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Role of synoptic activity on projected changes in upwelling-favourable winds at the ocean's eastern boundaries
Indexado
WoS WOS:000503002600001
Scopus SCOPUS_ID:85085005150
DOI 10.1038/S41612-019-0101-9
Año 2019
Tipo artículo de investigación

Citas Totales

Autores Afiliación Chile

Instituciones Chile

% Participación
Internacional

Autores
Afiliación Extranjera

Instituciones
Extranjeras


Abstract



The climate of the ocean's eastern boundaries is strongly influenced by subtropical anticyclones, which drive a surface wind stress that promotes coastal upwelling of nutrient-rich subsurface water that supports high primary productivity and an abundance of food resources. Understanding the projected response of upwelling-favourable winds to climate change has broad implications for coastal biogeochemistry, ecology, and fisheries. Here we use a reanalysis, an ensemble of global climate simulations, and an objective algorithm to track anticyclones to investigate the projected changes in upwelling-favourable wind events at the California, Canary, Humboldt, and Benguela coastal upwelling systems. Except for the north Pacific, we find consistent poleward shifts of mean and upper percentile daily winds over the ocean basins. We propose that extratropical, synoptic-scale migratory anticyclones that force intense coastal upwelling events-which become more frequent at higher latitudes and less frequent at lower latitudes in the future-play an important role in the projected changes in upwelling-favourable wind events in these coastal upwelling systems. These changes complement large-scale processes such as the poleward shift of the subtropical ridge (STR) and stationary subtropical highs. Hence, both extratropical and tropical processes need to be considered to fully explain projected changes at the coastal upwelling systems under anthropogenic climate change.

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Disciplinas de Investigación



WOS
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Scopus
Global And Planetary Change
Atmospheric Science
Environmental Chemistry
SciELO
Sin Disciplinas

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Publicaciones WoS (Ediciones: ISSHP, ISTP, AHCI, SSCI, SCI), Scopus, SciELO Chile.

Colaboración Institucional



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Autores - Afiliación



Ord. Autor Género Institución - País
1 AGUIRRE-GALAZ, MARIA CATALINA Mujer Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia - Chile
Universidad de Valparaíso - Chile
Ctr Observac Marino Estudios Riesgos Ambiente Cos - Chile
COSTAR - Chile
2 ROJAS-CORRADI, MARIANA ANTONIA Mujer Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia - Chile
Universidad de Chile - Chile
3 GARREAUD-SALAZAR, RENE DARIO Hombre Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia - Chile
Universidad de Chile - Chile
4 Rahn, David A. Hombre UNIV KANSAS - Estados Unidos
University of Kansas, Lawrence - Estados Unidos
University of Kansas - Estados Unidos

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Financiamiento



Fuente
FONDECYT
FONDAP-CONICYT
National Science Foundation
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
Conicyt through PAI program

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Agradecimientos



Agradecimiento
We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for CMIP5, and we thank the climate modelling groups (listed in Supplementary Table 1) for producing and making available their model outputs. This work was partially funded by FONDAP-CONICYT 15110009. C.A. acknowledges support by Conicyt through PAI program no. 79150062 and Fondecyt grant no. 11171163. M.R. acknowledges support by Fondecyt grant no. 1171773 and D.A.R. acknowledges support by the National Science Foundation grant AGS-1439515.
We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme’s Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for CMIP5, and we thank the climate modelling groups (listed in Supplementary Table 1) for producing and making available their model outputs. This work was partially funded by FONDAP-CONICYT 15110009. C.A. acknowledges support by Conicyt through PAI program no. 79150062 and Fondecyt grant no. 11171163. M.R. acknowledges support by Fondecyt grant no.

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