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| DOI | 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0008243 | ||||
| Año | 2009 | ||||
| Tipo | artículo de investigación |
Citas Totales
Autores Afiliación Chile
Instituciones Chile
% Participación
Internacional
Autores
Afiliación Extranjera
Instituciones
Extranjeras
Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using a large collection of data from three different stock markets, we present evidence that a modification to the random model-adding a slow, but significant, fluctuation to the standard deviation of the process-accurately explains the probability of different-sized price changes, including the relative high frequency of extreme movements. Furthermore, we show that this process is similar across stocks so that their price fluctuations can be characterized by a single curve. Because the behavior of price fluctuations is rooted in the characteristics of volatility, we expect our results to bring increased interest to stochastic volatility models, and especially to those that can produce the properties of volatility reported here.
| Ord. | Autor | Género | Institución - País |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUENTES-DIAZ, MIGUEL ANDRES | Hombre |
Santa Fe Inst - Estados Unidos
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - Chile Inst Balseiro - Argentina Comision Nacional de Investigacion Cientifica y Tecnologica - Argentina Santa Fe Institute - Estados Unidos Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas - Argentina Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET) - Argentina |
| 2 | Gerig, Austin | Hombre |
Santa Fe Inst - Estados Unidos
Univ Technol Sydney - Australia Santa Fe Institute - Estados Unidos University of Technology Sydney - Australia |
| 3 | Vicente, Javier | Hombre |
Santa Fe Inst - Estados Unidos
Santa Fe Institute - Estados Unidos |
| Fuente |
|---|
| National Science Foundation |
| Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences |