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Identifying hotspots of cardiometabolic outcomes based on a Bayesian approach: The example of Chile
Indexado
WoS WOS:000543547900003
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85086886220
DOI 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0235009
Año 2020
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Background There is a need to identify priority zones for cardiometabolic prevention. Disease mapping in countries with high heterogeneity in the geographic distribution of the population is challenging. Our goal was to map the cardiometabolic health and identify hotspots of disease using data from a national health survey. Methods Using Chile as a case study, we applied a Bayesian hierarchical modelling. We performed a cross-sectional analysis of the 2009-2010 Chilean Health Survey. Outcomes were diabetes (all types), obesity, hypertension, and high LDL cholesterol. To estimate prevalence, we used individual and aggregated data by province. We identified hotspots defined as prevalence in provinces significantly greater than the national prevalence. Models were adjusted for age, sex, their interaction, and sampling weight. We imputed missing data. We applied a joint outcome modelling approach to capture the association between the four outcomes. Results We analysed data from 4,780 participants (mean age (SD) 46 (19) years; 60% women). The national prevalence (percentage (95% credible intervals) for diabetes, obesity, hypertension and high LDL cholesterol were 10.9 (4.5, 19.2), 30.0 (17.7, 45.3), 36.4 (16.4, 57.6), and 13.7 (3.4, 32.2) respectively. Prevalence of diabetes was lower in the far south. Prevalence of obesity and hypertension increased from north to far south. Prevalence of high LDL cholesterol was higher in the north and south. A hotspot for diabetes was located in the centre. Hotspots for obesity were mainly situated in the south and far south, for hypertension in the centre, south and far south and for high LDL cholesterol in the far south. Conclusions The distribution of cardiometabolic risk factors in Chile has a characteristic pattern with a general trend to a north-south gradient. Our approach is reproducible and demonstrates that the Bayesian approach enables the accurate identification of hotspots and mapping of disease, allowing the identification of areas for cardiometabolic prevention.

Revista



Revista ISSN
P Lo S One 1932-6203

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Biology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Scopus
Sin Disciplinas
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 AGUAYO-BONNIARD, GLORIA ALEJANDRA Mujer Luxembourg Inst Hlth - Luxemburgo
Luxembourg Institute of Health - Luxemburgo
2 Schritz, Anna Mujer Luxembourg Inst Hlth - Luxemburgo
Luxembourg Institute of Health - Luxemburgo
3 Ruiz-Castell, Maria Mujer Luxembourg Inst Hlth - Luxemburgo
Luxembourg Institute of Health - Luxemburgo
4 VILLARROEL-VILLARROEL, LUIS Hombre Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
5 VALDIVIA-CABRERA, GONZALO SERGIO Hombre Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile
6 Fagherazzi, Guy - Luxembourg Inst Hlth - Luxemburgo
Luxembourg Institute of Health - Luxemburgo
7 Witte, Daniel R. Hombre Aarhus Univ - Dinamarca
Danish Diabet Acad - Dinamarca
Aarhus Universitet - Dinamarca
Danish Diabetes Academy - Dinamarca
8 Lawson, Andrew Hombre Med Univ South Carolina - Estados Unidos
Medical University of South Carolina - Estados Unidos
College of Medicine - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Luxembourg Institute of Health

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We thank Professor Stephen Senn and Dr Valerie Moran, both from the Luxembourg Institute of Health, for their contribution to this work. We also thank all participants of the Chilean Health Survey 2009-2010.

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