Muestra métricas de impacto externas asociadas a la publicación. Para mayor detalle:
| Indexado |
|
||||
| DOI | 10.5194/CP-16-79-2020 | ||||
| Año | 2020 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
The South Pacific Subtropical High (SPSH) is a predominant feature of the South American climate. The variability of this high-pressure center induces changes in the intensity of coastal alongshore winds and precipitation, among others, over southwestern South America. In recent decades, strengthening and expansion of the SPSH have been observed and attributed to the current global warming. These changes have led to an intensification of the southerly winds along the coast of northern to central Chile and a decrease in precipitation from central to southern Chile. Motivated by improving our understanding about the regional impacts of climate change in this part of the Southern Hemisphere, we analyzed SPSH changes during the two most extreme climate events of the last millennium, the Little Ice Age (LIA) and the Current Warm Period (CWP: 1970-2000), based on paleoclimate records and CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations. In order to assess the level of agreement of general circulation models, we also compare them with ERA-Interim reanalysis data for the 1979-2009 period as a complementary analysis. Finally, with the aim of evaluating future SPSH behavior, we include 21st century projections under a Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP8.5) scenario in our analyses. Our results indicate that during the relative warm (cold) period, the SPSH expands (contracts). Together with this change, alongshore winds intensify (weaken) south (north) of similar to 35 degrees S; also, southern westerly winds become stronger (weaker) and shift southward (northward). Model results generally underestimate reanalysis data. These changes are in good agreement with paleoclimate records, which suggest that these variations could be related to tropical climate dynamics but also to extratropical phenomena. However, although models adequately represent most of the South American climate changes, they fail to represent the Intertropical Convergence Zone-Hadley cell system dynamics, emphasizing the importance of improving tropical system dynamics in simulations for a better understanding of its effects on South America. Climate model projections indicate that changes recently observed will continue during the next decades, highlighting the need to establish effective mitigation and adaptation strategies against their environmental and socioeconomic impacts.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flores-Aqueveque, V. | Mujer |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
|
| 2 | ROJAS-CORRADI, MARIANA ANTONIA | Mujer |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia - Chile Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia (CR2 FONDAP 15110009) - Chile |
| 3 | AGUIRRE-GALAZ, MARIA CATALINA | Mujer |
Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia - Chile
Universidad de Valparaíso - Chile Ctr Observac Marino Estudios Riesgos Ambiente Cos - Chile Centro de Ciencia del Clima y la Resiliencia (CR2 FONDAP 15110009) - Chile Centro de Observación Marino para estudios de Riesgos del Ambiente Costero (COSTA-R) - Chile Centro de Observación Marino para estudios de Riesgos del Ambiente Costero (COSTAR-UV - Chile Centro de Observación Marino para estudios de Riesgos del Ambiente Costero (COSTAR-UV) - Chile |
| 4 | ARIAS-GOMEZ, PAOLA ANDREA | Mujer |
UNIV ANTIOQUIA - Colombia
Universidad de Antioquia - Colombia |
| 5 | Gonzalez, Charles | Hombre |
Universidad de Chile - Chile
|
| Fuente |
|---|
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico |
| Fondecyt Regular |
| Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo CientÃfico y Tecnológico |