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No silver bullet for digital soil mapping: country-specific soil organic carbon estimates across Latin America
Indexado
WoS WOS:000457379800001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85051117943
DOI 10.5194/SOIL-4-173-2018
Año 2018
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



Country-specific soil organic carbon (SOC) estimates are the baseline for the Global SOC Map of the Global Soil Partnership (GSOCmap-GSP). This endeavor is key to explaining the uncertainty of global SOC estimates but requires harmonizing heterogeneous datasets and building country-specific capacities for digital soil mapping (DSM). We identified country-specific predictors for SOC and tested the performance of five predictive algorithms for mapping SOC across Latin America. The algorithms included support vector machines (SVMs), random forest (RF), kernel-weighted nearest neighbors (KK), partial least squares regression (PL), and regression kriging based on stepwise multiple linear models (RK). Country-specific training data and SOC predictors (5 x 5 km pixel resolution) were obtained from ISRIC - World Soil Information. Temperature, soil type, vegetation indices, and topographic constraints were the best predictors for SOC, but country-specific predictors and their respective weights varied across Latin America. We compared a large diversity of country-specific datasets and models, and were able to explain SOC variability in a range between similar to 1 and similar to 60 %, with no universal predictive algorithm among countries. A regional (n = 11 268 SOC estimates) ensemble of these five algorithms was able to explain similar to 39 % of SOC variability from repeated 5-fold cross-validation. We report a combined SOC stock of 77.8 +/- 43.6 Pg (uncertainty represented by the full conditional response of independent model residuals) across Latin America. SOC stocks were higher in tropical forests (30 +/- 16.5 Pg) and croplands (13 +/- 8.1 Pg). Country-specific and regional ensembles revealed spatial discrepancies across geopolitical borders, higher elevations, and coastal plains, but provided similar regional stocks (77.8 +/- 42.2 and 76.8 +/- 45.1 Pg, respectively). These results are conservative compared to global estimates (e.g., SoilGrids250m 185.8 Pg, the Harmonized World Soil Database 138.4 Pg, or the GSOCmap-GSP 99.7 Pg). Countries with large area (i.e., Brazil, Bolivia, Mexico, Peru) and large spatial SOC heterogeneity had lower SOC stocks per unit area and larger uncertainty in their predictions. We highlight that expert opinion is needed to set boundary prediction limits to avoid unrealistically high modeling estimates. For maximizing explained variance while minimizing prediction bias, the selection of predictive algorithms for SOC mapping should consider density of available data and variability of country-specific environmental gradients. This study highlights the large degree of spatial uncertainty in SOC estimates across Latin America. We provide a framework for improving country-specific mapping efforts and reducing current discrepancy of global, regional, and country-specific SOC estimates.

Revista



Revista ISSN
Soil 2199-3971

Métricas Externas



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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Soil Science
Scopus
Soil Science
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 Guevara, Mario Hombre Univ Delaware - Estados Unidos
University of Delaware - Estados Unidos
2 Olmedo, Guillermo F. Hombre INTA EEA Mendoza - Argentina
FAO - Italia
Instituto Nacional de Tecnologia Agropecuaria Buenos Aires - Argentina
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations - Italia
3 Stell, Emma Mujer Univ Delaware - Estados Unidos
University of Delaware - Estados Unidos
4 Yigini, Yusuf Hombre FAO - Italia
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations - Italia
5 Aguilar Duarte, Yameli - Inst Nacl Invest Forestales Agr & Pecuar - Venezuela
Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias - México
6 Arellano Hernandez, Carlos Hombre Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México
7 Arevalo, Gloria E. Mujer Zamorano Univ Honduras - Honduras
Asociac Hondurena Ciencia Suelo - Honduras
Universidad Zamorano - Honduras
8 Eduardo Arroyo-Cruz, Carlos Hombre Natl Commiss Knowledge & Use Biodivers - México
National Commission for the Knowledge and Use of Biodiversity (CONABIO) - México
9 Bolivar, Adriana Mujer Inst Geog Agustin Codazzi - Colombia
Inst. Geografico Agustin Codazzi - Colombia
Instituto Geográfico Agustín Codazzi - Colombia
10 Bunning, S. Mujer Comision Economica para America Latina y el Caribe - Chile
Oficina Regional de la FAO Para América Latina y El Caribe - Chile
Oficina Regional de la FAO Para América Latina y El Caribe - Colombia
Dirección Regional de la FAO para América Latina y el Caribe (RLC - Chile
11 Bustamante Canas, Nelson Hombre Servicio Agrícola y Ganadero - Chile
12 Omar Cruz-Gaistardo, Carlos Hombre Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México
13 Davila, Fabian Hombre Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay
14 Dell Acqua, Martin Hombre Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay
15 Encina, Arnulfo - Univ Nacl Asuncion - Paraguay
Universidad Nacional de Asunción - Paraguay
16 Figueredo Tacona, Hernan - Minist Rural Dev & Land - Bolivia
Ministry of Rural Development and Land - Bolivia
16 Tacona, Hernán Figueredo Hombre Ministry of Rural Development and Land - Bolivia
Minist Rural Dev & Land - Bolivia
17 Fontes, Fernando Hombre Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay
18 Hernandez Herrera, Jose Antonio Hombre Univ Autonoma Agr Antonio Narro Unidad Laguna - México
Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro - México
18 Herrera, José Antonio Hernández Hombre Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro - México
Univ Autonoma Agr Antonio Narro Unidad Laguna - México
19 Ibelles Navarro, Alejandro Roberto Hombre Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México
19 Roberto Ibelles Navarro, Alejandro Hombre Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México
Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México
20 Loayza, Veronica Mujer Minist Agr & Ganaderia - Ecuador
Ministerio de Agricultura - Ecuador
21 Manueles, Alexandra M. Mujer Zamorano Univ Honduras - Honduras
Asociac Hondurena Ciencia Suelo - Honduras
Universidad Zamorano - Honduras
22 Mendoza Jara, Fernando Hombre Univ Nacl Agr - Nicaragua
Universidad Nacional Agraria - Nicaragua
23 Olivera, Carolina Mujer Comision Economica para America Latina y el Caribe - Colombia
Oficina Regional de la FAO Para América Latina y El Caribe - Colombia
Comision Economica para America Latina y el Caribe - Chile
24 Osorio Hermosilla, Rodrigo Hombre Servicio Agrícola y Ganadero - Chile
25 PEREIRA-RETAMALES, GONZALO LEOPOLDO Hombre Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay
26 Prieto, Pablo Hombre Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay
27 Alexis Ramos, Ivan Hombre Inst Invest Agr Panama - Panamá
Instituto de Investigación Agropecuaria de Panamá - Panamá
27 Ramos, Iván Alexis Hombre Instituto de Investigación Agropecuaria de Panamá - Panamá
Inst Invest Agr Panama - Panamá
28 Rey Brina, Juan Carlos Hombre Soc Venezolana Ciencia Suelo - Venezuela
Sociedad Venezolana de Ciencias Naturales - Venezuela
28 Carlos Rey Brina, Juan Hombre Sociedad Venezolana de Ciencias Naturales - Venezuela
Soc Venezolana Ciencia Suelo - Venezuela
29 Rivera, Rafael Hombre Minist Medio Ambiente - República Dominicana
Ministerio de Medio Ambiente - República Dominicana
Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales - República Dominicana
30 Rodriguez-Rodriguez, Javier Hombre Natl Commiss Knowledge & Use Biodivers - México
National Commission for the Knowledge and Use of Biodiversity (CONABIO) - México
31 Roopnarine, Ronald Hombre COSTAATT - Trinidad y Tobago
Univ West Indies - Trinidad y Tobago
The University of the West Indies, St. Augustine Campus - Trinidad y Tobago
32 Rosales Ibarra, Alban Hombre Inst Innovac Transferencia & Tecnol Agr - Costa Rica
Instituto Nacional Innovación y Transferencia en Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA) - Costa Rica
32 Ibarra, Albán Rosales - Instituto Nacional Innovación y Transferencia en Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA) - Costa Rica
Inst Innovac Transferencia & Tecnol Agr - Costa Rica
33 Amaury Rosales Riveiro, Kenset - Ministerio de Ambiente y Recursos Naturales de Guatemala - Guatemala
Minist Ambiente & Recursos Nat Guatemala - Guatemala
33 Rosales Riveiro, Kenset Amaury - Minist Ambiente & Recursos Nat Guatemala - Guatemala
Ministerio de Ambiente y Recursos Naturales de Guatemala - Guatemala
34 Andres Schulz, Guillermo Hombre INTA CNIA - Argentina
Instituto Nacional de Tecnologia Agropecuaria Buenos Aires - Argentina
35 Spence, Adrian Hombre Univ West Indies - Jamaica
The University of the West Indies - Jamaica
36 Vasques, Gustavo M. Hombre Embrapa Solos - Brasil
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária - Embrapa - Brasil
37 Vargas, Ronald R. Hombre FAO - Italia
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations - Italia
38 Windham-Myers, Lisamarie Mujer Univ Delaware - Estados Unidos
University of Delaware - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología
USDA
U.S. Department of Agriculture
NASA
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
CONACYT fellowship
Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología, Paraguay
Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership
Global Soil Partnership
Department of Plant and Soil Sciences at the University of Delaware
South America Soil Partnership
Argentinian government
Global Soil Partnership, the Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.

Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
This work was supported by the Global Soil Partnership, the Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership, and the South America Soil Partnership in collaboration with the Department of Plant and Soil Sciences at the University of Delaware. Mario Guevara acknowledges support from a CONACYT fellowship. Guillermo Federico Olmedo is supported by the Argentinian government through the project INTA PNSUELO1134032. Rodrigo Vargas acknowledges support from NASA (80NSSC18K0173) and USDA (2014-67003-22070).
Acknowledgements. This work was supported by the Global Soil Partnership, the Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership, and the South America Soil Partnership in collaboration with the Department of Plant and Soil Sciences at the University of Delaware. Mario Guevara acknowledges support from a CONACYT fellowship. Guillermo Federico Olmedo is supported by the Argentinian government through the project INTA PNSUELO1134032. Rodrigo Vargas acknowledges support from NASA (80NSSC18K0173) and USDA (2014-67003-22070).

Muestra la fuente de financiamiento declarada en la publicación.