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| DOI | 10.5194/SOIL-4-173-2018 | ||||
| Año | 2018 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Country-specific soil organic carbon (SOC) estimates are the baseline for the Global SOC Map of the Global Soil Partnership (GSOCmap-GSP). This endeavor is key to explaining the uncertainty of global SOC estimates but requires harmonizing heterogeneous datasets and building country-specific capacities for digital soil mapping (DSM). We identified country-specific predictors for SOC and tested the performance of five predictive algorithms for mapping SOC across Latin America. The algorithms included support vector machines (SVMs), random forest (RF), kernel-weighted nearest neighbors (KK), partial least squares regression (PL), and regression kriging based on stepwise multiple linear models (RK). Country-specific training data and SOC predictors (5 x 5 km pixel resolution) were obtained from ISRIC - World Soil Information. Temperature, soil type, vegetation indices, and topographic constraints were the best predictors for SOC, but country-specific predictors and their respective weights varied across Latin America. We compared a large diversity of country-specific datasets and models, and were able to explain SOC variability in a range between similar to 1 and similar to 60 %, with no universal predictive algorithm among countries. A regional (n = 11 268 SOC estimates) ensemble of these five algorithms was able to explain similar to 39 % of SOC variability from repeated 5-fold cross-validation. We report a combined SOC stock of 77.8 +/- 43.6 Pg (uncertainty represented by the full conditional response of independent model residuals) across Latin America. SOC stocks were higher in tropical forests (30 +/- 16.5 Pg) and croplands (13 +/- 8.1 Pg). Country-specific and regional ensembles revealed spatial discrepancies across geopolitical borders, higher elevations, and coastal plains, but provided similar regional stocks (77.8 +/- 42.2 and 76.8 +/- 45.1 Pg, respectively). These results are conservative compared to global estimates (e.g., SoilGrids250m 185.8 Pg, the Harmonized World Soil Database 138.4 Pg, or the GSOCmap-GSP 99.7 Pg). Countries with large area (i.e., Brazil, Bolivia, Mexico, Peru) and large spatial SOC heterogeneity had lower SOC stocks per unit area and larger uncertainty in their predictions. We highlight that expert opinion is needed to set boundary prediction limits to avoid unrealistically high modeling estimates. For maximizing explained variance while minimizing prediction bias, the selection of predictive algorithms for SOC mapping should consider density of available data and variability of country-specific environmental gradients. This study highlights the large degree of spatial uncertainty in SOC estimates across Latin America. We provide a framework for improving country-specific mapping efforts and reducing current discrepancy of global, regional, and country-specific SOC estimates.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guevara, Mario | Hombre |
Univ Delaware - Estados Unidos
University of Delaware - Estados Unidos |
| 2 | Olmedo, Guillermo F. | Hombre |
INTA EEA Mendoza - Argentina
FAO - Italia Instituto Nacional de Tecnologia Agropecuaria Buenos Aires - Argentina Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations - Italia |
| 3 | Stell, Emma | Mujer |
Univ Delaware - Estados Unidos
University of Delaware - Estados Unidos |
| 4 | Yigini, Yusuf | Hombre |
FAO - Italia
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations - Italia |
| 5 | Aguilar Duarte, Yameli | - |
Inst Nacl Invest Forestales Agr & Pecuar - Venezuela
Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias - México |
| 6 | Arellano Hernandez, Carlos | Hombre |
Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México |
| 7 | Arevalo, Gloria E. | Mujer |
Zamorano Univ Honduras - Honduras
Asociac Hondurena Ciencia Suelo - Honduras Universidad Zamorano - Honduras |
| 8 | Eduardo Arroyo-Cruz, Carlos | Hombre |
Natl Commiss Knowledge & Use Biodivers - México
National Commission for the Knowledge and Use of Biodiversity (CONABIO) - México |
| 9 | Bolivar, Adriana | Mujer |
Inst Geog Agustin Codazzi - Colombia
Inst. Geografico Agustin Codazzi - Colombia Instituto Geográfico Agustín Codazzi - Colombia |
| 10 | Bunning, S. | Mujer |
Comision Economica para America Latina y el Caribe - Chile
Oficina Regional de la FAO Para América Latina y El Caribe - Chile Oficina Regional de la FAO Para América Latina y El Caribe - Colombia Dirección Regional de la FAO para América Latina y el Caribe (RLC - Chile |
| 11 | Bustamante Canas, Nelson | Hombre |
Servicio Agrícola y Ganadero - Chile
|
| 12 | Omar Cruz-Gaistardo, Carlos | Hombre |
Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México |
| 13 | Davila, Fabian | Hombre |
Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay |
| 14 | Dell Acqua, Martin | Hombre |
Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay |
| 15 | Encina, Arnulfo | - |
Univ Nacl Asuncion - Paraguay
Universidad Nacional de Asunción - Paraguay |
| 16 | Figueredo Tacona, Hernan | - |
Minist Rural Dev & Land - Bolivia
Ministry of Rural Development and Land - Bolivia |
| 16 | Tacona, Hernán Figueredo | Hombre |
Ministry of Rural Development and Land - Bolivia
Minist Rural Dev & Land - Bolivia |
| 17 | Fontes, Fernando | Hombre |
Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay |
| 18 | Hernandez Herrera, Jose Antonio | Hombre |
Univ Autonoma Agr Antonio Narro Unidad Laguna - México
Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro - México |
| 18 | Herrera, José Antonio Hernández | Hombre |
Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro - México
Univ Autonoma Agr Antonio Narro Unidad Laguna - México |
| 19 | Ibelles Navarro, Alejandro Roberto | Hombre |
Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México |
| 19 | Roberto Ibelles Navarro, Alejandro | Hombre |
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - México
Inst Nacl Estadisit & Geog - México |
| 20 | Loayza, Veronica | Mujer |
Minist Agr & Ganaderia - Ecuador
Ministerio de Agricultura - Ecuador |
| 21 | Manueles, Alexandra M. | Mujer |
Zamorano Univ Honduras - Honduras
Asociac Hondurena Ciencia Suelo - Honduras Universidad Zamorano - Honduras |
| 22 | Mendoza Jara, Fernando | Hombre |
Univ Nacl Agr - Nicaragua
Universidad Nacional Agraria - Nicaragua |
| 23 | Olivera, Carolina | Mujer |
Comision Economica para America Latina y el Caribe - Colombia
Oficina Regional de la FAO Para América Latina y El Caribe - Colombia Comision Economica para America Latina y el Caribe - Chile |
| 24 | Osorio Hermosilla, Rodrigo | Hombre |
Servicio Agrícola y Ganadero - Chile
|
| 25 | PEREIRA-RETAMALES, GONZALO LEOPOLDO | Hombre |
Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay |
| 26 | Prieto, Pablo | Hombre |
Minist Ganaderia Agr & Pesca - Uruguay
Ministerio de Ganadería - Uruguay |
| 27 | Alexis Ramos, Ivan | Hombre |
Inst Invest Agr Panama - Panamá
Instituto de Investigación Agropecuaria de Panamá - Panamá |
| 27 | Ramos, Iván Alexis | Hombre |
Instituto de Investigación Agropecuaria de Panamá - Panamá
Inst Invest Agr Panama - Panamá |
| 28 | Rey Brina, Juan Carlos | Hombre |
Soc Venezolana Ciencia Suelo - Venezuela
Sociedad Venezolana de Ciencias Naturales - Venezuela |
| 28 | Carlos Rey Brina, Juan | Hombre |
Sociedad Venezolana de Ciencias Naturales - Venezuela
Soc Venezolana Ciencia Suelo - Venezuela |
| 29 | Rivera, Rafael | Hombre |
Minist Medio Ambiente - República Dominicana
Ministerio de Medio Ambiente - República Dominicana Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales - República Dominicana |
| 30 | Rodriguez-Rodriguez, Javier | Hombre |
Natl Commiss Knowledge & Use Biodivers - México
National Commission for the Knowledge and Use of Biodiversity (CONABIO) - México |
| 31 | Roopnarine, Ronald | Hombre |
COSTAATT - Trinidad y Tobago
Univ West Indies - Trinidad y Tobago The University of the West Indies, St. Augustine Campus - Trinidad y Tobago |
| 32 | Rosales Ibarra, Alban | Hombre |
Inst Innovac Transferencia & Tecnol Agr - Costa Rica
Instituto Nacional Innovación y Transferencia en Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA) - Costa Rica |
| 32 | Ibarra, Albán Rosales | - |
Instituto Nacional Innovación y Transferencia en Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA) - Costa Rica
Inst Innovac Transferencia & Tecnol Agr - Costa Rica |
| 33 | Amaury Rosales Riveiro, Kenset | - |
Ministerio de Ambiente y Recursos Naturales de Guatemala - Guatemala
Minist Ambiente & Recursos Nat Guatemala - Guatemala |
| 33 | Rosales Riveiro, Kenset Amaury | - |
Minist Ambiente & Recursos Nat Guatemala - Guatemala
Ministerio de Ambiente y Recursos Naturales de Guatemala - Guatemala |
| 34 | Andres Schulz, Guillermo | Hombre |
INTA CNIA - Argentina
Instituto Nacional de Tecnologia Agropecuaria Buenos Aires - Argentina |
| 35 | Spence, Adrian | Hombre |
Univ West Indies - Jamaica
The University of the West Indies - Jamaica |
| 36 | Vasques, Gustavo M. | Hombre |
Embrapa Solos - Brasil
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária - Embrapa - Brasil |
| 37 | Vargas, Ronald R. | Hombre |
FAO - Italia
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations - Italia |
| 38 | Windham-Myers, Lisamarie | Mujer |
Univ Delaware - Estados Unidos
University of Delaware - Estados Unidos |
| Fuente |
|---|
| Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología |
| USDA |
| U.S. Department of Agriculture |
| NASA |
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration |
| CONACYT fellowship |
| Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y TecnologÃa, Paraguay |
| Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership |
| Global Soil Partnership |
| Department of Plant and Soil Sciences at the University of Delaware |
| South America Soil Partnership |
| Argentinian government |
| Global Soil Partnership, the Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| This work was supported by the Global Soil Partnership, the Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership, and the South America Soil Partnership in collaboration with the Department of Plant and Soil Sciences at the University of Delaware. Mario Guevara acknowledges support from a CONACYT fellowship. Guillermo Federico Olmedo is supported by the Argentinian government through the project INTA PNSUELO1134032. Rodrigo Vargas acknowledges support from NASA (80NSSC18K0173) and USDA (2014-67003-22070). |
| Acknowledgements. This work was supported by the Global Soil Partnership, the Central America, Caribbean and Mexico Soil Partnership, and the South America Soil Partnership in collaboration with the Department of Plant and Soil Sciences at the University of Delaware. Mario Guevara acknowledges support from a CONACYT fellowship. Guillermo Federico Olmedo is supported by the Argentinian government through the project INTA PNSUELO1134032. Rodrigo Vargas acknowledges support from NASA (80NSSC18K0173) and USDA (2014-67003-22070). |