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| DOI | 10.1109/CHILECON47746.2019.8988110 | ||||
| Año | 2019 | ||||
| Tipo | proceedings paper |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Due to its harmful effects on human health and agriculture, ground-level ozone concentrations are continually monitored nowadays in most places in the world. However, predicting ground-level ozone concentrations is difficult and thus poses a major concern in urban areas worldwide. In this paper, we investigate the use of deep recurrent neural nets to forecast ground-level ozone concentrations at Santiago (Chile), one of the most polluted cities in South America. It is found that the accuracy of current prediction models for peaks of the ozone concentration, 1-day ahead, is often lower than expected, which limits their practical utility as tools to anticipate critical pollution events. To address this issue, we propose to adopt a multitask learning criterion in which the model is not only trained to predict the expected value at the next time step but multiple quantiles of the response distribution. Experiments on real data illustrate that this approach improves the prediction accuracy for high values of the time series.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flores-Vergara, Daniel | Hombre |
Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María - Chile
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| 2 | NANCULEF-ALEGRIA, JUAN RICARDO | Hombre |
Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María - Chile
Universidad de Playa Ancha - Chile |
| 3 | VALLE-VIDAL, CARLOS ANTONIO | Hombre |
Universidad de Playa Ancha - Chile
Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María - Chile |
| 4 | OSSES-DE ELCKER, MARGARITA | Hombre |
Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María - Chile
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| 5 | Jaques, Aldonza | Hombre |
Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María - Chile
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| 6 | Dominguez, Maria | Mujer |
Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María - Chile
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| 7 | IEEE | Corporación |
| Agradecimiento |
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| This research was performed in collaboration with chemical, mechanical and computer science engineers. The authors thank the financial support provided by the DGIP of the Federico Santa Maria Technical University under interdisciplinary research grant PI M 17 6. D and PIIC 2018. |
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This research was performed in collaboration with chemical, mechanical and computer science engineers. The authors thank the financial support provided by the DGIP of the Federico Santa María Technical University under interdisciplinary research grant PI M 17 6. D and PIIC 2018. |