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| DOI | 10.1038/S41586-020-2212-1 | ||||
| Año | 2020 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Megathrust earthquakes are responsible for some of the most devastating natural disasters(1). To better understand the physical mechanisms of earthquake generation, subduction zones worldwide are continuously monitored with geophysical instrumentation. One key strategy is to install stations that record signals from Global Navigation Satellite Systems(2,3) (GNSS), enabling us to track the non-steady surface motion of the subducting and overriding plates before, during and after the largest events(4-6). Here we use a recently developed trajectory modelling approach(7) that is designed to isolate secular tectonic motions from the daily GNSS time series to show that the 2010 Maule, Chile (moment magnitude 8.8) and 2011 Tohoku-oki, Japan (moment magnitude 9.0) earthquakes were preceded by reversals of 4-8 millimetres in surface displacement that lasted several months and spanned thousands of kilometres. Modelling of the surface displacement reversal that occurred before the Tohoku-oki earthquake suggests an initial slow slip followed by a sudden pulldown of the Philippine Sea slab so rapid that it caused a viscoelastic rebound across the whole of Japan. Therefore, to understand better when large earthquakes are imminent, we must consider not only the evolution of plate interface frictional processes but also the dynamic boundary conditions from deeper subduction processes, such as sudden densification of metastable slab.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bedford, Jonathan | Hombre |
Helmholtz Ctr Potsdam - Alemania
Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) - Alemania |
| 2 | MORENO-SWITT, MARCOS | Hombre |
Universidad de Concepción - Chile
|
| 3 | Deng, Zhiguo | - |
Helmholtz Ctr Potsdam - Alemania
Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) - Alemania |
| 4 | Oncken, Onno | Hombre |
Helmholtz Ctr Potsdam - Alemania
FREE UNIV BERLIN - Alemania Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) - Alemania Freie Universität Berlin - Alemania |
| 5 | Schurr, Bernd | Hombre |
Helmholtz Ctr Potsdam - Alemania
Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) - Alemania |
| 6 | John, Timm | Hombre |
FREE UNIV BERLIN - Alemania
Freie Universität Berlin - Alemania |
| 7 | BAEZ-SOTO, JUAN CARLOS | Hombre |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
|
| 8 | Bevis, Michael G. | Hombre |
OHIO STATE UNIV - Estados Unidos
The Ohio State University - Estados Unidos |
| Fuente |
|---|
| CONICYT/FONDAP |
| CIGIDEN |
| German Science Foundation |
| Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft |
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico, Tecnológico y de Innovación Tecnológica |
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo CientÃfico, Tecnológico y de Innovación Tecnológica |
| Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management |
| Agradecimiento |
|---|
| Acknowledgements We thank the Geospatial Information Authority of Japan (GSI) and the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory (NGL), University of Nevada, for their assistance and for providing time series for this study. We thank Y. Bock and K. Heki for comments. J.R.B. thanks S. Sobolev for his comments. J.R.B. thanks the German Science Foundation (DFG) for grant MO-2310/3. M.M. acknowledges support from FONDECYT 1181479, the Millennium Nucleus “The Seismic Cycle Along Subduction Zones” grant NC160025, and the Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN), CONICYT/FONDAP 15110017. J.C.B. acknowledges support from FONDECYT projects 1170430 and 1181479. |