for all). Parous women had a longer cervix than nulliparous women, and the difference increased with advancing gestation after adjusting for maternal weight and height. Similarly, maternal weight was nonlinearly associated with a longer cervix, and the effect was greater later in gestation. The sensitivity at a 10% false-positive rate for prediction of spontaneous preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation by a short cervix ranged from 29% to 40% throughout pregnancy, yet it increased to 50%, 50%, 53%, and 54% at 20 to 23 6/7, 24 to 27 6/7, 28 to 31 6/7, and 32 to 35 6/7 weeks of gestation, respectively, for a low, customized percentile (McNemar test, P<.001 for all). When a cervical length <25 mm was compared to the customized screening at 20 to 23 6/7 weeks of gestation by using a customized percentile cutoff value that ensured the same negative likelihood ratio for both screening methods, the customized approach had a significantly higher (about double) positive likelihood ratio in predicting spontaneous preterm birth at <33, <34, <35, <36, and <37 weeks of gestation. Among symptomatic women, the difference in survival between women with a customized cervical length percentile of ≥10th and those with a customized cervical length percentile of <10th was greater than the difference in survival between women with a cervical length ≥25 mm and those with a cervical length <25 mm. Conclusion: Compared to the use of a cervical length <25 mm, a customized cervical length assessment (1) identifies more women at risk of spontaneous preterm birth and (2) improves the distinction between patients at risk for impending preterm birth in those who have an episode of preterm labor.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Obstetrics & Gynecology
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Gudicha, Dereje W. - National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
2 ROMERO-GALUE, ROBERTO JOSE Hombre National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor - Estados Unidos
Michigan State University - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
Detroit Medical Center - Estados Unidos
Florida International University - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
UNIV MICHIGAN - Estados Unidos
Michigan State Univ - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
Detroit Med Ctr - Estados Unidos
FLORIDA INT UNIV - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
University of Michigan Medical School - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
MSU College of Human Medicine - Estados Unidos
Herbert Wertheim College of Medicine - Estados Unidos
3 Kabiri, Doron Hombre National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
Hadassah University Medical Centre - Israel
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
Hadassah Hebrew Univ - Israel
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
4 Hernandez-Andrade, E. Hombre National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
Univ Texas Hlth Sci Ctr Houston - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
5 Pacora, Percy Hombre National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
6 Erez, Offer - National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
Soroka University Medical Center - Israel
Ben-Gurion University of the Negev - Israel
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
Soroka Univ - Israel
BEN GURION UNIV NEGEV - Israel
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
7 KUSANOVIC-PIVCEVIC, JUAN PEDRO Hombre National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
Hospital Dr Sotero del Rio - Chile
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
8 Jung, Eunjung Mujer National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
9 Paredes, Carmen Mujer National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
10 Berry, Stanley M. Hombre National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
11 Yeo, Lami - National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
12 Hassan, Sonia S. Mujer Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
13 Hsu, Chaur Dong - National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
14 Tarca, Adi L. Hombre National Institutes of Health (NIH) - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University School of Medicine - Estados Unidos
Wayne State University - Estados Unidos
US Dept Hlth & Human Serv - Estados Unidos
Wayne State Univ - Estados Unidos
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) - Estados Unidos
College of Engineering - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
National Institutes of Health
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development
NICHD/NIH/DHHS
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
US Department of Health and Human Services
Division of Obstetrics and Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Division of Intramural Research
Perinatology Research Branch, Division of Obstetrics and Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Division of Intramural Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, US Department of Health and H

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
This research was supported, in part, by the Perinatology Research Branch, Division of Obstetrics and Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Division of Intramural Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development , National Institutes of Health , US Department of Health and Human Services (NICHD/NIH/DHHS), and, in part, with federal funds from NICHD/NIH/DHHS under contract number HHSN275201300006C.
This research was supported, in part, by the Perinatology Research Branch, Division of Obstetrics and Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Division of Intramural Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, US Department of Health and Human Services (NICHD/NIH/DHHS), and, in part, with federal funds from NICHD/NIH/DHHS under contract number HHSN275201300006C.

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.