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| DOI | 10.1038/S41586-019-1855-2 | ||||
| Año | 2020 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet's mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet's volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shepherd, Andrew | Hombre |
UNIV LEEDS - Reino Unido
University of Leeds - Reino Unido |
| 2 | Ivins, Erik | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 3 | Rignot, Eric | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 4 | Smith, Ben | - |
UNIV WASHINGTON - Estados Unidos
University of Washington, Seattle - Estados Unidos University of Washington - Estados Unidos |
| 5 | van den Broeke, M. R. | Hombre |
Univ Utrecht - Países Bajos
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht - Países Bajos Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht - Países Bajos |
| 6 | Park, E-hyung | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos UNIV COLORADO - Estados Unidos Univ Liege - Bélgica Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos University of Colorado Boulder - Estados Unidos |
| 7 | Whitehouse, Pippa L. | Mujer |
Univ Durham - Reino Unido
Durham University - Reino Unido |
| 8 | Briggs, Kate | Mujer |
UNIV LEEDS - Reino Unido
University of Leeds - Reino Unido |
| 9 | Joughin, Ian | - |
UNIV WASHINGTON - Estados Unidos
University of Washington, Seattle - Estados Unidos University of Washington - Estados Unidos |
| 10 | Krinner, Gerhard | Hombre |
Univ Grenoble Alpes - Francia
Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 11 | Nowicki, Sophie | Mujer |
NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr - Estados Unidos
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - Estados Unidos NASA - Estados Unidos |
| 12 | Payne, Tony | Hombre |
Univ Bristol - Reino Unido
University of Bristol - Reino Unido |
| 13 | Park, E-hyung | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos UNIV COLORADO - Estados Unidos Univ Liege - Bélgica Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos University of Colorado Boulder - Estados Unidos |
| 14 | Schlegel, Nicole | Mujer |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 15 | A, Geruo | - |
University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos |
| 15 | Geruo, A. | - |
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos
University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos |
| 16 | Agosta, Cecile | Mujer |
Univ Liege - Bélgica
Universite de Liege - Bélgica University of Leeds - Bélgica |
| 17 | Ahlstrom, Andreas P. | Hombre |
Geol Survey Denmark & Greenland - Dinamarca
Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland - Dinamarca |
| 18 | Babonis, Greg | Hombre |
SUNY Buffalo - Estados Unidos
University at Buffalo, The State University of New York - Estados Unidos |
| 19 | Barletta, Valentina | Mujer |
Tech Univ Denmark - Dinamarca
Danmarks Tekniske Universitet - Dinamarca Technical University of Denmark - Dinamarca |
| 20 | Bjork, Anders A. | Hombre |
Univ Copenhagen - Dinamarca
Københavns Universitet - Dinamarca |
| 21 | Blazquez, Alejandro | Hombre |
Univ Toulouse - Francia
Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées - Francia |
| 22 | Bonin, Jennifer | Mujer |
UNIV S FLORIDA - Estados Unidos
University of South Florida, Tampa - Estados Unidos |
| 23 | Colgan, William | Hombre |
Geol Survey Denmark & Greenland - Dinamarca
Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland - Dinamarca |
| 24 | Csatho, Beata | Mujer |
SUNY Buffalo - Estados Unidos
University at Buffalo, The State University of New York - Estados Unidos |
| 25 | Cullather, Richard | Hombre |
NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr - Estados Unidos
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - Estados Unidos NASA - Estados Unidos |
| 26 | Engdahl, Marcus E. | Hombre |
ESA ESRIN - Italia
ESRIN - ESA Centre for Earth Observation - Italia |
| 27 | Felikson, Denis | Hombre |
NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr - Estados Unidos
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - Estados Unidos NASA - Estados Unidos |
| 28 | Park, E-hyung | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos UNIV COLORADO - Estados Unidos Univ Liege - Bélgica Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos University of Colorado Boulder - Estados Unidos |
| 29 | Forsberg, Rene | Hombre |
Tech Univ Denmark - Dinamarca
Danmarks Tekniske Universitet - Dinamarca Technical University of Denmark - Dinamarca |
| 30 | Hogg, Anna E. | Mujer |
UNIV LEEDS - Reino Unido
University of Leeds - Reino Unido |
| 31 | Gallee, Hubert | Hombre |
Univ Grenoble Alpes - Francia
Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 32 | Gardner, Alex | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 33 | Gilbert, Lin | - |
Univ Coll London - Reino Unido
UCL Mullard Space Science Laboratory - Reino Unido University of Lincoln - Reino Unido |
| 34 | Gourmelen, Noel | Hombre |
UNIV EDINBURGH - Reino Unido
The University of Edinburgh - Reino Unido |
| 35 | Groh, A. | Hombre |
Tech Univ Dresden - Alemania
TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAT DRESDEN - Alemania |
| 36 | Gunter, Brian | Hombre |
Georgia Inst Technol - Estados Unidos
Georgia Institute of Technology - Estados Unidos |
| 37 | Hanna, E. | Hombre |
Univ Lincoln - Reino Unido
University of Lincoln - Reino Unido |
| 38 | Harig, Christopher | Hombre |
UNIV ARIZONA - Estados Unidos
The University of Arizona - Estados Unidos |
| 39 | Helm, Veit | Hombre |
Alfred Wegener Inst - Alemania
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung - Alemania Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res - Alemania |
| 40 | Horvath, Alexander | Hombre |
TECH UNIV MUNICH - Alemania
Technical University of Munich - Alemania Technische Universität München - Alemania |
| 41 | Horwath, Martin | Hombre |
Tech Univ Dresden - Alemania
TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAT DRESDEN - Alemania |
| 42 | Khan, Shfaqat | - |
Tech Univ Denmark - Dinamarca
Danmarks Tekniske Universitet - Dinamarca Technical University of Denmark - Dinamarca |
| 43 | Kjeldsen, Kristian K. | Hombre |
Geol Survey Denmark & Greenland - Dinamarca
Univ Copenhagen - Dinamarca Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland - Dinamarca Københavns Universitet - Dinamarca |
| 44 | Konrad, Hannes | Hombre |
Deutsch Wetterdienst - Alemania
Deutscher Wetterdienst - Alemania |
| 45 | Langen, Peter | Hombre |
Danish Meteorol Inst - Dinamarca
Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut - Dinamarca |
| 46 | Lecavalier, Benoit | - |
Mem Univ Newfoundland - Canadá
Memorial University of Newfoundland - Canadá |
| 47 | Loomis, Bryant | Hombre |
NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr - Estados Unidos
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - Estados Unidos NASA - Estados Unidos |
| 48 | Luthcke, Scott | Hombre |
NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr - Estados Unidos
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - Estados Unidos NASA - Estados Unidos |
| 49 | McMillan, Malcolm | Hombre |
Univ Lancaster - Reino Unido
Lancaster Environment Centre - Reino Unido Newcastle University - Reino Unido |
| 50 | Melini, D. | Mujer |
Ist Nazl Geofis Vulcanologia - Italia
Istituto Nazionale Di Geofisica E Vulcanologia, Rome - Italia Ist Nazl Geofis & Vulcanol - Italia |
| 51 | Mernild, Sebastian H. | Hombre |
Nansen Environm & Remote Sensing Ctr - Noruega
Western Norway Univ Appl Sci - Noruega Universidad de Magallanes - Chile Univ Bergen - Noruega Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center - Noruega Western Norway University of Applied Sciences - Noruega Universitetet i Bergen - Noruega |
| 52 | Mohajerani, Yara | Mujer |
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos
University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos |
| 53 | Moore, Philip | Hombre |
Newcastle Univ - Reino Unido
Newcastle University, United Kingdom - Reino Unido Newcastle University - Reino Unido |
| 54 | Mottram, Ruth | Mujer |
Danish Meteorol Inst - Dinamarca
Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut - Dinamarca |
| 55 | Mouginot, Jeremie | Hombre |
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos
Univ Grenoble Alpes - Francia University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos Universite Grenoble Alpes - Francia |
| 56 | Moyano, Gorka | Hombre |
isardSAT - España
|
| 57 | Muir, Alan | Hombre |
Univ Coll London - Reino Unido
UCL Mullard Space Science Laboratory - Reino Unido University of Lincoln - Reino Unido |
| 58 | Nagler, Thomas | Hombre |
ENVEO - Austria
ENVEO IT GmbH - Austria |
| 59 | Nield, Grace | Mujer |
Univ Durham - Reino Unido
Durham University - Reino Unido |
| 60 | Nilsson, Johan | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 61 | Noel, Brice | Hombre |
Univ Utrecht - Países Bajos
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht - Países Bajos Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht - Países Bajos |
| 62 | Otosaka, Ines | Mujer |
UNIV LEEDS - Reino Unido
University of Leeds - Reino Unido |
| 63 | Pattle, Mark E. | Hombre |
isardSAT - España
|
| 64 | Peltier, W. Richard | - |
UNIV TORONTO - Canadá
University of Toronto - Canadá |
| 65 | Pie, Nadege | - |
UNIV TEXAS - Estados Unidos
The University of Texas at Austin - Estados Unidos Univ Texas Austin - Estados Unidos |
| 66 | Rietbroek, Roelof | Hombre |
UNIV BONN - Alemania
Universität Bonn - Alemania |
| 67 | Rott, Helmut | Hombre |
ENVEO - Austria
ENVEO IT GmbH - Austria |
| 68 | Sorensen, Louise Sandberg | Mujer |
Tech Univ Denmark - Dinamarca
Technical University of Denmark - Dinamarca |
| 68 | Sandberg Sørensen, Louise | Mujer |
Danmarks Tekniske Universitet - Dinamarca
Technical University of Denmark - Dinamarca |
| 69 | Sasgen, Ingo | Hombre |
Alfred Wegener Inst - Alemania
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung - Alemania Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res - Alemania |
| 70 | Save, Himanshu | - |
UNIV TEXAS - Estados Unidos
The University of Texas at Austin - Estados Unidos Univ Texas Austin - Estados Unidos |
| 71 | Scheuchl, Bernd | Hombre |
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos
University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos |
| 72 | Schrama, Ernst | Hombre |
Delft Univ Technol - Países Bajos
Delft University of Technology - Países Bajos |
| 73 | Schroeder, Ludwig | Hombre |
Tech Univ Dresden - Alemania
Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res - Alemania TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAT DRESDEN - Alemania Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung - Alemania |
| 73 | Schröder, Ludwig | Hombre |
Tech Univ Dresden - Alemania
Alfred Wegener Inst - Alemania TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAT DRESDEN - Alemania Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung - Alemania |
| 74 | Seo, Ki-Weon | - |
Seoul Natl Univ - Corea del Sur
Seoul National University - Corea del Sur |
| 75 | Simonsen, Sebastian | Hombre |
Tech Univ Denmark - Dinamarca
Danmarks Tekniske Universitet - Dinamarca Technical University of Denmark - Dinamarca |
| 76 | Slater, Thomas | Hombre |
UNIV LEEDS - Reino Unido
University of Leeds - Reino Unido |
| 77 | Spada, Giorgio | Hombre |
Univ Urbino Carlo Bo - Italia
Universita degli Studi di Urbino Carlo Bo - Italia |
| 78 | Sutterley, Tyler | Hombre |
Univ Calif Irvine - Estados Unidos
University of California, Irvine - Estados Unidos |
| 79 | Talpe, Matthieu | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 80 | Tarasov, Lev | - |
Mem Univ Newfoundland - Canadá
Memorial University of Newfoundland - Canadá |
| 81 | van de Berg, Willem Jan | Hombre |
Univ Utrecht - Países Bajos
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht - Países Bajos Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht - Países Bajos |
| 82 | van der Walt, Wouter | Hombre |
Delft Univ Technol - Países Bajos
Delft University of Technology - Países Bajos Faculteit Civiele Techniek en Geowetenschappen, TU Delft - Países Bajos |
| 82 | van der Wal, Wouter | Hombre |
Delft Univ Technol - Países Bajos
Delft University of Technology - Países Bajos |
| 83 | van Wessem, Melchior | Hombre |
Univ Utrecht - Países Bajos
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht - Países Bajos Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht - Países Bajos |
| 84 | Vishwakarma, Bramha Dutt | - |
UNIV STUTTGART - Alemania
Universitat Stuttgart - Alemania |
| 85 | Wiese, David | Hombre |
CALTECH - Estados Unidos
Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Estados Unidos National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 86 | Wilton, David | Hombre |
UNIV SHEFFIELD - Reino Unido
The University of Sheffield - Reino Unido |
| 87 | Wagner, Thomas | Hombre |
NASA Headquarters - Estados Unidos
National Aeronautics and Space Administration - Estados Unidos |
| 88 | Wouters, Bert | Hombre |
Univ Utrecht - Países Bajos
Delft Univ Technol - Países Bajos Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht - Países Bajos Delft University of Technology - Países Bajos Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht - Países Bajos Faculteit Civiele Techniek en Geowetenschappen, TU Delft - Países Bajos |
| 89 | Wuite, Jan | - |
ENVEO - Austria
ENVEO IT GmbH - Austria |
| 90 | IMBIE Team | Corporación |
| Fuente |
|---|
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration |
| Royal Society |
| European Space Agency |
| Natural Environment Research Council |
| Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award |
| Ecological Society of America |
| ESA Climate Change Initiative |
| UK Natural Environment Research Council Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling |
| NASA Cryosphere Program |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| This work is an outcome of the IMBIE supported by the ESA Climate Change Initiative and the NASA Cryosphere Program. A.S. was additionally supported by a Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award and the UK Natural Environment Research Council Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling. |
| Acknowledgements This work is an outcome of the IMBIE supported by the ESA Climate Change Initiative and the NASA Cryosphere Program. A.S. was additionally supported by a Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award and the UK Natural Environment Research Council Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling. |